Montréal Canadiens at Tampa Bay Lightning
Recap
written from the game dataThe Tampa Bay Lightning beat the Montréal Canadiens 3-0. The Lightning scored first and never trailed. It was tied 0-0 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Nikita Kucherov's goal at 2:16 of the third period, which took the Lightning's chances from 55% to 77%. Expected goals favored the Lightning, 2.9 to 1.6; shots on goal were MTL 20, TBL 37. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Lightning win a replay of these chances 73% of the time. Carey Price stopped 34 of 37 (.919); Andrei Vasilevskiy stopped 20 of 20 (1.000), 1.6 goals saved above expected. Three stars: 1. Andrei Vasilevskiy (20 saves, 1.000), 2. Nikita Kucherov (1 G, 1 A), 3. Yanni Gourde (1 G).
Three stars
- ★A. Vasilevskiy20 saves, 1.000

- ★★N. Kucherov1 G, 1 A

- ★★★Y. Gourde1 G

Line score
goals · shots on goal beneathScoring
3 goals3rd period
0-12:16
0-23:41
0-316:46
Penalties
1st
- 9:43
Brett Kulak · Trippingdrawn by Adam Erne2 min
- 17:49
Dan Girardi · Trippingdrawn by Jonathan Drouin2 min
2nd
- 11:01
Max Domi · Roughingdrawn by Yanni Gourde2 min
- 11:01
Yanni Gourde · Roughingdrawn by Max Domi2 min
3rd
- 0:52
Phillip Danault · Hookingdrawn by Brayden Point2 min
- 7:54
Nicolas Deslauriers · Boardingdrawn by Adam Erne2 min
- 13:18
Dale Weise · Roughingdrawn by Adam Erne2 min
- 19:45
Andrew Shaw · Misconduct10 min
- 19:45
Anthony Cirelli · Misconduct10 min
- 19:45
Anthony Cirelli · Roughingdrawn by Andrew Shaw2 min
Win probability
ours · the whole gameBiggest swing: Nikita Kucherov, 3rd 2:16 — 55% → 77%
Shot map
unblocked attempts · size = our xGExpected goals
- 1.60 G
- All situations
- 3 G2.9
- 1.60 G
- Even strength
- 2 G2.3
- 0.00 G
- Power play
- 1 G0.6
- 0.10 G
- Shorthanded
- 0 G0.0
Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 73 unblocked attempts.
Deserve to win
on the chances createdFlurry-adjusted xG 1.62 – 2.87
How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.
Team stats
- 20
- Shots on goal
- 37
- 40%
- Faceoffs
- 60%
- 0/2
- Power play
- 1/4
- 20
- Penalty minutes
- 16
- 23
- Hits
- 24
- 14
- Blocked shots
- 13
- 8
- Giveaways
- 1
- 5
- Takeaways
- 6
Box score
every player line
Season series
Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).
