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Anaheim Ducks at Vancouver Canucks

FinalTV PRIME, SNP·Rogers Arena

Recap

written from the game data

The Anaheim Ducks beat the Vancouver Canucks 5-4. The lead changed hands 2 times. The Ducks led 3-2 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Sam Steel's goal at 19:09 of the second period, which took the Ducks' chances from 47% to 71%. Expected goals were close — ANA 1.7, VAN 1.8; shots on goal were ANA 24, VAN 32. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Canucks win a replay of these chances 53% of the time. John Gibson stopped 28 of 32 (.875), 2.2 goals below expected; Jacob Markstrom stopped 19 of 24 (.792), 3.3 goals below expected. Three stars: 1. Sam Steel (3 G), 2. Troy Stecher (2 A), 3. Josh Leivo (1 G, 1 A).

Three stars

  1. ★
    ANA
    S. Steel3 G
  2. ★★
    VAN
    T. Stecher2 A
  3. ★★★
    VAN
    J. Leivo1 G, 1 A

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
ANAANA1112924524
VANVAN21006216432

Scoring

9 goals

1st period

  1. ANA
    Unassisted
    wristxG 0.15win prob +13 pts
    1-0
    9:09
  2. VAN
    backhandxG 0.02win prob +14 pts
    1-1
    12:50
  3. VAN
    J. Leivo (10), T. Stecher (20)
    wristxG 0.01win prob +15 pts
    1-2
    19:00

2nd period

  1. ANA
    wristxG 0.06win prob +19 pts
    2-2
    12:16
  2. ANA
    S. Steel(4)Penalty shot
    Unassisted
    backhandxG 0.02win prob +24 pts
    3-2
    19:09

3rd period

  1. ANA
    R. Rakell(15)PPG
    wristxG 0.06win prob +12 pts
    4-2
    7:44
  2. ANA
    Unassisted
    wristxG 0.02win prob +4 pts
    5-2
    11:22
  3. VAN
    Unassisted
    wristxG 0.07win prob +2 pts
    5-3
    13:34
  4. VAN
    wristxG 0.18win prob +11 pts
    5-4
    14:28

Penalties

ANA 2 PIM·VAN 4 PIM

2nd

  • 0:43ANAJosh Manson · Roughingdrawn by Adam Gaudette2 min
  • 4:34VANLoui Eriksson · Holdingdrawn by Korbinian Holzer2 min
  • 19:09VANMarkus Granlund · Ps throwing object at puck0 min

3rd

  • 6:55VANJosh Teves · Hookingdrawn by Troy Terry2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
VAN goalANA goalFinal: VAN 0%

Biggest swing: Sam Steel, 2nd 19:09 — ANA 47% → 71%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
B. Horvat · On goal · xG 0.20T. Pearson · Goal · xG 0.18B. Boeser · Missed · xG 0.14S. Baertschi · On goal · xG 0.13J. Leivo · On goal · xG 0.09B. Boeser · On goal · xG 0.08J. Leivo · On goal · xG 0.08J. Virtanen · Missed · xG 0.07J. Leivo · Goal · xG 0.07T. Pearson · On goal · xG 0.07B. Boeser · On goal · xG 0.07A. Gaudette · Missed · xG 0.06B. Boeser · On goal · xG 0.06B. Horvat · On goal · xG 0.05J. Virtanen · Missed · xG 0.05E. Pettersson · Missed · xG 0.04E. Pettersson · On goal · xG 0.04T. Pearson · On goal · xG 0.03A. Edler · On goal · xG 0.03T. Stecher · Missed · xG 0.03E. Pettersson · On goal · xG 0.03J. Virtanen · On goal · xG 0.02J. Virtanen · Goal · xG 0.02A. Edler · On goal · xG 0.02A. Edler · On goal · xG 0.02T. Pearson · On goal · xG 0.02M. Granlund · On goal · xG 0.01M. Granlund · On goal · xG 0.01A. Edler · Goal · xG 0.01A. Edler · Missed · xG 0.01B. Boeser · Missed · xG 0.01A. Biega · On goal · xG 0.01A. Edler · On goal · xG 0.01A. Edler · Missed · xG 0.01T. Stecher · On goal · xG 0.01A. Edler · On goal · xG 0.01J. Virtanen · Missed · xG 0.01T. Stecher · On goal · xG 0.01A. Sautner · On goal · xG 0.00L. Schenn · Missed · xG 0.00M. Granlund · On goal · xG 0.00A. Biega · On goal · xG 0.00A. Biega · On goal · xG 0.00
VAN4 G · 1.8 xG · 43 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

ANAvsVAN
1.75 G
All situations
4 G1.8
1.54 G
Even strength
4 G1.7
0.21 G
Power play
0 G0.1

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 74 unblocked attempts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
ANA47%53%VAN

Flurry-adjusted xG 1.69 – 1.81

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

ANAvsVAN
24
Shots on goal
32
44%
Faceoffs
56%
1/2
Power play
0/1
2
Penalty minutes
4
18
Hits
36
12
Blocked shots
11
4
Giveaways
8
2
Takeaways
9

Box score

every player line
Anaheim Ducks skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
47H. LindholmD000-210.02040—23:39
42J. MansonD000-200.00302—22:01
67R. RakellR101-150.15220—21:11
4C. FowlerD000+110.04000—19:32
33J. SilfverbergR000-110.07000—19:20
5K. HolzerD000010.02020—18:20
45A. WelinskiD000+100.00310—17:37
14A. HenriqueC011-120.310103816:32
43J. MegnaD000000.00100—16:01
29D. ShoreC000020.191004215:22
34S. SteelC303+330.230003814:55
24C. RowneyC000-200.00200014:48
49M. JonesL000-220.04300—14:31
38D. GrantC000-310.050205814:14
10C. PerryR000-110.20100—13:20
61T. TerryR011+300.12000—13:20
11D. SprongR000010.01000—13:11
64K. SherwoodL112+330.25200—10:45
Anaheim Ducks goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
36J. Gibson(W)32284.8751.83-2.1759:21

Season series

ANA leads 3-1

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).