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Ducks at Flames
NHL

Anaheim Ducks at Calgary Flames

NHL scoreboard
Anaheim Ducks
1
Calgary Flames
▸2
FinalTV FS-W, SNW·Scotiabank Saddledome

Recap

written from the game data

The Calgary Flames beat the Anaheim Ducks 2-1. The Flames scored first and never trailed. It was tied 1-1 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Andrew Mangiapane's goal at 16:31 of the third period, which took the Flames' chances from 52% to 91%. Expected goals favored the Ducks, 3.0 to 2.3; shots on goal were ANA 26, CGY 28. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Ducks win a replay of these chances 62% of the time. Ryan Miller stopped 26 of 28 (.929); Mike Smith stopped 25 of 26 (.962), 2.0 goals saved above expected. Three stars: 1. Andrew Mangiapane (1 G), 2. TJ Brodie (1 G, 1 A), 3. Mikael Backlund (1 A).

Three stars

  1. ★
    CGY
    A. Mangiapane1 G
  2. ★★
    CGY
    T. Brodie1 G, 1 A
  3. ★★★
    CGY
    M. Backlund1 A

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
ANAANA0611406126
CGYCGY0511419228

Scoring

3 goals

2nd period

  1. CGY
    T. Brodie(8)
    D. Prout (1), M. Backlund (21)
    wristxG 0.01win prob +16 pts
    0-1
    1:22
  2. ANA
    D. Grant(4)
    C. Rowney (10)
    slapxG 0.02win prob +17 pts
    1-1
    6:13

3rd period

  1. CGY
    A. Mangiapane(3)
    T. Brodie (23)
    snapxG 0.17win prob +40 pts
    1-2
    16:31

Penalties

ANA 2 PIM·CGY 4 PIM

1st

  • 0:24ANADerek Grant · Trippingdrawn by Austin Czarnik2 min

2nd

  • 19:23CGYMatthew Tkachuk · Trippingdrawn by Brian Gibbons2 min

3rd

  • 3:40CGYNoah Hanifin · Hookingdrawn by Corey Perry2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
CGY goalANA goalFinal: CGY 100%

Biggest swing: Andrew Mangiapane, 3rd 16:31 — CGY 52% → 91%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
S. Monahan · Missed · xG 0.18A. Mangiapane · Goal · xG 0.17M. Backlund · On goal · xG 0.17M. Tkachuk · On goal · xG 0.14M. Tkachuk · Missed · xG 0.13M. Backlund · On goal · xG 0.11S. Monahan · On goal · xG 0.10M. Backlund · On goal · xG 0.09S. Bennett · Missed · xG 0.08A. Mangiapane · On goal · xG 0.07J. Gaudreau · Missed · xG 0.07S. Monahan · Missed · xG 0.07M. Jankowski · On goal · xG 0.06A. Czarnik · On goal · xG 0.06G. Hathaway · Missed · xG 0.06S. Monahan · Missed · xG 0.05M. Giordano · On goal · xG 0.05M. Jankowski · Missed · xG 0.05A. Mangiapane · Missed · xG 0.05M. Backlund · Missed · xG 0.05A. Mangiapane · On goal · xG 0.04G. Hathaway · On goal · xG 0.04T. Hamonic · On goal · xG 0.04S. Bennett · On goal · xG 0.03M. Backlund · On goal · xG 0.03T. Hamonic · Missed · xG 0.03M. Backlund · Missed · xG 0.02N. Hanifin · On goal · xG 0.02T. Hamonic · Missed · xG 0.02M. Backlund · Missed · xG 0.02D. Ryan · On goal · xG 0.02N. Hanifin · On goal · xG 0.02T. Brodie · Goal · xG 0.02M. Giordano · On goal · xG 0.02S. Bennett · Missed · xG 0.01T. Hamonic · On goal · xG 0.01J. Gaudreau · Missed · xG 0.01T. Hamonic · Missed · xG 0.01M. Giordano · On goal · xG 0.01T. Hamonic · Missed · xG 0.01M. Giordano · On goal · xG 0.01T. Hamonic · Missed · xG 0.01M. Backlund · On goal · xG 0.01T. Hamonic · Missed · xG 0.01T. Brodie · On goal · xG 0.01M. Giordano · Missed · xG 0.01M. Giordano · Missed · xG 0.01S. Bennett · On goal · xG 0.01M. Giordano · On goal · xG 0.00M. Backlund · On goal · xG 0.00
CGY2 G · 2.3 xG · 50 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

ANAvsCGY
3.01 G
All situations
2 G2.3
2.71 G
Even strength
2 G2.0
0.40 G
Power play
0 G0.3
0.00 G
Shorthanded
0 G0.0

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 88 unblocked attempts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
ANA62%38%CGY

Flurry-adjusted xG 2.94 – 2.29

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

ANAvsCGY
26
Shots on goal
28
49%
Faceoffs
51%
0/2
Power play
0/1
2
Penalty minutes
4
13
Hits
11
17
Blocked shots
14
15
Giveaways
11
25
Takeaways
23

Box score

every player line
Anaheim Ducks skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
4C. FowlerD000+110.04100—22:34
44M. Del ZottoD000+110.03110—21:43
42J. MansonD000000.01100—20:24
29D. ShoreC000030.431103319:04
33J. SilfverbergR000-120.15020—18:53
26B. MontourD000-230.06010—18:44
47H. LindholmD000000.00050—18:28
14A. HenriqueC000010.321003317:29
67R. RakellR000-120.171003017:12
38D. GrantC101020.031425516:52
10C. PerryR000-100.00110—16:28
37N. RitchieL000-120.2300010015:31
43J. MegnaD000-210.08010—15:00
49M. JonesL000020.41000—14:26
61T. TerryR000020.45110—14:20
17R. KeslerC000030.352006911:46
24C. RowneyC011+110.27200010:25
23B. GibbonsC000000.00000010:13
Anaheim Ducks goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
30R. Miller(L)28262.9292.32+0.3258:28

Season series

Tied 2-2

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).