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Philadelphia Flyers at Carolina Hurricanes

FinalTV FS-CR, NBCSP·PNC Arena

Recap

written from the game data

The Carolina Hurricanes beat the Philadelphia Flyers 3-1. The Hurricanes scored first and never trailed. The Hurricanes led 3-0 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Jordan Martinook's goal at 0:06 of the second period, which took the Hurricanes' chances from 69% to 83%. Expected goals favored the Hurricanes, 3.1 to 2.0; shots on goal were PHI 23, CAR 33. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Hurricanes win a replay of these chances 68% of the time. Michal Neuvirth stopped 23 of 23 (1.000), 2.5 goals saved above expected; Curtis McElhinney stopped 22 of 23 (.957), 1.0 goals saved above expected. Three stars: 1. Lucas Wallmark (1 G), 2. Andrei Svechnikov (1 G), 3. Curtis McElhinney (22 saves, .957).

Three stars

  1. ★
    CAR
    L. Wallmark1 G
  2. ★★
    CAR
    A. Svechnikov1 G
  3. ★★★
    CAR
    C. McElhinney22 saves, .957

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
PHIPHI0110616123
CARCAR18214011333

Scoring

4 goals

1st period

  1. CAR
    snapxG 0.03win prob +13 pts
    0-1
    10:47

2nd period

  1. CAR
    Unassisted
    snapxG 0.07win prob +15 pts
    0-2
    0:06
  2. CAR
    snapxG 0.10win prob +9 pts
    0-3
    2:19

3rd period

  1. PHI
    snapxG 0.11win prob +6 pts
    1-3
    2:38

Penalties

PHI 4 PIM·CAR 4 PIM

1st

  • 18:04CARAndrei Svechnikov · Hookingdrawn by Travis Sanheim2 min

2nd

  • 6:38CARJanne Kuokkanen · Hookingdrawn by Phil Varone2 min

3rd

  • 5:27PHIWayne Simmonds · Trippingdrawn by Sebastian Aho2 min
  • 19:26PHIClaude Giroux · Slashingdrawn by Teuvo Teravainen2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
CAR goalPHI goalFinal: CAR 100%

Biggest swing: Jordan Martinook, 2nd 0:06 — CAR 69% → 83%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
S. Aho · On goal · xG 0.29A. Svechnikov · Missed · xG 0.26B. McGinn · On goal · xG 0.23T. Teravainen · On goal · xG 0.20M. Ferland · Missed · xG 0.14M. Ferland · Missed · xG 0.14J. Williams · On goal · xG 0.13T. Teravainen · On goal · xG 0.12J. Williams · Missed · xG 0.12J. Williams · Missed · xG 0.10J. Williams · On goal · xG 0.10A. Svechnikov · Goal · xG 0.10J. Williams · Missed · xG 0.09M. Ferland · On goal · xG 0.08A. Svechnikov · Missed · xG 0.08J. Martinook · Goal · xG 0.07M. Ferland · On goal · xG 0.07B. McGinn · Missed · xG 0.06W. Foegele · On goal · xG 0.06D. Hamilton · Missed · xG 0.06J. Williams · On goal · xG 0.05B. McGinn · On goal · xG 0.05A. Svechnikov · Missed · xG 0.04S. Aho · On goal · xG 0.04W. Foegele · On goal · xG 0.04J. Williams · Missed · xG 0.03D. Hamilton · On goal · xG 0.03J. Faulk · Missed · xG 0.03J. Williams · On goal · xG 0.03L. Wallmark · Goal · xG 0.03W. Foegele · Missed · xG 0.03B. Pesce · Missed · xG 0.02B. Pesce · On goal · xG 0.02J. Kuokkanen · Missed · xG 0.02J. Slavin · On goal · xG 0.02T. van Riemsdyk · On goal · xG 0.02C. de Haan · On goal · xG 0.02D. Hamilton · On goal · xG 0.01J. Slavin · On goal · xG 0.01B. Pesce · On goal · xG 0.01L. Wallmark · On goal · xG 0.01C. de Haan · On goal · xG 0.01D. Hamilton · On goal · xG 0.01C. de Haan · On goal · xG 0.01J. Faulk · On goal · xG 0.01J. Williams · On goal · xG 0.00J. Slavin · On goal · xG 0.00D. Hamilton · On goal · xG 0.00
CAR3 G · 3.1 xG · 48 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

PHIvsCAR
2.01 G
All situations
3 G3.1
1.71 G
Even strength
3 G1.8
0.30 G
Power play
0 G1.2
0.00 G
Shorthanded
0 G0.1

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 85 unblocked attempts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
PHI32%68%CAR

Flurry-adjusted xG 2.02 – 3.00

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

PHIvsCAR
23
Shots on goal
33
60%
Faceoffs
40%
0/2
Power play
0/2
4
Penalty minutes
4
17
Hits
18
17
Blocked shots
21
29
Giveaways
13
5
Takeaways
17

Box score

every player line
Philadelphia Flyers skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
9I. ProvorovD000-100.16120—25:09
6T. SanheimD000-130.15010—24:14
53S. GostisbehereD000020.05130—20:32
14S. CouturierC000020.260203820:19
28C. GirouxR000-210.051027420:17
25J. van RiemsdykL000-230.14000—18:36
11T. KonecnyR000-210.10100—18:12
17W. SimmondsR011010.06002—17:08
93J. VoracekR101+130.17000—16:44
3R. GudasD000-100.01120—16:30
21S. LaughtonC011020.323005815:17
8R. HaggD000020.16310—15:12
47A. MacDonaldD000-100.00020—14:46
40J. WealC000-100.000105714:31
12M. RafflL000010.02310—14:22
22D. WeiseR000010.03000—09:37
23O. LindblomL000010.33120—09:31
44P. VaroneC000000.002007807:55
Philadelphia Flyers goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
30M. Neuvirth232301.0002.55+2.5536:15
79C. Hart(L)1073.7000.52-2.4822:19

Season series

CAR leads 4-0

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).