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Canadiens at Lightning
NHL

Montréal Canadiens at Tampa Bay Lightning

NHL scoreboard
Montréal Canadiens
5
Tampa Bay Lightning
▸6
FinalTV SUN, SN·Amalie Arena

Recap

written from the game data

The Tampa Bay Lightning beat the Montréal Canadiens 6-5. The Lightning came back from two goals down. The Canadiens led 5-4 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Adam Erne's goal at 18:58 of the third period, which took the Lightning's chances from 52% to 95%. Expected goals were close — MTL 2.5, TBL 2.4; shots on goal were MTL 38, TBL 32. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Canadiens win a replay of these chances 51% of the time. Antti Niemi stopped 26 of 32 (.813), 3.6 goals below expected; Andrei Vasilevskiy stopped 33 of 38 (.868), 2.5 goals below expected. Three stars: 1. Adam Erne (2 G, 1 A), 2. Yanni Gourde (1 G, 1 A), 3. Andrew Shaw (2 G).

Three stars

  1. ★
    TBL
    A. Erne2 G, 1 A
  2. ★★
    TBL
    Y. Gourde1 G, 1 A
  3. ★★★
    MTL
    A. Shaw2 G

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
MTLMTL31821406538
TBLTBL29210213632

Scoring

11 goals

1st period

  1. MTL
    A. Shaw(10)PPG
    T. Tatar (15), J. Kotkaniemi (14)
    wristxG 0.18win prob +12 pts
    1-0
    9:44
  2. MTL
    K. Agostino(2)
    J. Benn (5), P. Danault (18)
    tip-inxG 0.07win prob +15 pts
    2-0
    10:00
  3. TBL
    Y. Gourde(11)
    A. Erne (8), R. McDonagh (20)
    tip-inxG 0.07win prob +16 pts
    2-1
    14:12
  4. TBL
    A. Stralman(2)
    Unassisted
    wristxG 0.02win prob +15 pts
    2-2
    17:07
  5. MTL
    J. Benn(2)
    P. Danault (19), B. Gallagher (9)
    slapxG 0.03win prob +15 pts
    3-2
    17:35

2nd period

  1. TBL
    N. Kucherov(18)PPG
    V. Hedman (18), B. Point (28)
    slapxG 0.13win prob +13 pts
    3-3
    7:55
  2. TBL
    T. Johnson(18)
    M. Sergachev (13), N. Kucherov (45)
    tip-inxG 0.06win prob +18 pts
    3-4
    8:33
  3. MTL
    B. Kulak(1)
    T. Tatar (16), P. Danault (20)
    slapxG 0.03win prob +19 pts
    4-4
    12:19
  4. MTL
    A. Shaw(11)
    A. Lehkonen (14), S. Weber (5)
    slapxG 0.10win prob +20 pts
    5-4
    13:11

3rd period

  1. TBL
    A. Erne(5)
    A. Stralman (10), V. Hedman (19)
    backhandxG 0.17win prob +31 pts
    5-5
    9:36
  2. TBL
    A. Erne(6)
    Y. Gourde (17), A. Cirelli (7)
    wristxG 0.05win prob +44 pts
    5-6
    18:58

Penalties

MTL 6 PIM·TBL 6 PIM

1st

  • 2:24TBLRyan McDonagh · Delaying game puck over glass2 min
  • 7:54TBLNikita Kucherov · Hookingdrawn by Victor Mete2 min

2nd

  • 7:52MTLJeff Petry · Cross checkingdrawn by Nikita Kucherov2 min
  • 17:43MTLAndrew Shaw · Hookingdrawn by Cedric Paquette2 min

3rd

  • 0:30TBLAlex Killorn · High stickingdrawn by Phillip Danault2 min
  • 5:21MTLBrendan Gallagher · Slashingdrawn by Ondrej Palat2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
TBL goalMTL goalFinal: TBL 100%

Biggest swing: Adam Erne, 3rd 18:58 — TBL 52% → 95%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
V. Hedman · On goal · xG 0.19N. Kucherov · Missed · xG 0.18A. Erne · Goal · xG 0.17B. Point · Missed · xG 0.14A. Erne · On goal · xG 0.14N. Kucherov · Goal · xG 0.13C. Paquette · On goal · xG 0.11S. Stamkos · Missed · xG 0.11A. Cirelli · On goal · xG 0.09B. Point · On goal · xG 0.07A. Cirelli · On goal · xG 0.07R. Callahan · Missed · xG 0.07Y. Gourde · Goal · xG 0.07S. Stamkos · Missed · xG 0.07R. Callahan · Missed · xG 0.06T. Johnson · Goal · xG 0.06O. Palat · On goal · xG 0.06B. Point · On goal · xG 0.05A. Erne · Goal · xG 0.05A. Cirelli · On goal · xG 0.04R. Callahan · On goal · xG 0.04M. Sergachev · Missed · xG 0.04N. Kucherov · Missed · xG 0.04V. Hedman · Missed · xG 0.03V. Hedman · Missed · xG 0.03T. Johnson · On goal · xG 0.03R. McDonagh · Missed · xG 0.03M. Sergachev · On goal · xG 0.03T. Johnson · On goal · xG 0.03S. Stamkos · On goal · xG 0.02A. Stralman · On goal · xG 0.02A. Stralman · Goal · xG 0.02N. Kucherov · On goal · xG 0.02A. Stralman · On goal · xG 0.02E. Cernak · On goal · xG 0.02A. Killorn · On goal · xG 0.02V. Hedman · On goal · xG 0.02Y. Gourde · On goal · xG 0.01N. Kucherov · On goal · xG 0.01V. Hedman · On goal · xG 0.01A. Stralman · On goal · xG 0.01D. Girardi · Missed · xG 0.00V. Hedman · On goal · xG 0.00T. Johnson · On goal · xG 0.00
TBL6 G · 2.4 xG · 44 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

MTLvsTBL
2.55 G
All situations
6 G2.4
1.84 G
Even strength
5 G1.9
0.61 G
Power play
1 G0.5
0.10 G
Shorthanded
0 G0.1

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 95 unblocked attempts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
MTL51%49%TBL

Flurry-adjusted xG 2.48 – 2.43

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

MTLvsTBL
38
Shots on goal
32
48%
Faceoffs
52%
1/3
Power play
1/3
6
Penalty minutes
6
17
Hits
23
15
Blocked shots
14
10
Giveaways
8
3
Takeaways
9

Box score

every player line
Montréal Canadiens skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
6S. WeberD011-110.10210—25:41
26J. PetryD000-240.30422—20:45
53V. MeteD000-210.03120—20:39
24P. DanaultC033+320.100104819:30
28M. ReillyD000-210.04000—18:39
90T. TatarL022030.480205018:24
11B. GallagherR011030.26002—17:48
13M. DomiC000-210.050203517:30
65A. ShawR202040.361025317:19
92J. DrouinL000-210.01110—16:47
41P. ByronL000-210.06210—16:30
62A. LehkonenL011+130.30000—16:28
17B. KulakD101+230.07230—15:25
8J. BennD112+310.03100—14:50
15J. KotkaniemiC011-150.200007513:51
43M. ChaputC000-110.031004409:45
47K. AgostinoL101+120.08100—09:06
63M. PecaC000010.0110010007:53
Montréal Canadiens goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
37A. Niemi(L)32266.8132.44-3.5659:07

Season series

TBL leads 3-1

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).