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Red Wings at Devils
NHL

Detroit Red Wings at New Jersey Devils

NHL scoreboard
Detroit Red Wings
▸3
New Jersey Devils
2
Final/OTTV FS-D, MSG+·Prudential Center

Recap

written from the game data

The Detroit Red Wings beat the New Jersey Devils 3-2 in overtime, Dylan Larkin scoring at 4:09. The Red Wings came back from two goals down. The Devils led 2-1 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Dylan Larkin's goal at 4:09 of overtime, which took the Red Wings' chances from 49% to 100%. Expected goals favored the Devils, 3.4 to 2.2; shots on goal were DET 30, NJD 40. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Devils win a replay of these chances 69% of the time. Jonathan Bernier stopped 38 of 40 (.950), 1.4 goals saved above expected; Keith Kinkaid stopped 27 of 30 (.900), 0.8 goals below expected. Three stars: 1. Dylan Larkin (1 G), 2. Pavel Zacha (1 G), 3. Blake Coleman (1 G).

Three stars

  1. ★
    DET
    D. Larkin1 G
  2. ★★
    NJD
    P. Zacha1 G
  3. ★★★
    NJD
    B. Coleman1 G

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdOTT
DETDET041111916330
NJDNJD1151901402240

Scoring

5 goals

1st period

  1. NJD
    P. Zacha(1)
    J. Bratt (3)
    slapxG 0.16win prob +13 pts
    0-1
    11:35

2nd period

  1. NJD
    B. Coleman(7)SHG
    D. Severson (10), A. Greene (4)
    snapxG 0.12win prob +18 pts
    0-2
    15:53
  2. DET
    L. Glendening(3)
    D. Cholowski (7), T. Bertuzzi (5)
    snapxG 0.12win prob +15 pts
    1-2
    18:26

3rd period

  1. DET
    M. Rasmussen(5)
    M. Green (8), T. Bertuzzi (6)
    tip-inxG 0.05win prob +35 pts
    2-2
    13:37

Overtime

  1. DET
    D. Larkin(8)
    A. Mantha (3)
    snapxG 0.17win prob +51 pts
    3-2
    4:09

Penalties

DET 4 PIM·NJD 8 PIM

2nd

  • 0:34DETJustin Abdelkader · Roughingdrawn by Damon Severson2 min
  • 0:34NJDDamon Severson · Roughingdrawn by Justin Abdelkader2 min
  • 8:03NJDKyle Palmieri · High stickingdrawn by Gustav Nyquist2 min
  • 8:03DETGustav Nyquist · Cross checkingdrawn by Kyle Palmieri2 min
  • 8:03NJDKyle Palmieri · Cross checkingdrawn by Gustav Nyquist2 min
  • 15:42NJDBen Lovejoy · Holdingdrawn by Michael Rasmussen2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
NJD goalDET goalFinal: NJD 0%

Biggest swing: Dylan Larkin, OT 4:09 — DET 49% → 100%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
P. Zacha · On goal · xG 0.25P. Zacha · Goal · xG 0.16T. Hall · On goal · xG 0.15M. Wood · On goal · xG 0.15J. Bratt · On goal · xG 0.14S. Noesen · On goal · xG 0.13W. Butcher · On goal · xG 0.13B. Coleman · Goal · xG 0.12S. Noesen · On goal · xG 0.12K. Palmieri · On goal · xG 0.11J. Dea · Missed · xG 0.11A. Greene · On goal · xG 0.11E. Yakovlev · On goal · xG 0.10B. Seney · On goal · xG 0.10S. Noesen · On goal · xG 0.09K. Palmieri · On goal · xG 0.09P. Zacha · Missed · xG 0.08T. Hall · On goal · xG 0.08P. Zacha · Missed · xG 0.07T. Zajac · On goal · xG 0.07K. Palmieri · Missed · xG 0.07P. Zacha · On goal · xG 0.06T. Zajac · Missed · xG 0.06M. Wood · On goal · xG 0.06B. Coleman · On goal · xG 0.06J. Dea · On goal · xG 0.06T. Zajac · On goal · xG 0.05M. Wood · Missed · xG 0.04K. Palmieri · On goal · xG 0.04D. Severson · Missed · xG 0.04J. Anderson · On goal · xG 0.04D. Severson · On goal · xG 0.03J. Bratt · On goal · xG 0.03A. Greene · On goal · xG 0.03M. Wood · On goal · xG 0.03J. Anderson · On goal · xG 0.02W. Butcher · Missed · xG 0.02B. Lovejoy · On goal · xG 0.02J. Anderson · Missed · xG 0.02M. Mueller · Missed · xG 0.02K. Palmieri · On goal · xG 0.02D. Severson · On goal · xG 0.02B. Lovejoy · Missed · xG 0.02B. Lovejoy · Missed · xG 0.01A. Greene · Missed · xG 0.01D. Severson · Missed · xG 0.01B. Lovejoy · On goal · xG 0.01S. Noesen · On goal · xG 0.01M. Mueller · Missed · xG 0.01B. Coleman · On goal · xG 0.01B. Coleman · On goal · xG 0.01A. Greene · On goal · xG 0.01T. Hall · On goal · xG 0.01M. Wood · Missed · xG 0.01K. Palmieri · On goal · xG 0.01K. Palmieri · Missed · xG 0.00A. Greene · On goal · xG 0.00
NJD2 G · 3.4 xG · 57 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

DETvsNJD
2.23 G
All situations
2 G3.4
1.83 G
Even strength
1 G3.2
0.40 G
Power play
0 G0.0
0.00 G
Shorthanded
1 G0.1

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 99 unblocked attempts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
DET31%69%NJD

Flurry-adjusted xG 2.20 – 3.35

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

DETvsNJD
30
Shots on goal
40
56%
Faceoffs
44%
0/2
Power play
0/0
4
Penalty minutes
8
21
Hits
15
16
Blocked shots
13
10
Giveaways
6
4
Takeaways
11

Box score

every player line
Detroit Red Wings skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
65D. DeKeyserD000+100.00140—25:09
3N. JensenD000020.08120—24:27
71D. LarkinC101050.552005821:44
39A. ManthaR011020.11200—19:41
25M. GreenD011-130.16210—19:18
72A. AthanasiouC000-150.3813010019:11
14G. NyquistR000-130.2000210019:01
21D. CholowskiD011+110.04030—18:47
51F. NielsenC000-100.002002318:44
59T. BertuzziL022+210.09300—18:21
8J. AbdelkaderL000010.07402—18:13
55N. KronwallD000+110.01110—16:56
83T. DaleyD000020.11000—16:48
41L. GlendeningC101+220.310208816:29
27M. RasmussenC101010.06100013:41
61J. de la RoseL000+110.051004011:46
42M. FrkR000-100.00000—10:08
43D. HelmC000000.00000002:03
Detroit Red Wings goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
45J. Bernier(W)40382.9503.36+1.3664:09

Season series

DET leads 3-0

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).