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Lightning at Canadiens
NHL

Tampa Bay Lightning at Montréal Canadiens

NHL scoreboard
Tampa Bay Lightning
2
Montréal Canadiens
▸4
FinalTV SUN, TSN2·Centre Bell

Recap

written from the game data

The Montréal Canadiens beat the Tampa Bay Lightning 4-2. The Lightning scored first; the Canadiens answered. It was tied 2-2 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Artturi Lehkonen's goal at 7:47 of the third period, which took the Canadiens' chances from 52% to 81%. Expected goals favored the Canadiens, 3.8 to 2.0; shots on goal were TBL 24, MTL 45. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Canadiens win a replay of these chances 73% of the time. Edward Pasquale stopped 41 of 45 (.911), 0.6 goals below expected; Carey Price stopped 22 of 24 (.917). Three stars: 1. Artturi Lehkonen (1 G, 1 A), 2. Tomas Tatar (1 A), 3. Brendan Gallagher.

Three stars

  1. ★
    MTL
    A. Lehkonen1 G, 1 A
  2. ★★
    MTL
    T. Tatar1 A
  3. ★★★
    MTL
    B. Gallagher

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
TBLTBL1711106224
MTLMTL119116210445

Scoring

6 goals

1st period

  1. TBL
    S. Stamkos(43)
    Unassisted
    backhandxG 0.02win prob +12 pts
    1-0
    2:28
  2. MTL
    N. Thompson(5)
    P. Byron (16), J. Benn (16)
    wristxG 0.11win prob +14 pts
    1-1
    12:23

2nd period

  1. TBL
    C. Paquette(13)
    A. Erne (13), E. Cernak (11)
    wristxG 0.08win prob +17 pts
    2-1
    4:18
  2. MTL
    J. Armia(13)
    T. Tatar (33), P. Danault (40)
    wristxG 0.10win prob +18 pts
    2-2
    7:32

3rd period

  1. MTL
    A. Lehkonen(11)
    V. Mete (13), A. Shaw (27)
    wristxG 0.15win prob +29 pts
    2-3
    7:47
  2. MTL
    M. Domi(28)
    A. Lehkonen (18), J. Benn (17)
    wristxG 0.10win prob +13 pts
    2-4
    10:08

Penalties

TBL 6 PIM·MTL 2 PIM

1st

  • 9:58TBLMikhail Sergachev · Interferencedrawn by Tomas Tatar2 min

2nd

  • 13:39TBLBrayden Point · Holdingdrawn by Brendan Gallagher2 min

3rd

  • 17:05MTLTomas Tatar · Holdingdrawn by Erik Cernak2 min
  • 17:05TBLErik Cernak · Embellishmentdrawn by Tomas Tatar2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
MTL goalTBL goalFinal: MTL 100%

Biggest swing: Artturi Lehkonen, 3rd 7:47 — MTL 52% → 81%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
T. Tatar · Missed · xG 0.39P. Byron · On goal · xG 0.21B. Gallagher · On goal · xG 0.20P. Byron · On goal · xG 0.17A. Lehkonen · Goal · xG 0.15P. Danault · On goal · xG 0.15B. Gallagher · On goal · xG 0.12P. Danault · Missed · xG 0.11P. Byron · Missed · xG 0.11N. Thompson · Goal · xG 0.11A. Lehkonen · On goal · xG 0.11J. Armia · Goal · xG 0.10A. Shaw · On goal · xG 0.10T. Tatar · Missed · xG 0.10M. Domi · Goal · xG 0.10J. Petry · Missed · xG 0.10J. Armia · On goal · xG 0.10B. Gallagher · On goal · xG 0.09V. Mete · Missed · xG 0.09J. Drouin · Missed · xG 0.09J. Weal · Missed · xG 0.08A. Lehkonen · Missed · xG 0.07T. Tatar · On goal · xG 0.07T. Tatar · Missed · xG 0.06B. Kulak · On goal · xG 0.06A. Lehkonen · Missed · xG 0.05J. Weal · On goal · xG 0.05B. Gallagher · On goal · xG 0.04M. Domi · On goal · xG 0.04J. Drouin · On goal · xG 0.04B. Gallagher · On goal · xG 0.03P. Danault · On goal · xG 0.03T. Tatar · On goal · xG 0.03B. Gallagher · Missed · xG 0.03J. Petry · On goal · xG 0.03J. Drouin · On goal · xG 0.03J. Armia · On goal · xG 0.03B. Kulak · Missed · xG 0.02P. Danault · On goal · xG 0.02M. Domi · On goal · xG 0.02C. Folin · On goal · xG 0.02N. Thompson · On goal · xG 0.02V. Mete · Missed · xG 0.02S. Weber · On goal · xG 0.02B. Kulak · Missed · xG 0.02C. Folin · On goal · xG 0.02M. Domi · On goal · xG 0.01J. Petry · On goal · xG 0.01C. Folin · On goal · xG 0.01J. Petry · Missed · xG 0.01J. Petry · On goal · xG 0.01A. Lehkonen · On goal · xG 0.01P. Danault · On goal · xG 0.01J. Benn · Missed · xG 0.01B. Gallagher · On goal · xG 0.01B. Kulak · Missed · xG 0.01J. Petry · Missed · xG 0.01A. Lehkonen · Missed · xG 0.01V. Mete · On goal · xG 0.01J. Petry · Missed · xG 0.01A. Lehkonen · On goal · xG 0.01J. Drouin · Missed · xG 0.01J. Armia · On goal · xG 0.01M. Domi · On goal · xG 0.01A. Shaw · Missed · xG 0.00B. Kulak · On goal · xG 0.00A. Lehkonen · On goal · xG 0.00C. Folin · On goal · xG 0.00
MTL4 G · 3.8 xG · 68 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

TBLvsMTL
2.02 G
All situations
4 G3.8
1.72 G
Even strength
4 G3.1
0.30 G
Power play
0 G0.3

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 105 unblocked attempts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
TBL27%73%MTL

Flurry-adjusted xG 2.00 – 3.39

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

TBLvsMTL
24
Shots on goal
45
39%
Faceoffs
61%
0/0
Power play
0/2
6
Penalty minutes
2
44
Hits
38
24
Blocked shots
15
11
Giveaways
12
3
Takeaways
8

Box score

every player line
Tampa Bay Lightning skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
6A. StralmanD000-100.00130—22:52
27R. McDonaghD000-200.02150—22:44
86N. KucherovR000010.10100—22:26
98M. SergachevD000-110.05532—22:14
21B. PointC000-120.440223619:44
81E. CernakD011-130.12312—18:41
37Y. GourdeC000-110.011103318:09
91S. StamkosC101-110.131404016:52
55B. CoburnD000+130.04310—16:39
44J. RuttaD000010.01300—15:54
17A. KillornL000-210.02100—15:28
71A. CirelliC000-210.053101714:41
18O. PalatL000000.09300—13:57
9T. JohnsonC000010.080002512:36
7M. JosephR000-210.03300—11:42
13C. PaquetteC101+130.299107011:20
10J. MillerC000+100.151105010:54
73A. ErneL011+140.39510—10:09
Tampa Bay Lightning goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
80E. Pasquale(L)45414.9113.42-0.5856:58

Season series

TBL leads 3-1

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).