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Flyers at Hurricanes
NHL

Philadelphia Flyers at Carolina Hurricanes

NHL scoreboard
Philadelphia Flyers
2
Carolina Hurricanes
▸5
FinalTV ESPN+, FS-CR·PNC Arena

Recap

written from the game data

The Carolina Hurricanes beat the Philadelphia Flyers 5-2. The Flyers scored first; the Hurricanes answered. The Hurricanes led 2-1 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Dougie Hamilton's goal at 13:56 of the first period, which took the Hurricanes' chances from 54% to 68%. Expected goals favored the Hurricanes, 4.5 to 3.0; shots on goal were PHI 32, CAR 32. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Hurricanes win a replay of these chances 59% of the time. Cam Talbot stopped 27 of 30 (.900), 0.6 goals saved above expected; Petr Mrazek stopped 30 of 32 (.938), 1.0 goals saved above expected. Three stars: 1. Dougie Hamilton (1 G), 2. Petr Mrazek (30 saves, .938), 3. Teuvo Teravainen (1 G, 1 A).

Three stars

  1. ★
    CAR
    D. Hamilton1 G
  2. ★★
    CAR
    P. Mrazek30 saves, .938
  3. ★★★
    CAR
    T. Teravainen1 G, 1 A

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
PHIPHI1807117232
CARCAR21301039532

Scoring

7 goals

1st period

  1. PHI
    C. Giroux(21)
    C. Knight (3), J. van Riemsdyk (19)
    wristxG 0.14win prob +14 pts
    1-0
    12:05
  2. CAR
    T. Teravainen(20)PPG
    N. Niederreiter (28), J. Williams (29)
    wristxG 0.17win prob +11 pts
    1-1
    13:35
  3. CAR
    D. Hamilton(16)
    J. Staal (15), B. McGinn (14)
    snapxG 0.13win prob +14 pts
    1-2
    13:56

3rd period

  1. CAR
    J. Faulk(9)PPG
    T. Teravainen (52), S. Aho (52)
    slapxG 0.05win prob +9 pts
    1-3
    11:57
  2. PHI
    O. Lindblom(14)PPG
    J. van Riemsdyk (20), T. Sanheim (25)
    wristxG 0.18win prob +8 pts
    2-3
    13:12
  3. CAR
    J. Slavin(7)EN
    B. Pesce (21), P. Mrazek (1)
    snapxG 0.38win prob +8 pts
    2-4
    18:05
  4. CAR
    B. McGinn(10)EN
    Unassisted
    wristxG 0.45
    2-5
    19:41

Penalties

PHI 14 PIM·CAR 6 PIM

1st

  • 12:25PHIRadko Gudas · Holdingdrawn by Warren Foegele2 min

2nd

  • 15:19CARJustin Williams · Interferencedrawn by Claude Giroux2 min

3rd

  • 11:03PHIScott Laughton · Cross checkingdrawn by Nino Niederreiter2 min
  • 11:57PHISean Couturier · Misconduct10 min
  • 12:49CARJordan Staal · Interferencedrawn by Jakub Voracek2 min
  • 16:30CARJustin Williams · Trippingdrawn by Ivan Provorov2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
CAR goalPHI goalFinal: CAR 100%

Biggest swing: Dougie Hamilton, 1st 13:56 — CAR 54% → 68%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
B. McGinn · Goal · xG 0.45J. Slavin · Goal · xG 0.38J. Staal · On goal · xG 0.31S. Aho · On goal · xG 0.22S. Aho · Missed · xG 0.21J. Williams · Missed · xG 0.19T. Teravainen · Goal · xG 0.17M. Ferland · Missed · xG 0.16N. Niederreiter · On goal · xG 0.15A. Svechnikov · On goal · xG 0.14J. Martinook · Missed · xG 0.13D. Hamilton · Goal · xG 0.13J. Williams · Missed · xG 0.13J. Williams · On goal · xG 0.11J. Williams · Missed · xG 0.11T. Teravainen · Missed · xG 0.10L. Wallmark · Missed · xG 0.10J. Slavin · Missed · xG 0.09T. Teravainen · On goal · xG 0.09J. Williams · Missed · xG 0.09N. Niederreiter · Missed · xG 0.09D. Hamilton · On goal · xG 0.08L. Wallmark · Missed · xG 0.07G. McKegg · Missed · xG 0.06T. Teravainen · Missed · xG 0.06J. Martinook · On goal · xG 0.06A. Svechnikov · On goal · xG 0.05A. Svechnikov · On goal · xG 0.05B. McGinn · Missed · xG 0.05J. Williams · On goal · xG 0.05J. Faulk · Goal · xG 0.05J. Staal · On goal · xG 0.04J. Staal · On goal · xG 0.04S. Aho · On goal · xG 0.03J. Slavin · Missed · xG 0.02T. van Riemsdyk · Missed · xG 0.02J. Faulk · On goal · xG 0.02D. Hamilton · On goal · xG 0.02J. Slavin · On goal · xG 0.02D. Hamilton · On goal · xG 0.02T. van Riemsdyk · On goal · xG 0.02C. de Haan · Missed · xG 0.02B. Pesce · On goal · xG 0.01J. Faulk · On goal · xG 0.01J. Faulk · Missed · xG 0.01J. Slavin · On goal · xG 0.01C. de Haan · Missed · xG 0.01S. Aho · On goal · xG 0.01J. Slavin · On goal · xG 0.01J. Martinook · On goal · xG 0.01M. Ferland · On goal · xG 0.00A. Svechnikov · On goal · xG 0.00
CAR5 G · 4.5 xG · 52 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

PHIvsCAR
3.02 G
All situations
3 G4.5
1.81 G
Even strength
1 G3.2
1.01 G
Power play
2 G0.3
0.20 G
Shorthanded
0 G0.2

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 96 unblocked attempts. Empty-net goals are left out of the goal counts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
PHI41%59%CAR

Flurry-adjusted xG 2.99 – 3.57

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

PHIvsCAR
32
Shots on goal
32
38%
Faceoffs
62%
1/3
Power play
2/2
14
Penalty minutes
6
19
Hits
24
14
Blocked shots
14
10
Giveaways
10
8
Takeaways
20

Box score

every player line
Philadelphia Flyers skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
6T. SanheimD011-250.55010—25:09
9I. ProvorovD000000.04120—23:48
28C. GirouxR101-230.160003321:09
61P. MyersD000-100.01400—19:09
11T. KonecnyR000040.172105018:54
25J. van RiemsdykL022-100.04100—18:50
93J. VoracekR000-320.07000—17:35
14S. CouturierC000-130.4300103017:25
3R. GudasD000+110.05222—17:23
21S. LaughtonC000020.031223317:04
23O. LindblomL101-250.77000—17:03
38R. HartmanR000020.17010—16:18
19N. PatrickC000-210.291003616:03
5S. MorinL000-100.00120—14:46
8R. HaggD000+120.03310—14:38
12M. RafflL000020.23300—09:10
44P. VaroneC000000.000203308:35
10C. KnightC011+100.000008007:42
Philadelphia Flyers goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
33C. Talbot(L)30273.9003.63+0.6357:15

Season series

CAR leads 4-0

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).