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Chicago Blackhawks at Winnipeg Jets

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Recap

written from the game data

The Winnipeg Jets beat the Chicago Blackhawks 6-5. The Jets scored first and never trailed. The Jets led 4-3 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Nikolaj Ehlers's goal at 1:01 of the second period, which took the Jets' chances from 53% to 69%. Expected goals favored the Blackhawks, 3.7 to 2.6; shots on goal were CHI 31, WPG 33. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Blackhawks win a replay of these chances 66% of the time. Corey Crawford stopped 27 of 33 (.818), 3.4 goals below expected; Connor Hellebuyck stopped 26 of 31 (.839), 1.3 goals below expected. Three stars: 1. Nikolaj Ehlers (3 G), 2. Blake Wheeler (3 A), 3. Patrik Laine (2 G).

Three stars

  1. ★
    WPG
    N. Ehlers3 G
  2. ★★
    WPG
    B. Wheeler3 A
  3. ★★★
    WPG
    P. Laine2 G

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
CHICHI21315213531
WPGWPG21521226633

Scoring

11 goals

1st period

  1. WPG
    wristxG 0.20win prob +12 pts
    0-1
    1:43
  2. CHI
    wristxG 0.17win prob +12 pts
    1-1
    3:03
  3. WPG
    tip-inxG 0.12win prob +12 pts
    1-2
    3:52
  4. CHI
    wristxG 0.31win prob +13 pts
    2-2
    8:10

2nd period

  1. WPG
    slapxG 0.07win prob +16 pts
    2-3
    1:01
  2. WPG
    wristxG 0.15win prob +15 pts
    2-4
    1:46
  3. CHI
    slapxG 0.07win prob +15 pts
    3-4
    9:31

3rd period

  1. WPG
    P. Laine(21)PPG
    Unassisted
    snapxG 0.19win prob +12 pts
    3-5
    1:18
  2. WPG
    Unassisted
    snapxG 0.28win prob +4 pts
    3-6
    9:45
  3. CHI
    slapxG 0.30win prob +2 pts
    4-6
    13:10
  4. CHI
    snapxG 0.16win prob +7 pts
    5-6
    17:08

Penalties

CHI 6 PIM·WPG 4 PIM

1st

  • 11:04CHIGustav Forsling · Holdingdrawn by Mark Scheifele2 min
  • 17:34WPGJacob Trouba · Trippingdrawn by Brandon Saad2 min

2nd

  • 6:55WPGserved by M. Perreault · Too many men on the ice2 min
  • 13:49CHIserved by B. Perlini · Too many men on the ice2 min

3rd

  • 0:21CHIDuncan Keith · Slashingdrawn by Brandon Tanev2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
WPG goalCHI goalFinal: WPG 100%

Biggest swing: Nikolaj Ehlers, 2nd 1:01 — WPG 53% → 69%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
N. Ehlers · Goal · xG 0.28P. Laine · Goal · xG 0.20M. Scheifele · On goal · xG 0.19P. Laine · Goal · xG 0.19M. Scheifele · On goal · xG 0.17J. Trouba · Goal · xG 0.15N. Ehlers · Goal · xG 0.12B. Little · On goal · xG 0.12M. Scheifele · On goal · xG 0.09B. Wheeler · On goal · xG 0.09K. Connor · On goal · xG 0.08N. Ehlers · Goal · xG 0.07N. Ehlers · Missed · xG 0.07M. Scheifele · On goal · xG 0.07K. Connor · On goal · xG 0.07P. Laine · Missed · xG 0.06B. Wheeler · On goal · xG 0.06M. Scheifele · On goal · xG 0.05B. Wheeler · On goal · xG 0.05M. Scheifele · On goal · xG 0.04P. Laine · On goal · xG 0.04J. Trouba · On goal · xG 0.04P. Laine · On goal · xG 0.04J. Trouba · On goal · xG 0.03N. Ehlers · On goal · xG 0.03J. Roslovic · On goal · xG 0.02B. Tanev · On goal · xG 0.02J. Morrissey · On goal · xG 0.02J. Morrissey · On goal · xG 0.02C. Schilling · Missed · xG 0.02T. Myers · Missed · xG 0.02B. Chiarot · On goal · xG 0.02B. Chiarot · On goal · xG 0.02J. Morrissey · Missed · xG 0.01N. Ehlers · On goal · xG 0.01B. Chiarot · On goal · xG 0.01C. Schilling · Missed · xG 0.01T. Myers · Missed · xG 0.01J. Trouba · On goal · xG 0.01B. Little · On goal · xG 0.00
WPG6 G · 2.6 xG · 40 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

CHIvsWPG
3.75 G
All situations
6 G2.6
3.35 G
Even strength
5 G2.1
0.40 G
Power play
1 G0.6
0.00 G
Shorthanded
0 G0.0

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 86 unblocked attempts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
CHI66%34%WPG

Flurry-adjusted xG 3.61 – 2.61

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

CHIvsWPG
31
Shots on goal
33
40%
Faceoffs
60%
0/2
Power play
1/3
6
Penalty minutes
4
7
Hits
9
10
Blocked shots
18
5
Giveaways
12
6
Takeaways
13

Box score

every player line
Chicago Blackhawks skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
42G. ForslingD000-120.05012—23:37
88P. KaneR011-420.23000—22:48
19J. ToewsC000-120.240004222:33
2D. KeithD000010.08022—22:23
56E. GustafssonD011-100.02210—22:08
20B. SaadL000030.40100—20:36
44J. RuttaD101+120.09000—19:32
12A. DeBrincatR011-350.64000—17:30
7B. SeabrookD000000.08020—17:26
64D. KampfC022+320.160001816:07
24D. KahunC101+340.69000014:03
11B. PerliniL000-100.00010—13:38
17D. StromeC000-400.000104213:18
23B. ManningD000+110.10110—12:55
15A. AnisimovC112+210.260103312:45
40J. HaydenC112+320.40100012:07
29A. MartinsenL011+130.10200—07:37
16M. KrugerC101+110.1700010006:01
Chicago Blackhawks goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
50C. Crawford(L)33276.8182.62-3.3858:15

Season series

WPG leads 4-0

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).