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Hurricanes at Flyers
NHL

Carolina Hurricanes at Philadelphia Flyers

NHL scoreboard
Carolina Hurricanes
▸5
Philadelphia Flyers
3
FinalTV FS-SE, NBCSP·Wells Fargo Center

Recap

written from the game data

The Carolina Hurricanes beat the Philadelphia Flyers 5-3. The Hurricanes scored first and never trailed. The Hurricanes led 3-0 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Dougie Hamilton's goal at 1:56 of the second period, which took the Hurricanes' chances from 47% to 63%. Expected goals favored the Flyers, 2.9 to 1.7; shots on goal were CAR 28, PHI 37. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Flyers win a replay of these chances 70% of the time. Petr Mrazek stopped 34 of 37 (.919); Michal Neuvirth stopped 23 of 28 (.821), 3.3 goals below expected. Three stars: 1. Teuvo Teravainen (2 G, 1 A), 2. Claude Giroux (2 A), 3. Sebastian Aho (2 A).

Three stars

  1. ★
    CAR
    T. Teravainen2 G, 1 A
  2. ★★
    PHI
    C. Giroux2 A
  3. ★★★
    CAR
    S. Aho2 A

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
CARCAR0133728528
PHIPHI08014315337

Scoring

8 goals

2nd period

  1. CAR
    D. Hamilton(4)
    T. Teravainen (22), B. McGinn (6)
    wristxG 0.01win prob +16 pts
    1-0
    1:56
  2. CAR
    J. Williams(8)PPG
    S. Aho (25), D. Hamilton (8)
    snapxG 0.06win prob +14 pts
    2-0
    3:04
  3. CAR
    T. Teravainen(9)PPG
    S. Aho (26), M. Ferland (7)
    snapxG 0.15win prob +9 pts
    3-0
    17:20

3rd period

  1. CAR
    W. Foegele(5)
    J. Faulk (11), C. de Haan (8)
    deflectedxG 0.04win prob +2 pts
    4-0
    5:01
  2. PHI
    W. Simmonds(12)PPG
    J. Voracek (21), C. Giroux (32)
    wristxG 0.14win prob +1 pts
    4-1
    6:17
  3. PHI
    S. Couturier(15)
    C. Giroux (33), T. Konecny (13)
    deflectedxG 0.07win prob +5 pts
    4-2
    7:23
  4. PHI
    J. van Riemsdyk(6)PPG
    J. Voracek (22), S. Gostisbehere (12)
    wristxG 0.24win prob +11 pts
    4-3
    10:58
  5. CAR
    T. Teravainen(10)
    C. de Haan (9)
    wristxG 0.09win prob +10 pts
    5-3
    15:13

Penalties

CAR 12 PIM·PHI 10 PIM

1st

  • 14:50PHIWayne Simmonds · Interferencedrawn by Jordan Martinook2 min
  • 14:52CARJustin Williams · Trippingdrawn by Ivan Provorov2 min

2nd

  • 2:10PHIWayne Simmonds · Trippingdrawn by Micheal Ferland2 min
  • 3:53CARAndrei Svechnikov · High stickingdrawn by Travis Konecny2 min
  • 9:18CARDougie Hamilton · Holdingdrawn by Jakub Voracek2 min
  • 16:16PHIRobert Hagg · Roughingdrawn by Andrei Svechnikov2 min
  • 16:16PHIRobert Hagg · Roughingdrawn by Andrei Svechnikov2 min
  • 16:16CARAndrei Svechnikov · Roughingdrawn by Robert Hagg2 min
  • 18:10PHIJakub Voracek · Holdingdrawn by Victor Rask2 min

3rd

  • 5:30CARTrevor van Riemsdyk · Interferencedrawn by Oskar Lindblom2 min
  • 9:43CARDougie Hamilton · Hookingdrawn by Scott Laughton2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
PHI goalCAR goalFinal: PHI 0%

