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Canadiens at Lightning
NHL

Montréal Canadiens at Tampa Bay Lightning

FinalTV NHLN, SUN·Amalie Arena

Recap

written from the game data

The Tampa Bay Lightning beat the Montréal Canadiens 3-0. The Lightning scored first and never trailed. It was tied 0-0 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Nikita Kucherov's goal at 2:16 of the third period, which took the Lightning's chances from 55% to 77%. Expected goals favored the Lightning, 2.9 to 1.6; shots on goal were MTL 20, TBL 37. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Lightning win a replay of these chances 73% of the time. Carey Price stopped 34 of 37 (.919); Andrei Vasilevskiy stopped 20 of 20 (1.000), 1.6 goals saved above expected. Three stars: 1. Andrei Vasilevskiy (20 saves, 1.000), 2. Nikita Kucherov (1 G, 1 A), 3. Yanni Gourde (1 G).

Three stars

  1. ★
    TBL
    A. Vasilevskiy20 saves, 1.000
  2. ★★
    TBL
    N. Kucherov1 G, 1 A
  3. ★★★
    TBL
    Y. Gourde1 G

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
MTLMTL070904020
TBLTBL08012317337

Scoring

3 goals

3rd period

  1. TBL
    S. Stamkos (38), O. Palat (17)
    slapxG 0.15win prob +22 pts
    0-1
    2:16
  2. TBL
    wristxG 0.10win prob +15 pts
    0-2
    3:41
  3. TBL
    S. Stamkos (39), O. Palat (18)
    wristxG 0.10win prob +1 pts
    0-3
    16:46

Penalties

MTL 20 PIM·TBL 16 PIM

1st

  • 9:43MTLBrett Kulak · Trippingdrawn by Adam Erne2 min
  • 17:49TBLDan Girardi · Trippingdrawn by Jonathan Drouin2 min

2nd

  • 11:01MTLMax Domi · Roughingdrawn by Yanni Gourde2 min
  • 11:01TBLYanni Gourde · Roughingdrawn by Max Domi2 min

3rd

  • 0:52MTLPhillip Danault · Hookingdrawn by Brayden Point2 min
  • 7:54MTLNicolas Deslauriers · Boardingdrawn by Adam Erne2 min
  • 13:18MTLDale Weise · Roughingdrawn by Adam Erne2 min
  • 19:45MTLAndrew Shaw · Misconduct10 min
  • 19:45TBLAnthony Cirelli · Misconduct10 min
  • 19:45TBLAnthony Cirelli · Roughingdrawn by Andrew Shaw2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
TBL goalMTL goalFinal: TBL 100%

Biggest swing: Nikita Kucherov, 3rd 2:16 — TBL 55% → 77%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
B. Point · On goal · xG 0.25N. Kucherov · On goal · xG 0.18N. Kucherov · Goal · xG 0.15B. Point · On goal · xG 0.13N. Kucherov · On goal · xG 0.12B. Point · On goal · xG 0.12M. Joseph · Missed · xG 0.12S. Stamkos · Missed · xG 0.11Y. Gourde · On goal · xG 0.11T. Johnson · On goal · xG 0.10B. Point · Missed · xG 0.10T. Johnson · Goal · xG 0.10Y. Gourde · Goal · xG 0.10O. Palat · Missed · xG 0.09B. Point · On goal · xG 0.09J. Miller · On goal · xG 0.09A. Cirelli · On goal · xG 0.09B. Point · On goal · xG 0.08Y. Gourde · On goal · xG 0.07E. Cernak · On goal · xG 0.07V. Hedman · On goal · xG 0.07B. Point · Missed · xG 0.06N. Kucherov · Missed · xG 0.06O. Palat · On goal · xG 0.04V. Hedman · Missed · xG 0.04V. Hedman · On goal · xG 0.03V. Hedman · On goal · xG 0.03E. Cernak · On goal · xG 0.02S. Stamkos · On goal · xG 0.02M. Sergachev · On goal · xG 0.02E. Cernak · On goal · xG 0.02B. Point · Missed · xG 0.02M. Sergachev · On goal · xG 0.02D. Girardi · On goal · xG 0.02V. Hedman · Missed · xG 0.02E. Cernak · On goal · xG 0.02T. Johnson · On goal · xG 0.02D. Girardi · On goal · xG 0.01E. Cernak · On goal · xG 0.01R. McDonagh · On goal · xG 0.01C. Paquette · On goal · xG 0.01M. Joseph · Missed · xG 0.01E. Cernak · On goal · xG 0.01V. Hedman · On goal · xG 0.01M. Joseph · On goal · xG 0.00C. Paquette · On goal · xG 0.00E. Cernak · On goal · xG 0.00
TBL3 G · 2.9 xG · 47 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

MTLvsTBL
1.60 G
All situations
3 G2.9
1.60 G
Even strength
2 G2.3
0.00 G
Power play
1 G0.6
0.10 G
Shorthanded
0 G0.0

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 73 unblocked attempts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
MTL27%73%TBL

Flurry-adjusted xG 1.62 – 2.87

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

MTLvsTBL
20
Shots on goal
37
40%
Faceoffs
60%
0/2
Power play
1/4
20
Penalty minutes
16
23
Hits
24
14
Blocked shots
13
8
Giveaways
1
5
Takeaways
6

Box score

every player line
Montréal Canadiens skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
8J. BennD000-100.02130—22:28
26J. PetryD000-120.09230—21:24
6S. WeberD000010.02130—20:21
28M. ReillyD000-100.05100—19:41
24P. DanaultC000-110.012126118:47
17B. KulakD000-110.01112—17:52
53V. MeteD000000.00100—17:44
40J. ArmiaR000-120.11200—17:29
62A. LehkonenL000-120.30210—16:40
65A. ShawR000010.1610103315:49
13M. DomiC000000.000123815:21
11B. GallagherR000-140.33400—14:40
90T. TatarL000020.16010—14:37
92J. DrouinL000-120.1900010014:34
15J. KotkaniemiC000-120.180002013:10
21N. ThompsonC000000.001002511:43
20N. DeslauriersL000000.00302—09:18
22D. WeiseR000000.00102—08:58
Montréal Canadiens goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
31C. Price(L)37343.9192.88-0.1260:00

Season series

TBL leads 3-1

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).