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New Jersey Devils at Detroit Red Wings

FinalTV FS-D, MSG+·Little Caesars Arena

Recap

written from the game data

The Detroit Red Wings beat the New Jersey Devils 4-3. The lead changed hands 2 times. It was tied 1-1 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Justin Abdelkader's goal at 12:50 of the third period, which took the Red Wings' chances from 44% to 80%. Expected goals were close — NJD 3.0, DET 3.0; shots on goal were NJD 28, DET 31. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Devils win a replay of these chances 56% of the time. Cory Schneider stopped 27 of 30 (.900); Jimmy Howard stopped 25 of 28 (.893). Three stars: 1. Jimmy Howard (25 saves, .893), 2. Justin Abdelkader (1 G), 3. Cory Schneider (27 saves, .900).

Three stars

  1. ★
    DET
    J. Howard25 saves, .893
  2. ★★
    DET
    J. Abdelkader1 G
  3. ★★★
    NJD
    C. Schneider27 saves, .900

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
NJDNJD0718213328
DETDET11201039431

Scoring

7 goals

1st period

  1. DET
    M. Frk(1)PPG
    slapxG 0.11win prob +9 pts
    0-1
    7:54

2nd period

  1. NJD
    wristxG 0.13win prob +20 pts
    1-1
    14:12

3rd period

  1. NJD
    wristxG 0.01win prob +26 pts
    2-1
    3:20
  2. DET
    wristxG 0.15win prob +24 pts
    2-2
    4:59
  3. DET
    wristxG 0.22win prob +36 pts
    2-3
    12:50
  4. DET
    slapxG 0.43win prob +5 pts
    2-4
    19:17
  5. NJD
    snapxG 0.15
    3-4
    19:56

Penalties

NJD 15 PIM·DET 15 PIM

1st

  • 4:18DETJonathan Ericsson · Trippingdrawn by Kyle Palmieri2 min
  • 7:20NJDBen Lovejoy · Holding the stickdrawn by Wade Megan2 min
  • 8:20NJDBrian Boyle · Interferencedrawn by Michael Rasmussen2 min

2nd

  • 14:33DETDylan Larkin · Roughingdrawn by Kyle Palmieri2 min
  • 19:14NJDMirco Mueller · Fightingdrawn by Luke Glendening5 min
  • 19:14DETLuke Glendening · Fightingdrawn by Mirco Mueller5 min
  • 19:44NJDDamon Severson · Holdingdrawn by Anthony Mantha2 min

3rd

  • 1:40DETDylan Larkin · Interferencedrawn by Travis Zajac2 min
  • 3:30NJDSami Vatanen · Interferencedrawn by Dylan Larkin2 min
  • 12:36DETNiklas Kronwall · Holdingdrawn by Kyle Palmieri2 min
  • 19:10DETJonathan Ericsson · Cross checkingdrawn by Marcus Johansson2 min
  • 19:56NJDserved by M. Johansson · Abusive language2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
DET goalNJD goalFinal: DET 100%

Biggest swing: Justin Abdelkader, 3rd 12:50 — DET 44% → 80%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
T. Daley · Goal · xG 0.43A. Mantha · On goal · xG 0.26J. Abdelkader · Goal · xG 0.22W. Megan · On goal · xG 0.18M. Rasmussen · Goal · xG 0.15L. Glendening · On goal · xG 0.14T. Bertuzzi · On goal · xG 0.13A. Mantha · Missed · xG 0.11M. Frk · Goal · xG 0.11M. Frk · On goal · xG 0.11A. Mantha · On goal · xG 0.10L. Glendening · On goal · xG 0.09D. Larkin · Missed · xG 0.09L. Glendening · Missed · xG 0.07J. de la Rose · On goal · xG 0.07D. Larkin · On goal · xG 0.07M. Frk · Missed · xG 0.05G. Nyquist · On goal · xG 0.05T. Daley · On goal · xG 0.05A. Mantha · On goal · xG 0.05A. Mantha · On goal · xG 0.04J. Abdelkader · Missed · xG 0.04G. Nyquist · On goal · xG 0.04G. Nyquist · On goal · xG 0.04M. Green · Missed · xG 0.04N. Kronwall · On goal · xG 0.04W. Megan · Missed · xG 0.03N. Kronwall · On goal · xG 0.03D. Larkin · On goal · xG 0.03W. Megan · On goal · xG 0.03J. de la Rose · Missed · xG 0.03W. Megan · On goal · xG 0.02J. Ericsson · Missed · xG 0.02T. Daley · On goal · xG 0.01N. Jensen · Missed · xG 0.01N. Jensen · On goal · xG 0.01T. Daley · On goal · xG 0.01M. Green · On goal · xG 0.01D. Helm · On goal · xG 0.00A. Mantha · On goal · xG 0.00J. Ericsson · On goal · xG 0.00
DET4 G · 3.0 xG · 41 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

NJDvsDET
3.03 G
All situations
3 G3.0
1.71 G
Even strength
0 G1.4
1.32 G
Power play
2 G0.9
0.00 G
Shorthanded
1 G0.4

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 86 unblocked attempts. Empty-net goals are left out of the goal counts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
NJD56%44%DET

Flurry-adjusted xG 2.91 – 2.54

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

NJDvsDET
28
Shots on goal
31
41%
Faceoffs
59%
2/5
Power play
2/5
15
Penalty minutes
15
20
Hits
25
17
Blocked shots
11
12
Giveaways
12
1
Takeaways
4

Box score

every player line
New Jersey Devils skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
8W. ButcherD000-220.11200—22:15
9T. HallL011-240.5211010021:52
19T. ZajacC022+110.251203721:32
45S. VatanenD101+110.01112—21:19
21K. PalmieriC000-230.50210020:22
13N. HischierC022-220.240104319:36
90M. JohanssonL112010.16110—19:34
6A. GreeneD000000.00060—18:54
28D. SeversonD000030.18212—18:50
25M. MuellerD000+120.02115—16:17
12B. LovejoyD000010.04222—15:16
20B. ColemanL101+120.182005014:16
44M. WoodL000010.15200—13:56
11B. BoyleC000-230.351025013:34
37P. ZachaC000010.110002712:30
49J. AndersonR000000.00000—10:02
10J. DeaC000000.0020010007:40
58K. RooneyC000010.160005007:00
New Jersey Devils goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
35C. Schneider(L)30273.9002.60-0.4059:08

Season series

DET leads 3-0

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).