Biggest swing: Dougie Hamilton, 2nd 1:56 — CAR 47% → 63%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
J. van Riemsdyk · Goal · xG 0.24C. Giroux · On goal · xG 0.21W. Simmonds · Goal · xG 0.14J. van Riemsdyk · Missed · xG 0.13D. Weise · On goal · xG 0.11W. Simmonds · On goal · xG 0.11S. Gostisbehere · Missed · xG 0.11W. Simmonds · On goal · xG 0.09S. Couturier · On goal · xG 0.09I. Provorov · On goal · xG 0.08O. Lindblom · Missed · xG 0.08W. Simmonds · On goal · xG 0.07R. Hagg · Missed · xG 0.07O. Lindblom · On goal · xG 0.07S. Laughton · Missed · xG 0.07S. Couturier · Goal · xG 0.07S. Couturier · On goal · xG 0.06D. Weise · On goal · xG 0.06S. Couturier · Missed · xG 0.06T. Konecny · Missed · xG 0.06S. Laughton · On goal · xG 0.05J. Weal · On goal · xG 0.05J. Voracek · Missed · xG 0.05W. Simmonds · On goal · xG 0.05C. Giroux · On goal · xG 0.05S. Couturier · On goal · xG 0.05J. van Riemsdyk · On goal · xG 0.05S. Couturier · On goal · xG 0.04C. Giroux · Missed · xG 0.04J. Voracek · On goal · xG 0.03S. Gostisbehere · On goal · xG 0.03T. Sanheim · On goal · xG 0.03R. Gudas · On goal · xG 0.03O. Lindblom · On goal · xG 0.03S. Couturier · Missed · xG 0.03S. Couturier · On goal · xG 0.03S. Couturier · On goal · xG 0.02C. Folin · On goal · xG 0.02C. Giroux · On goal · xG 0.02J. Voracek · Missed · xG 0.02R. Gudas · Missed · xG 0.02S. Gostisbehere · Missed · xG 0.02R. Gudas · On goal · xG 0.01J. Weal · On goal · xG 0.01T. Sanheim · Missed · xG 0.01R. Gudas · On goal · xG 0.01T. Sanheim · On goal · xG 0.01J. Voracek · Missed · xG 0.01J. Weal · On goal · xG 0.01J. van Riemsdyk · Missed · xG 0.01R. Gudas · Missed · xG 0.01T. Sanheim · On goal · xG 0.01T. Konecny · On goal · xG 0.00D. Weise · On goal · xG 0.00
PHI3 G · 2.9 xG · 54 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

CARvsPHI
1.75 G
All situations
3 G2.9
1.33 G
Even strength
1 G1.9
0.42 G
Power play
2 G0.9
0.00 G
Shorthanded
0 G0.1

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 88 unblocked attempts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
CAR30%70%PHI

Flurry-adjusted xG 1.74 – 2.84

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

CARvsPHI
28
Shots on goal
37
41%
Faceoffs
59%
2/4
Power play
2/5
12
Penalty minutes
10
17
Hits
15
20
Blocked shots
10
14
Giveaways
7
5
Takeaways
2

Box score

every player line
Carolina Hurricanes skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
27J. FaulkD011+240.05030—25:26
74J. SlavinD000030.04210—22:44
22B. PesceD000010.09130—21:32
20S. AhoC022+210.050003720:23
44C. de HaanD022+200.02710—20:19
71L. WallmarkC000000.001003519:07
86T. TeravainenC213+220.28110018:37
14J. WilliamsR101-130.070223316:48
79M. FerlandL011050.68000—16:37
23B. McGinnL011+210.01110—16:23
48J. MartinookL000-110.0101010016:08
49V. RaskC000010.021104816:04
37A. SvechnikovR000020.3021410015:35
19D. HamiltonD112020.03024—14:22
57T. van RiemsdykD000000.00122—13:02
13W. FoegeleL101+120.08000—10:04
8S. MaenalanenR000+100.0000010006:32
64C. BishopC000000.000105002:15
Carolina Hurricanes goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
34P. Mrazek(W)37343.9192.86-0.1460:00

Season series

CAR leads 4-0

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).