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Anaheim Ducks at Vancouver Canucks

FinalTV FS-W, SNP·Rogers Arena

Recap

written from the game data

The Vancouver Canucks beat the Anaheim Ducks 4-0. The Canucks scored first and never trailed. The Canucks led 3-0 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Alex Biega's goal at 16:40 of the first period, which took the Canucks' chances from 68% to 82%. Expected goals were close — ANA 2.1, VAN 2.1; shots on goal were ANA 29, VAN 29. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Ducks win a replay of these chances 52% of the time. Kevin Boyle stopped 25 of 29 (.862), 1.9 goals below expected; Jacob Markstrom stopped 29 of 29 (1.000), 2.1 goals saved above expected. Three stars: 1. Jacob Markstrom (29 saves, 1.000), 2. Bo Horvat (2 G), 3. Elias Pettersson (2 A).

Three stars

  1. ★
    VAN
    J. Markstrom29 saves, 1.000
  2. ★★
    VAN
    B. Horvat2 G
  3. ★★★
    VAN
    E. Pettersson2 A

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
ANAANA0140807029
VANVAN26110113429

Scoring

4 goals

1st period

  1. VAN
    wristxG 0.05win prob +13 pts
    0-1
    8:04
  2. VAN
    snapxG 0.02win prob +14 pts
    0-2
    16:40

2nd period

  1. VAN
    B. Horvat(22)PPG
    wristxG 0.04win prob +7 pts
    0-3
    2:22

3rd period

  1. VAN
    wristxG 0.08win prob +1 pts
    0-4
    7:12

Penalties

ANA 4 PIM·VAN 4 PIM

1st

  • 4:09ANADerek Grant · Holdingdrawn by Luke Schenn2 min
  • 13:21VANAntoine Roussel · Cross checkingdrawn by Ryan Kesler2 min

2nd

  • 1:40ANABrendan Guhle · Boardingdrawn by Tyler Motte2 min

3rd

  • 18:48VANBo Horvat · Interferencedrawn by Carter Rowney2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
VAN goalANA goalFinal: VAN 100%

Biggest swing: Alex Biega, 1st 16:40 — VAN 68% → 82%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
B. Boeser · Missed · xG 0.16B. Horvat · On goal · xG 0.15M. Granlund · Missed · xG 0.12B. Horvat · Missed · xG 0.11B. Horvat · Missed · xG 0.11T. Motte · On goal · xG 0.11R. Spooner · On goal · xG 0.09B. Horvat · Goal · xG 0.08R. Spooner · On goal · xG 0.08B. Boeser · Missed · xG 0.07B. Boeser · On goal · xG 0.06M. Granlund · On goal · xG 0.05N. Goldobin · Goal · xG 0.05J. Leivo · On goal · xG 0.05R. Spooner · Missed · xG 0.05B. Horvat · Goal · xG 0.04A. Roussel · Missed · xG 0.04T. Motte · On goal · xG 0.04N. Goldobin · Missed · xG 0.04B. Boeser · On goal · xG 0.04N. Goldobin · Missed · xG 0.04A. Gaudette · On goal · xG 0.03L. Schenn · On goal · xG 0.03N. Goldobin · On goal · xG 0.03B. Hutton · Missed · xG 0.03J. Leivo · On goal · xG 0.02J. Leivo · On goal · xG 0.02J. Beagle · Missed · xG 0.02A. Roussel · On goal · xG 0.02B. Hutton · Missed · xG 0.02A. Biega · Goal · xG 0.02B. Boeser · Missed · xG 0.02R. Spooner · Missed · xG 0.02J. Beagle · On goal · xG 0.02A. Sautner · On goal · xG 0.02M. Granlund · On goal · xG 0.02L. Schenn · On goal · xG 0.01L. Schenn · Missed · xG 0.01L. Eriksson · Missed · xG 0.01L. Schenn · Missed · xG 0.01L. Schenn · On goal · xG 0.01T. Stecher · On goal · xG 0.01A. Sautner · On goal · xG 0.01A. Biega · Missed · xG 0.01L. Eriksson · Missed · xG 0.01B. Hutton · Missed · xG 0.01N. Goldobin · Missed · xG 0.01T. Stecher · Missed · xG 0.00B. Horvat · On goal · xG 0.00T. Motte · On goal · xG 0.00T. Motte · On goal · xG 0.00
VAN4 G · 2.1 xG · 51 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

ANAvsVAN
2.10 G
All situations
4 G2.1
1.90 G
Even strength
3 G1.4
0.10 G
Power play
1 G0.6
0.10 G
Shorthanded
0 G0.1

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 93 unblocked attempts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
ANA52%48%VAN

Flurry-adjusted xG 2.12 – 2.05

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

ANAvsVAN
29
Shots on goal
29
46%
Faceoffs
54%
0/2
Power play
1/2
4
Penalty minutes
4
14
Hits
20
18
Blocked shots
14
4
Giveaways
7
2
Takeaways
7

Box score

every player line
Anaheim Ducks skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
4C. FowlerD000000.09010—23:19
42J. MansonD000-200.00140—22:46
47H. LindholmD000-220.04010—21:08
67R. RakellR000-110.171001719:00
2B. GuhleD000-150.14012—18:15
43J. MegnaD000030.13020—17:55
17R. KeslerC000-120.092305315:58
33J. SilfverbergR000-140.39100—15:52
14A. HenriqueC000-100.043102915:50
37N. RitchieL000010.09010—15:40
61T. TerryR000-110.07000—15:26
49M. JonesL000010.13000—14:48
29D. ShoreC000-110.001102914:10
10C. PerryR000020.23020—13:54
11D. SprongR000-120.30110—13:42
5K. HolzerD000-110.01200—13:29
24C. RowneyC000-110.002005613:22
38D. GrantC000-120.200026212:44
Anaheim Ducks goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
40K. Boyle(L)29254.8622.05-1.9560:00

Season series

ANA leads 3-1

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).