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Flames at Ducks
NHL

Calgary Flames at Anaheim Ducks

NHL scoreboard
Calgary Flames
2
Anaheim Ducks
▸3
FinalTV PRIME, SNW·Honda Center

Recap

written from the game data

The Anaheim Ducks beat the Calgary Flames 3-2. The Ducks scored first and never trailed. The Ducks led 2-1 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Mark Jankowski's goal at 6:06 of the third period, which took the Flames' chances from 19% to 47%. Expected goals favored the Flames, 3.6 to 2.6; shots on goal were CGY 39, ANA 24. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Flames win a replay of these chances 74% of the time. Mike Smith stopped 21 of 24 (.875), 0.9 goals below expected; Ryan Miller stopped 37 of 39 (.949), 1.6 goals saved above expected. Three stars: 1. Ryan Getzlaf (1 G), 2. Josh Manson (1 A), 3. Rickard Rakell (1 A).

Three stars

  1. ★
    ANA
    R. Getzlaf1 G
  2. ★★
    ANA
    J. Manson1 A
  3. ★★★
    ANA
    R. Rakell1 A

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
CGYCGY19013117239
ANAANA21101013324

Scoring

5 goals

1st period

  1. ANA
    J. Silfverberg(5)
    A. Cogliano (4), J. Larsson (1)
    slapxG 0.07win prob +13 pts
    0-1
    8:37
  2. ANA
    A. Henrique(4)
    J. Manson (3), P. Aberg (1)
    wristxG 0.33win prob +14 pts
    0-2
    11:53
  3. CGY
    M. Tkachuk(7)PPG
    E. Lindholm (9), M. Giordano (14)
    tip-inxG 0.09win prob +11 pts
    1-2
    17:10

3rd period

  1. CGY
    M. Jankowski(1)SHG
    Unassisted
    wristxG 0.10win prob +27 pts
    2-2
    6:06
  2. ANA
    R. Getzlaf(3)
    R. Rakell (9), C. Fowler (7)
    backhandxG 0.08win prob +27 pts
    2-3
    6:33

Penalties

CGY 6 PIM·ANA 6 PIM

1st

  • 3:44CGYDerek Ryan · Slashingdrawn by Pontus Aberg2 min
  • 17:05ANABen Street · Trippingdrawn by TJ Brodie2 min
  • 17:49CGYMatthew Tkachuk · High stickingdrawn by Brandon Montour2 min

2nd

  • 7:09ANAMarcus Pettersson · Hookingdrawn by Johnny Gaudreau2 min

3rd

  • 4:28CGYMikael Backlund · Trippingdrawn by Ryan Getzlaf2 min
  • 18:46ANARickard Rakell · Slashingdrawn by Johnny Gaudreau2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
ANA goalCGY goalFinal: ANA 100%

Biggest swing: Mark Jankowski, 3rd 6:06 — CGY 19% → 47%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
A. Henrique · Missed · xG 0.53A. Henrique · Goal · xG 0.33R. Rakell · Missed · xG 0.14A. Henrique · On goal · xG 0.13B. Street · On goal · xG 0.13R. Rakell · On goal · xG 0.11P. Eaves · On goal · xG 0.11R. Kesler · On goal · xG 0.10P. Aberg · On goal · xG 0.08R. Getzlaf · Goal · xG 0.08B. Montour · Missed · xG 0.08P. Eaves · Missed · xG 0.08R. Getzlaf · Missed · xG 0.07J. Silfverberg · Goal · xG 0.07P. Aberg · On goal · xG 0.06I. Lundeström · On goal · xG 0.06J. Silfverberg · On goal · xG 0.06H. Lindholm · Missed · xG 0.06R. Getzlaf · Missed · xG 0.05R. Rakell · On goal · xG 0.04M. Pettersson · On goal · xG 0.03K. Sherwood · Missed · xG 0.03J. Manson · Missed · xG 0.03H. Lindholm · Missed · xG 0.02J. Manson · Missed · xG 0.02J. Silfverberg · Missed · xG 0.02R. Getzlaf · On goal · xG 0.02J. Manson · On goal · xG 0.02J. Larsson · On goal · xG 0.01J. Manson · On goal · xG 0.01B. Street · Missed · xG 0.01H. Lindholm · On goal · xG 0.01A. Cogliano · Missed · xG 0.01B. Montour · On goal · xG 0.01S. Carrick · On goal · xG 0.01R. Rakell · On goal · xG 0.01J. Silfverberg · Missed · xG 0.01C. Fowler · On goal · xG 0.01J. Silfverberg · On goal · xG 0.00R. Getzlaf · Missed · xG 0.00
ANA3 G · 2.6 xG · 40 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

CGYvsANA
3.62 G
All situations
3 G2.6
2.60 G
Even strength
3 G1.7
0.71 G
Power play
0 G0.4
0.41 G
Shorthanded
0 G0.0

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 97 unblocked attempts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
CGY74%26%ANA

Flurry-adjusted xG 3.59 – 2.10

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

CGYvsANA
39
Shots on goal
24
58%
Faceoffs
42%
1/3
Power play
0/3
6
Penalty minutes
6
6
Hits
13
5
Blocked shots
11
17
Giveaways
12
9
Takeaways
3

Box score

every player line
Calgary Flames skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
28E. LindholmC011020.350006723:59
5M. GiordanoD011-130.10020—23:51
23S. MonahanC000-140.410006421:48
7T. BrodieD000+110.16000—21:48
11M. BacklundC000-260.230025020:31
19M. TkachukL101-140.50102—20:30
55N. HanifinD000-120.15000—20:28
13J. GaudreauL000000.13000—20:27
24T. HamonicD000-340.23010—20:27
18J. NealL000040.37100—19:27
8J. VälimäkiD000010.01120—14:58
4R. AnderssonD000010.01000—14:47
93S. BennettC000010.181005011:14
67M. FrolikR000-100.01100—10:33
10D. RyanC000-120.1800210010:18
77M. JankowskiL101+130.470006709:16
27A. CzarnikC000-110.14000008:04
16A. PelusoR000-100.00100—04:20
Calgary Flames goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
41M. Smith(L)24213.8752.11-0.8957:14

Season series

Tied 2-2

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).