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Winnipeg Jets at Minnesota Wild

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Recap

written from the game data

The Minnesota Wild beat the Winnipeg Jets 5-1. The Wild scored first and never trailed. The Wild led 4-1 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Zach Parise's goal at 12:16 of the first period, which took the Wild's chances from 67% to 81%. Expected goals were close — WPG 1.6, MIN 1.5; shots on goal were WPG 33, MIN 28. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Jets win a replay of these chances 53% of the time. Eric Comrie stopped 23 of 28 (.821), 3.5 goals below expected; Devan Dubnyk stopped 32 of 33 (.970), 0.6 goals saved above expected. Three stars: 1. Zach Parise (2 G), 2. Joel Eriksson Ek (1 G), 3. Devan Dubnyk (32 saves, .970).

Three stars

  1. ★
    MIN
    Z. Parise2 G
  2. ★★
    MIN
    J. Eriksson Ek1 G
  3. ★★★
    MIN
    D. Dubnyk32 saves, .970

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
WPGWPG01119013133
MINMIN3918111528

Scoring

6 goals

1st period

  1. MIN
    backhandxG 0.17win prob +13 pts
    0-1
    9:04
  2. MIN
    wristxG 0.10win prob +14 pts
    0-2
    12:16
  3. MIN
    wristxG 0.02win prob +9 pts
    0-3
    18:08

2nd period

  1. MIN
    snapxG 0.02win prob +4 pts
    0-4
    10:29
  2. WPG
    J. Trouba(7)SHG
    backhandxG 0.05win prob +2 pts
    1-4
    16:13

3rd period

  1. MIN
    wristxG 0.03
    1-5
    15:11

Penalties

WPG 4 PIM·MIN 4 PIM

1st

  • 2:41MINJT Brown · Trippingdrawn by Mathieu Perreault2 min

2nd

  • 6:27MINBrad Hunt · Hookingdrawn by Adam Lowry2 min
  • 14:36WPGDustin Byfuglien · Trippingdrawn by JT Brown2 min

3rd

  • 7:31WPGBlake Wheeler · Interference goalkeeperdrawn by Devan Dubnyk2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
MIN goalWPG goalFinal: MIN 100%

Biggest swing: Zach Parise, 1st 12:16 — MIN 67% → 81%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
Z. Parise · Goal · xG 0.17J. Eriksson Ek · On goal · xG 0.15J. Zucker · On goal · xG 0.14K. Fiala · On goal · xG 0.14Z. Parise · Goal · xG 0.10B. Hunt · On goal · xG 0.08L. Kunin · On goal · xG 0.07J. Greenway · Missed · xG 0.06B. Hunt · On goal · xG 0.06L. Kunin · Missed · xG 0.05K. Fiala · Missed · xG 0.04R. Donato · Missed · xG 0.04J. Zucker · On goal · xG 0.03L. Kunin · On goal · xG 0.03M. Foligno · Goal · xG 0.03R. Donato · Missed · xG 0.03M. Foligno · On goal · xG 0.02N. Seeler · On goal · xG 0.02V. Rask · Goal · xG 0.02L. Kunin · On goal · xG 0.02J. Eriksson Ek · Goal · xG 0.02K. Fiala · On goal · xG 0.02J. Greenway · Missed · xG 0.02J. Greenway · On goal · xG 0.02J. Eriksson Ek · Missed · xG 0.01R. Donato · On goal · xG 0.01R. Donato · On goal · xG 0.01R. Donato · On goal · xG 0.01G. Pateryn · Missed · xG 0.01J. Eriksson Ek · On goal · xG 0.01L. Kunin · On goal · xG 0.01B. Hunt · On goal · xG 0.01R. Suter · On goal · xG 0.00L. Kunin · On goal · xG 0.00R. Donato · On goal · xG 0.00B. Hunt · On goal · xG 0.00
MIN5 G · 1.5 xG · 36 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

WPGvsMIN
1.61 G
All situations
5 G1.5
1.40 G
Even strength
5 G1.4
0.20 G
Power play
0 G0.0
0.11 G
Shorthanded
0 G0.0

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 82 unblocked attempts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
WPG53%47%MIN

Flurry-adjusted xG 1.59 – 1.46

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

WPGvsMIN
33
Shots on goal
28
61%
Faceoffs
39%
0/2
Power play
0/2
4
Penalty minutes
4
18
Hits
16
10
Blocked shots
16
1
Giveaways
5
4
Takeaways
2

Box score

every player line
Winnipeg Jets skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
33D. ByfuglienD000-100.02112—23:19
57T. MyersD000-330.04200—21:20
81K. ConnorL000-130.3701010020:36
7B. ChiarotD000040.07110—19:57
55M. ScheifeleC000-130.142005819:49
8J. TroubaD101030.12210—19:08
26B. WheelerR011-150.23102—18:42
5D. KulikovD000-310.01220—18:03
9A. CoppC000010.022107316:47
17A. LowryC000000.043103615:26
18B. LittleC000-300.0001010015:11
29P. LaineL000-210.01000—15:10
88N. BeaulieuD000-100.00000—15:03
28J. RoslovicC000-120.06000014:52
85M. PerreaultC000-120.07100014:19
27N. EhlersL000030.22010—13:53
12K. HayesR000-320.180007813:52
13B. TanevL000000.00100—00:40
Winnipeg Jets goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
1E. Comrie(L)28235.8211.47-3.5359:53

Season series

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).