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Chicago Blackhawks at Winnipeg Jets

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Recap

written from the game data

The Winnipeg Jets beat the Chicago Blackhawks 6-3. The Jets scored first and never trailed. The Jets led 4-2 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Alex DeBrincat's goal at 6:08 of the third period, which took the Blackhawks' chances from 6% to 20%. Expected goals favored the Jets, 4.0 to 1.5; shots on goal were CHI 35, WPG 34. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Jets win a replay of these chances 68% of the time. Cam Ward stopped 28 of 33 (.848), 2.5 goals below expected; Laurent Brossoit stopped 32 of 35 (.914), 1.4 goals below expected. Three stars: 1. Kyle Connor (2 G), 2. Mark Scheifele (1 G, 1 A), 3. Dustin Byfuglien (3 A).

Three stars

  1. ★
    WPG
    K. Connor2 G
  2. ★★
    WPG
    M. Scheifele1 G, 1 A
  3. ★★★
    WPG
    D. Byfuglien3 A

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
CHICHI05217113335
WPGWPG31511029634

Scoring

9 goals

1st period

  1. WPG
    deflectedxG 0.07win prob +10 pts
    0-1
    7:49
  2. WPG
    snapxG 0.10win prob +14 pts
    0-2
    9:01
  3. WPG
    backhandxG 0.04win prob +10 pts
    0-3
    13:38

2nd period

  1. WPG
    K. Connor(13)PPG
    wristxG 0.10win prob +3 pts
    0-4
    1:44
  2. CHI
    P. Kane (20), D. Keith (13)
    wristxG 0.05win prob +4 pts
    1-4
    2:04
  3. CHI
    backhandxG 0.10win prob +8 pts
    2-4
    7:09

3rd period

  1. CHI
    P. Kane (21)
    wristxG 0.02win prob +14 pts
    3-4
    6:08
  2. WPG
    wristxG 0.30win prob +11 pts
    3-5
    11:36
  3. WPG
    wristxG 0.94
    3-6
    19:55

Penalties

CHI 10 PIM·WPG 4 PIM

1st

  • 6:37CHIJan Rutta · Holdingdrawn by Brendan Lemieux2 min
  • 15:24CHIserved by D. Strome · Too many men on the ice2 min
  • 16:15WPGDustin Byfuglien · Slashingdrawn by David Kampf2 min

2nd

  • 0:52CHIConnor Murphy · Slashingdrawn by Brandon Tanev2 min
  • 11:43WPGJosh Morrissey · Slashingdrawn by Patrick Kane2 min

3rd

  • 3:28CHIPatrick Kane · Hookingdrawn by Mark Scheifele2 min
  • 9:45CHIJan Rutta · High stickingdrawn by Jack Roslovic2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
WPG goalCHI goalFinal: WPG 100%

Biggest swing: Alex DeBrincat, 3rd 6:08 — CHI 6% → 20%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
B. Tanev · Goal · xG 0.94K. Connor · Missed · xG 0.56M. Perreault · Goal · xG 0.30K. Connor · On goal · xG 0.18A. Lowry · On goal · xG 0.15B. Little · Missed · xG 0.11B. Tanev · On goal · xG 0.11K. Connor · Goal · xG 0.10T. Myers · Goal · xG 0.10N. Ehlers · On goal · xG 0.09P. Laine · On goal · xG 0.08M. Appleton · Missed · xG 0.07K. Connor · On goal · xG 0.07N. Ehlers · On goal · xG 0.07M. Scheifele · Goal · xG 0.07P. Laine · Missed · xG 0.06N. Ehlers · Missed · xG 0.05B. Tanev · Missed · xG 0.05K. Connor · Missed · xG 0.05M. Perreault · On goal · xG 0.05B. Wheeler · Missed · xG 0.05K. Connor · Goal · xG 0.04K. Connor · On goal · xG 0.04P. Laine · On goal · xG 0.04P. Laine · On goal · xG 0.04M. Perreault · On goal · xG 0.04T. Myers · On goal · xG 0.04B. Wheeler · On goal · xG 0.03P. Laine · Missed · xG 0.03M. Scheifele · On goal · xG 0.03N. Ehlers · On goal · xG 0.03A. Lowry · Missed · xG 0.03D. Byfuglien · On goal · xG 0.03D. Byfuglien · On goal · xG 0.03B. Wheeler · Missed · xG 0.02N. Ehlers · On goal · xG 0.02B. Wheeler · Missed · xG 0.02A. Lowry · On goal · xG 0.02B. Little · On goal · xG 0.02B. Wheeler · On goal · xG 0.02D. Byfuglien · On goal · xG 0.01J. Trouba · On goal · xG 0.01D. Byfuglien · Missed · xG 0.01M. Scheifele · Missed · xG 0.01J. Trouba · Missed · xG 0.01B. Tanev · Missed · xG 0.01N. Ehlers · On goal · xG 0.01A. Lowry · On goal · xG 0.01B. Tanev · On goal · xG 0.01D. Byfuglien · On goal · xG 0.00
WPG6 G · 4.0 xG · 50 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

CHIvsWPG
1.53 G
All situations
5 G4.0
1.03 G
Even strength
2 G1.4
0.50 G
Power play
3 G1.1
0.00 G
Shorthanded
0 G0.0

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 95 unblocked attempts. Empty-net goals are left out of the goal counts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
CHI32%68%WPG

Flurry-adjusted xG 1.54 – 2.43

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

CHIvsWPG
35
Shots on goal
34
40%
Faceoffs
60%
0/2
Power play
3/5
10
Penalty minutes
4
18
Hits
19
10
Blocked shots
8
11
Giveaways
11
4
Takeaways
5

Box score

every player line
Chicago Blackhawks skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
2D. KeithD011+240.18000—22:51
5C. MurphyD000-120.07112—22:20
7B. SeabrookD000-120.11340—22:12
19J. ToewsC000-140.171104720:34
88P. KaneR022+230.15002—20:29
20B. SaadL000-200.00210—19:33
23B. ManningD000000.01100—18:50
12A. DeBrincatR101+120.10110—17:45
28H. JokiharjuD011-120.01200—16:42
17D. StromeC101+130.141005016:23
64D. KampfC011020.120001716:21
44J. RuttaD000+120.05204—16:00
24D. KahunC101030.201006714:09
40J. HaydenC000-100.05000013:20
11B. PerliniL000-130.09100—12:07
16M. KrugerC000020.060205010:15
14C. KunitzL000010.06100—07:22
84A. FortinL000000.0010010007:02
Chicago Blackhawks goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
30C. Ward(L)33285.8482.47-2.5358:09

Season series

WPG leads 4-0

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).