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Devils at Red Wings
NHL

New Jersey Devils at Detroit Red Wings

NHL scoreboard
New Jersey Devils
0
Detroit Red Wings
▸4
FinalTV FS-D+, MSG+·Little Caesars Arena

Recap

written from the game data

The Detroit Red Wings beat the New Jersey Devils 4-0. The Red Wings scored first and never trailed. The Red Wings led 2-0 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Dylan Larkin's goal at 2:12 of the second period, which took the Red Wings' chances from 69% to 84%. Expected goals favored the Red Wings, 3.0 to 2.3; shots on goal were NJD 28, DET 33. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Red Wings win a replay of these chances 55% of the time. Mackenzie Blackwood stopped 29 of 32 (.906); Jonathan Bernier stopped 21 of 21 (1.000), 1.9 goals saved above expected. Three stars: 1. Dylan Larkin (1 G, 1 A), 2. Tyler Bertuzzi (1 G, 2 A), 3. Andreas Athanasiou (1 G).

Three stars

  1. ★
    DET
    D. Larkin1 G, 1 A
  2. ★★
    DET
    T. Bertuzzi1 G, 2 A
  3. ★★★
    DET
    A. Athanasiou1 G

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
NJDNJD0801307028
DETDET11511127433

Scoring

4 goals

1st period

  1. DET
    D. DeKeyser(5)
    D. Larkin (37), T. Bertuzzi (21)
    tip-inxG 0.11win prob +14 pts
    0-1
    13:38

2nd period

  1. DET
    D. Larkin(31)
    T. Bertuzzi (22), A. Mantha (21)
    snapxG 0.33win prob +15 pts
    0-2
    2:12

3rd period

  1. DET
    T. Bertuzzi(19)EN
    Unassisted
    snapxG 0.42win prob +1 pts
    0-3
    17:25
  2. DET
    A. Athanasiou(30)
    M. Frk (5), D. DeKeyser (15)
    snapxG 0.19
    0-4
    18:33

Penalties

NJD 2 PIM·DET 2 PIM

1st

  • 8:05DETMadison Bowey · Slashingdrawn by Kyle Palmieri2 min

3rd

  • 0:37NJDConnor Carrick · Cross checkingdrawn by Christoffer Ehn2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
DET goalNJD goalFinal: DET 100%

Biggest swing: Dylan Larkin, 2nd 2:12 — DET 69% → 84%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
T. Bertuzzi · Goal · xG 0.42D. Larkin · Goal · xG 0.33A. Mantha · On goal · xG 0.26A. Athanasiou · Goal · xG 0.19D. Larkin · On goal · xG 0.12T. Bertuzzi · On goal · xG 0.11M. Frk · On goal · xG 0.11D. DeKeyser · Goal · xG 0.11T. Bertuzzi · On goal · xG 0.11T. Bertuzzi · On goal · xG 0.10R. Kuffner · On goal · xG 0.09C. Ehn · On goal · xG 0.08A. Mantha · On goal · xG 0.08A. Athanasiou · On goal · xG 0.08A. Mantha · On goal · xG 0.06D. Helm · On goal · xG 0.06T. Hirose · Missed · xG 0.05M. Frk · Missed · xG 0.05D. DeKeyser · Missed · xG 0.05D. Larkin · On goal · xG 0.04A. Athanasiou · On goal · xG 0.04C. Ehn · On goal · xG 0.04C. Ehn · Missed · xG 0.04M. Puempel · Missed · xG 0.04C. Ehn · On goal · xG 0.04C. Ehn · On goal · xG 0.03D. Helm · On goal · xG 0.03A. Mantha · Missed · xG 0.03M. Frk · Missed · xG 0.03M. Bowey · On goal · xG 0.03D. Larkin · On goal · xG 0.03M. Puempel · Missed · xG 0.02D. Larkin · On goal · xG 0.02J. Chelios · On goal · xG 0.02D. Larkin · On goal · xG 0.01D. McIlrath · On goal · xG 0.01R. Kuffner · On goal · xG 0.01D. Larkin · On goal · xG 0.01F. Hronek · On goal · xG 0.01C. Ehn · On goal · xG 0.01D. Helm · Missed · xG 0.01D. Larkin · On goal · xG 0.00
DET4 G · 3.0 xG · 42 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

NJDvsDET
2.30 G
All situations
3 G3.0
1.90 G
Even strength
3 G2.4
0.30 G
Power play
0 G0.2
0.20 G
Shorthanded
0 G0.0

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 82 unblocked attempts. Empty-net goals are left out of the goal counts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
NJD45%55%DET

Flurry-adjusted xG 2.31 – 2.55

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

NJDvsDET
28
Shots on goal
33
47%
Faceoffs
53%
0/1
Power play
0/1
2
Penalty minutes
2
44
Hits
24
13
Blocked shots
9
13
Giveaways
9
5
Takeaways
5

Box score

every player line
New Jersey Devils skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
5C. CarrickD000-100.00122—23:20
28D. SeversonD000-210.04210—19:57
8W. ButcherD000-130.05010—19:07
25M. MuellerD000-100.00010—18:53
16S. SantiniD000-110.05110—18:48
19T. ZajacC000-130.311005417:41
21K. PalmieriC000-130.32510017:33
6A. GreeneD000-110.01120—17:28
20B. ColemanL000-110.24800—17:17
13N. HischierC000-120.081203317:07
17K. AgostinoL000010.1731010015:45
18D. StaffordR000-110.11200—15:07
37P. ZachaC000-220.103006014:40
23S. NoesenR000010.14300—14:37
41M. McLeodC000-100.11400013:53
58K. RooneyC000-120.362006712:48
44M. WoodL000-340.15210—12:25
49J. AndersonR000-220.07500—11:53
New Jersey Devils goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
29M. Blackwood(L)32293.9062.59-0.4159:41

Season series

DET leads 3-0

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).