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Winnipeg Jets at Chicago Blackhawks

Final/OTTV WGN, TSN3·United Center

Recap

written from the game data

The Winnipeg Jets beat the Chicago Blackhawks 4-3 in overtime, Kevin Hayes scoring at 3:38. The lead changed hands 2 times. The Jets led 3-2 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Kevin Hayes's goal at 3:38 of overtime, which took the Jets' chances from 49% to 100%. Expected goals favored the Jets, 4.3 to 3.0; shots on goal were WPG 38, CHI 28. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Jets win a replay of these chances 68% of the time. Connor Hellebuyck stopped 25 of 28 (.893); Corey Crawford stopped 34 of 38 (.895). Three stars: 1. Kevin Hayes (1 G), 2. Dylan Strome (2 G, 1 A), 3. Jack Roslovic (2 G).

Three stars

  1. ★
    WPG
    K. Hayes1 G
  2. ★★
    CHI
    D. Strome2 G, 1 A
  3. ★★★
    WPG
    J. Roslovic2 G

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdOTT
WPGWPG291140916438
CHICHI112171702328

Scoring

7 goals

1st period

  1. CHI
    J. Toews(34)PPG
    wristxG 0.07win prob +9 pts
    0-1
    4:25
  2. WPG
    B. Tanev (15), T. Myers (21)
    wristxG 0.07win prob +13 pts
    1-1
    10:49
  3. WPG
    Unassisted
    wristxG 0.02win prob +16 pts
    2-1
    19:26

2nd period

  1. WPG
    wristxG 0.07win prob +17 pts
    3-1
    5:11
  2. CHI
    wristxG 0.17win prob +17 pts
    3-2
    6:23

3rd period

  1. CHI
    wristxG 0.14win prob +42 pts
    3-3
    17:40

Overtime

  1. WPG
    Unassisted
    wristxG 0.21win prob +51 pts
    4-3
    3:38

Penalties

WPG 11 PIM·CHI 13 PIM

1st

  • 3:29WPGMathieu Perreault · Holdingdrawn by Patrick Kane2 min
  • 12:13CHIDuncan Keith · Trippingdrawn by Nikolaj Ehlers2 min

2nd

  • 0:40CHIJonathan Toews · Ps tripping on breakawaydrawn by Mark Scheifele0 min
  • 0:50CHIErik Gustafsson · Delaying game puck over glass2 min
  • 2:13WPGPatrik Laine · Slashingdrawn by Duncan Keith2 min
  • 11:40CHIGustav Forsling · Holdingdrawn by Andrew Copp2 min
  • 18:36WPGBlake Wheeler · High stickingdrawn by Alex DeBrincat2 min

3rd

  • 8:23CHIErik Gustafsson · Hookingdrawn by Nikolaj Ehlers2 min
  • 19:47WPGDustin Byfuglien · Fightingdrawn by Drake Caggiula5 min
  • 19:47CHIDrake Caggiula · Fightingdrawn by Dustin Byfuglien5 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
CHI goalWPG goalFinal: CHI 0%

Biggest swing: Kevin Hayes, OT 3:38 — WPG 49% → 100%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
P. Kane · Missed · xG 0.21D. Strome · On goal · xG 0.17D. Strome · Goal · xG 0.17B. Saad · On goal · xG 0.15M. Kruger · On goal · xG 0.14D. Strome · Goal · xG 0.14P. Kane · Missed · xG 0.14A. DeBrincat · Missed · xG 0.13J. Toews · On goal · xG 0.13D. Keith · On goal · xG 0.12D. Kahun · Missed · xG 0.11P. Kane · On goal · xG 0.11D. Caggiula · Missed · xG 0.11D. Sikura · Missed · xG 0.11D. Caggiula · Missed · xG 0.10A. Anisimov · Missed · xG 0.09D. Keith · On goal · xG 0.08J. Toews · Goal · xG 0.07A. DeBrincat · Missed · xG 0.07P. Kane · On goal · xG 0.06E. Gustafsson · On goal · xG 0.05J. Toews · On goal · xG 0.05P. Kane · Missed · xG 0.04C. Murphy · On goal · xG 0.04P. Kane · On goal · xG 0.04P. Kane · Missed · xG 0.04D. Sikura · On goal · xG 0.03C. Dahlstrom · Missed · xG 0.02C. Dahlstrom · Missed · xG 0.02J. Toews · On goal · xG 0.02B. Saad · On goal · xG 0.02C. Murphy · On goal · xG 0.02J. Hayden · On goal · xG 0.02C. Dahlstrom · On goal · xG 0.02P. Kane · On goal · xG 0.01E. Gustafsson · Missed · xG 0.01G. Forsling · On goal · xG 0.01B. Seabrook · On goal · xG 0.01C. Murphy · Missed · xG 0.01P. Kane · Missed · xG 0.01C. Dahlstrom · Missed · xG 0.01A. DeBrincat · On goal · xG 0.01M. Kruger · On goal · xG 0.00M. Kruger · On goal · xG 0.00M. Kruger · On goal · xG 0.00
CHI3 G · 3.0 xG · 45 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

WPGvsCHI
4.34 G
All situations
3 G3.0
3.04 G
Even strength
2 G2.3
1.10 G
Power play
1 G0.5
0.20 G
Shorthanded
0 G0.2

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 95 unblocked attempts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
WPG68%32%CHI

Flurry-adjusted xG 4.13 – 2.95

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

WPGvsCHI
38
Shots on goal
28
56%
Faceoffs
44%
0/4
Power play
1/3
11
Penalty minutes
13
23
Hits
20
18
Blocked shots
13
5
Giveaways
11
17
Takeaways
9

Box score

every player line
Winnipeg Jets skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
33D. ByfuglienD000+120.27615—24:28
8J. TroubaD000010.02120—24:01
57T. MyersD011+120.07320—23:09
81K. ConnorL000-140.4601010022:48
55M. ScheifeleC000-130.590105022:11
7B. ChiarotD000020.04130—22:08
26B. WheelerR000000.02002—21:37
29P. LaineL000-150.46102—17:46
18B. LittleC000+100.062006216:18
27N. EhlersL000-150.24020—14:09
5D. KulikovD000+100.00010—13:41
17A. LowryC101+110.104105013:40
13B. TanevL011+120.19110—13:31
9A. CoppC011+210.221007011:38
12K. HayesR101030.561102511:34
88N. BeaulieuD000000.00010—11:25
85M. PerreaultC011+220.34112011:10
28J. RoslovicC202+250.61100010:56
Winnipeg Jets goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
37C. Hellebuyck(W)28253.8932.95-0.0563:26

Season series

WPG leads 4-0

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).