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Capitals at Lightning
NHL

Washington Capitals at Tampa Bay Lightning

NHL scoreboard
Washington Capitals
▸6
Tampa Bay Lightning
3
FinalTV NHLN, NBCSWA·Amalie Arena

Recap

written from the game data

The Washington Capitals beat the Tampa Bay Lightning 6-3. The Capitals scored first and never trailed. The Capitals led 4-1 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was T.J. Oshie's goal at 10:45 of the first period, which took the Capitals' chances from 60% to 75%. Expected goals favored the Lightning, 3.1 to 2.3; shots on goal were WSH 35, TBL 28. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Lightning win a replay of these chances 64% of the time. Braden Holtby stopped 25 of 28 (.893); Andrei Vasilevskiy stopped 29 of 35 (.829), 3.7 goals below expected. Three stars: 1. T.J. Oshie (2 G, 1 A), 2. Nicklas Backstrom (2 G, 1 A), 3. Tyler Johnson (1 G).

Three stars

  1. ★
    WSH
    T. Oshie2 G, 1 A
  2. ★★
    WSH
    N. Backstrom2 G, 1 A
  3. ★★★
    TBL
    T. Johnson1 G

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
WSHWSH31311527635
TBLTBL0519214328

Scoring

9 goals

1st period

  1. WSH
    N. Backstrom(20)
    T. Wilson (18), C. Djoos (9)
    wristxG 0.14win prob +13 pts
    1-0
    7:24
  2. WSH
    T. Oshie(24)
    N. Jensen (18), C. Hagelin (13)
    backhandxG 0.14win prob +16 pts
    2-0
    10:45
  3. WSH
    T. Oshie(25)PPG
    J. Carlson (55), E. Kuznetsov (50)
    wristxG 0.02win prob +10 pts
    3-0
    16:00

2nd period

  1. WSH
    N. Backstrom(21)
    D. Orlov (26), C. Stephenson (6)
    backhandxG 0.12win prob +5 pts
    4-0
    7:53
  2. TBL
    J. Miller(13)
    M. Sergachev (23), R. McDonagh (34)
    tip-inxG 0.07win prob +3 pts
    4-1
    17:25

3rd period

  1. TBL
    T. Johnson(28)
    Unassisted
    wristxG 0.11win prob +6 pts
    4-2
    3:36
  2. WSH
    A. Ovechkin(50)
    T. Oshie (27), N. Backstrom (52)
    wristxG 0.11win prob +2 pts
    5-2
    14:35
  3. WSH
    A. Ovechkin(51)PPG
    J. Carlson (56), E. Kuznetsov (51)
    slapxG 0.08
    6-2
    16:15
  4. TBL
    N. Kucherov(39)PPG
    M. Sergachev (24), J. Miller (32)
    slapxG 0.19
    6-3
    19:32

Penalties

WSH 16 PIM·TBL 20 PIM

1st

  • 0:21TBLAndrei Vasilevskiy · Trippingdrawn by Nicklas Backstrom2 min
  • 14:12TBLYanni Gourde · High stickingdrawn by T.J. Oshie2 min

2nd

  • 9:31TBLBraydon Coburn · Boardingdrawn by Carl Hagelin2 min
  • 13:44WSHTom Wilson · High stickingdrawn by Nikita Kucherov2 min

3rd

  • 0:47TBLMikhail Sergachev · High stickingdrawn by Jakub Vrana2 min
  • 9:26TBLAnthony Cirelli · Fightingdrawn by Brooks Orpik5 min
  • 9:26WSHBrooks Orpik · Fightingdrawn by Victor Hedman5 min
  • 9:26WSHBrooks Orpik · Roughingdrawn by Anthony Cirelli2 min
  • 12:13TBLErik Cernak · Fightingdrawn by Tom Wilson5 min
  • 12:13WSHTom Wilson · Fightingdrawn by Erik Cernak5 min
  • 15:30TBLNikita Kucherov · Trippingdrawn by Evgeny Kuznetsov2 min
  • 19:14WSHNic Dowd · Hookingdrawn by Steven Stamkos2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
TBL goalWSH goalFinal: TBL 0%

Biggest swing: T.J. Oshie, 1st 10:45 — WSH 60% → 75%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
A. Killorn · Missed · xG 0.27B. Point · On goal · xG 0.27N. Kucherov · Goal · xG 0.19C. Paquette · On goal · xG 0.13A. Killorn · On goal · xG 0.13T. Johnson · On goal · xG 0.13C. Paquette · On goal · xG 0.12O. Palat · On goal · xG 0.12S. Stamkos · On goal · xG 0.12A. Killorn · On goal · xG 0.12S. Stamkos · On goal · xG 0.11S. Stamkos · On goal · xG 0.11Y. Gourde · On goal · xG 0.11T. Johnson · Goal · xG 0.11N. Kucherov · On goal · xG 0.10S. Stamkos · Missed · xG 0.10S. Stamkos · On goal · xG 0.09V. Hedman · Missed · xG 0.08A. Killorn · Missed · xG 0.07N. Kucherov · On goal · xG 0.07J. Miller · Goal · xG 0.07S. Stamkos · On goal · xG 0.06R. Callahan · On goal · xG 0.06A. Killorn · On goal · xG 0.04B. Point · Missed · xG 0.04A. Cirelli · Missed · xG 0.04E. Cernak · On goal · xG 0.04S. Stamkos · On goal · xG 0.04M. Sergachev · On goal · xG 0.03A. Killorn · On goal · xG 0.03E. Cernak · Missed · xG 0.02M. Sergachev · On goal · xG 0.02A. Cirelli · On goal · xG 0.02A. Erne · On goal · xG 0.01J. Rutta · Missed · xG 0.01B. Coburn · On goal · xG 0.01
TBL3 G · 3.1 xG · 36 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

WSHvsTBL
2.36 G
All situations
3 G3.1
2.04 G
Even strength
2 G2.3
0.32 G
Power play
1 G0.7
0.00 G
Shorthanded
0 G0.1

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 81 unblocked attempts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
WSH36%64%TBL

Flurry-adjusted xG 2.29 – 3.07

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

WSHvsTBL
35
Shots on goal
28
54%
Faceoffs
46%
2/5
Power play
1/3
16
Penalty minutes
20
18
Hits
22
13
Blocked shots
10
6
Giveaways
10
8
Takeaways
6

Box score

every player line
Washington Capitals skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
74J. CarlsonD022+250.05010—24:39
2M. NiskanenD000+120.04010—23:08
8A. OvechkinL202+380.58400—22:28
9D. OrlovD011+110.09320—22:25
19N. BackstromC213+230.290103922:01
92E. KuznetsovC022+100.000005320:35
77T. OshieR213+120.350202518:53
62C. HagelinL011+120.13120—17:53
43T. WilsonR011+200.08207—17:33
3N. JensenD011030.07100—16:46
20L. EllerC000010.082009014:13
65A. BurakovskyL000000.12100—13:03
44B. OrpikD000010.01107—12:30
29C. DjoosD011020.07010—12:26
13J. VranaL000-120.07110—11:58
26N. DowdC000-120.251125710:15
18C. StephensonC011-110.03110009:09
72T. BoydC000-100.00000006:04
Washington Capitals goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
70B. Holtby(W)28253.8933.08+0.0859:43

Season series

TBL leads 2-1

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).