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Ducks at Flames
NHL

Anaheim Ducks at Calgary Flames

NHL scoreboard
Anaheim Ducks
1
Calgary Flames
▸6
FinalTV PRIME, SNW·Scotiabank Saddledome

Recap

written from the game data

The Calgary Flames beat the Anaheim Ducks 6-1. The Ducks scored first; the Flames answered. The Flames led 3-1 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Sean Monahan's goal at 3:37 of the second period, which took the Flames' chances from 53% to 70%. Expected goals favored the Flames, 3.2 to 2.0; shots on goal were ANA 22, CGY 37. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Flames win a replay of these chances 72% of the time. Ryan Miller stopped 31 of 37 (.838), 2.8 goals below expected; Mike Smith stopped 21 of 22 (.955), 0.9 goals saved above expected. Three stars: 1. Sean Monahan (2 G, 2 A), 2. Derek Ryan (1 G, 1 A), 3. Mike Smith (21 saves, .955).

Three stars

  1. ★
    CGY
    S. Monahan2 G, 2 A
  2. ★★
    CGY
    D. Ryan1 G, 1 A
  3. ★★★
    CGY
    M. Smith21 saves, .955

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
ANAANA1100903122
CGYCGY18218311637

Scoring

7 goals

1st period

  1. ANA
    A. Welinski(1)
    Unassisted
    slapxG 0.06win prob +13 pts
    1-0
    10:09
  2. CGY
    M. Giordano(17)
    S. Monahan (46)
    slapxG 0.04win prob +14 pts
    1-1
    15:32

2nd period

  1. CGY
    S. Monahan(32)
    R. Andersson (15), E. Lindholm (51)
    wristxG 0.17win prob +16 pts
    1-2
    3:37
  2. CGY
    J. Neal(6)PPG
    S. Monahan (47), A. Czarnik (9)
    deflectedxG 0.18win prob +12 pts
    1-3
    10:07

3rd period

  1. CGY
    D. Ryan(10)
    T. Brodie (25)
    tip-inxG 0.11win prob +4 pts
    1-4
    8:07
  2. CGY
    G. Hathaway(11)
    T. Hamonic (11), D. Ryan (25)
    tip-inxG 0.09
    1-5
    14:37
  3. CGY
    S. Monahan(33)
    J. Gaudreau (59), N. Hanifin (27)
    slapxG 0.07
    1-6
    19:14

Penalties

ANA 6 PIM·CGY 2 PIM

1st

  • 13:13ANAKiefer Sherwood · High stickingdrawn by Sean Monahan2 min
  • 16:11CGYTravis Hamonic · Roughingdrawn by Corey Perry2 min

2nd

  • 9:27ANAMax Jones · Cross checkingdrawn by Austin Czarnik2 min
  • 15:28ANADaniel Sprong · Hookingdrawn by Johnny Gaudreau2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
CGY goalANA goalFinal: CGY 100%

Biggest swing: Sean Monahan, 2nd 3:37 — CGY 53% → 70%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
A. Mangiapane · On goal · xG 0.32E. Lindholm · On goal · xG 0.23J. Neal · Goal · xG 0.18S. Monahan · Goal · xG 0.18D. Ryan · Missed · xG 0.17E. Lindholm · On goal · xG 0.17J. Neal · On goal · xG 0.16J. Neal · On goal · xG 0.13M. Tkachuk · On goal · xG 0.11D. Ryan · Goal · xG 0.11M. Frolik · On goal · xG 0.10J. Neal · Missed · xG 0.09M. Tkachuk · On goal · xG 0.09G. Hathaway · Goal · xG 0.09M. Frolik · On goal · xG 0.09R. Andersson · On goal · xG 0.08M. Backlund · Missed · xG 0.07A. Czarnik · On goal · xG 0.07S. Monahan · Goal · xG 0.06T. Brodie · On goal · xG 0.05G. Hathaway · On goal · xG 0.05D. Ryan · Missed · xG 0.05T. Brodie · Missed · xG 0.05A. Czarnik · On goal · xG 0.05T. Hamonic · On goal · xG 0.04J. Gaudreau · On goal · xG 0.04M. Giordano · Goal · xG 0.04M. Tkachuk · On goal · xG 0.03R. Andersson · On goal · xG 0.03T. Brodie · On goal · xG 0.03M. Tkachuk · On goal · xG 0.03M. Backlund · On goal · xG 0.03M. Tkachuk · Missed · xG 0.02N. Hanifin · Missed · xG 0.02N. Hanifin · On goal · xG 0.02J. Gaudreau · Missed · xG 0.02M. Giordano · On goal · xG 0.01N. Hanifin · On goal · xG 0.01N. Hanifin · Missed · xG 0.01D. Prout · On goal · xG 0.01N. Hanifin · Missed · xG 0.01N. Hanifin · On goal · xG 0.01T. Brodie · On goal · xG 0.01M. Giordano · On goal · xG 0.01N. Hanifin · Missed · xG 0.01M. Giordano · On goal · xG 0.01J. Neal · On goal · xG 0.01R. Andersson · On goal · xG 0.01
CGY6 G · 3.2 xG · 48 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

ANAvsCGY
2.01 G
All situations
6 G3.2
1.71 G
Even strength
5 G2.5
0.10 G
Power play
1 G0.7
0.20 G
Shorthanded
0 G0.0

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 78 unblocked attempts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
ANA28%72%CGY

Flurry-adjusted xG 1.88 – 3.13

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

ANAvsCGY
22
Shots on goal
37
44%
Faceoffs
56%
0/1
Power play
1/3
6
Penalty minutes
2
18
Hits
14
18
Blocked shots
12
28
Giveaways
33
28
Takeaways
28

Box score

every player line
Anaheim Ducks skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
47H. LindholmD000-210.05120—21:55
32J. LarssonD000-230.03220—20:41
4C. FowlerD000-100.00010—19:58
45A. WelinskiD101-110.06210—18:45
5K. HolzerD000-110.04200—18:33
67R. RakellR000000.00200—18:30
43J. MegnaD000-100.02010—18:26
34S. SteelC000-310.000103317:20
49M. JonesL000-220.36012—16:34
10C. PerryR000030.55020—16:32
14A. HenriqueC000-110.271105416:20
33J. SilfverbergR000020.17000—16:09
64K. SherwoodL000-320.15102—15:05
11D. SprongR000-330.13002—13:50
38D. GrantC000-110.002104513:49
29D. ShoreC000+110.103306313:08
24C. RowneyC000000.00210012:46
61T. TerryR000000.00010—06:59
Anaheim Ducks goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
30R. Miller(L)37316.8383.22-2.7860:00

Season series

Tied 2-2

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).