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Vancouver Canucks at Anaheim Ducks

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Recap

written from the game data

The Anaheim Ducks beat the Vancouver Canucks 4-3. The Ducks scored first and never trailed. The Ducks led 2-1 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Derrick Pouliot's goal at 4:15 of the second period, which took the Canucks' chances from 30% to 47%. Expected goals favored the Ducks, 3.5 to 2.2; shots on goal were VAN 28, ANA 37. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Ducks win a replay of these chances 70% of the time. Jacob Markstrom stopped 33 of 37 (.892), 0.5 goals below expected; John Gibson stopped 25 of 28 (.893), 0.8 goals below expected. Three stars: 1. Ryan Getzlaf (1 G, 1 A), 2. Adam Henrique (1 G), 3. Brandon Montour (1 A).

Three stars

  1. ★
    ANA
    R. Getzlaf1 G, 1 A
  2. ★★
    ANA
    A. Henrique1 G
  3. ★★★
    ANA
    B. Montour1 A

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
VANVAN01011127328
ANAANA110114213437

Scoring

7 goals

1st period

  1. ANA
    Unassisted
    backhandxG 0.09win prob +13 pts
    0-1
    10:13

2nd period

  1. VAN
    snapxG 0.12win prob +17 pts
    1-1
    4:15
  2. ANA
    O. Kase(2)PPG
    wristxG 0.07win prob +16 pts
    1-2
    7:14

3rd period

  1. ANA
    wristxG 0.09win prob +14 pts
    1-3
    7:09
  2. VAN
    wristxG 0.01win prob +14 pts
    2-3
    8:07
  3. ANA
    tip-inxG 0.08win prob +13 pts
    2-4
    10:53
  4. VAN
    B. Horvat(11)PPG
    tip-inxG 0.10win prob +7 pts
    3-4
    15:16

Penalties

VAN 8 PIM·ANA 4 PIM

1st

  • 1:48VANElias Pettersson · Trippingdrawn by Adam Henrique2 min

2nd

  • 5:33VANTroy Stecher · Interferencedrawn by Brian Gibbons2 min
  • 8:50ANARyan Getzlaf · Hookingdrawn by Troy Stecher2 min
  • 11:10VANLoui Eriksson · Hookingdrawn by Brandon Montour2 min

3rd

  • 5:02VANDerrick Pouliot · Closing hand on puck2 min
  • 14:36ANANick Ritchie · Roughingdrawn by Jake Virtanen2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
ANA goalVAN goalFinal: ANA 100%

Biggest swing: Derrick Pouliot, 2nd 4:15 — VAN 30% → 47%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
A. Cogliano · On goal · xG 0.34P. Aberg · On goal · xG 0.20R. Rakell · On goal · xG 0.19R. Kesler · On goal · xG 0.19R. Kesler · On goal · xG 0.16J. Silfverberg · On goal · xG 0.15P. Aberg · On goal · xG 0.15J. Silfverberg · Missed · xG 0.15A. Cogliano · On goal · xG 0.14K. Kossila · On goal · xG 0.12R. Kesler · Missed · xG 0.10N. Ritchie · On goal · xG 0.10R. Getzlaf · Goal · xG 0.09N. Ritchie · On goal · xG 0.09A. Henrique · Goal · xG 0.09A. Henrique · On goal · xG 0.09K. Kossila · Goal · xG 0.08B. Montour · On goal · xG 0.08R. Rakell · On goal · xG 0.08P. Aberg · Missed · xG 0.08J. Silfverberg · Missed · xG 0.07O. Kase · Goal · xG 0.07R. Rakell · On goal · xG 0.07R. Getzlaf · On goal · xG 0.05J. Silfverberg · Missed · xG 0.05R. Rakell · On goal · xG 0.05R. Getzlaf · Missed · xG 0.04P. Aberg · Missed · xG 0.04O. Kase · On goal · xG 0.03B. Montour · On goal · xG 0.03J. Mahura · On goal · xG 0.03P. Aberg · On goal · xG 0.02R. Getzlaf · Missed · xG 0.02R. Kesler · On goal · xG 0.02R. Rakell · On goal · xG 0.02P. Aberg · On goal · xG 0.02J. Mahura · On goal · xG 0.02R. Rakell · Missed · xG 0.02O. Kase · Missed · xG 0.02O. Kase · On goal · xG 0.01B. Montour · On goal · xG 0.01J. Mahura · On goal · xG 0.01A. Cogliano · Missed · xG 0.01A. Henrique · On goal · xG 0.01A. Cogliano · On goal · xG 0.01O. Kase · Missed · xG 0.01B. Montour · Missed · xG 0.01J. Mahura · On goal · xG 0.01K. Sherwood · On goal · xG 0.01J. Silfverberg · Missed · xG 0.00A. Welinski · On goal · xG 0.00
ANA4 G · 3.5 xG · 51 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

VANvsANA
2.23 G
All situations
4 G3.5
1.82 G
Even strength
3 G2.1
0.11 G
Power play
1 G1.4
0.30 G
Shorthanded
0 G0.0

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 99 unblocked attempts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
VAN30%70%ANA

Flurry-adjusted xG 2.20 – 3.36

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

VANvsANA
28
Shots on goal
37
53%
Faceoffs
47%
1/2
Power play
1/4
8
Penalty minutes
4
31
Hits
29
12
Blocked shots
12
8
Giveaways
15
1
Takeaways
3

Box score

every player line
Vancouver Canucks skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
53B. HorvatC112040.202006223:44
77N. GoldobinR112+120.18010—20:47
27B. HuttonD011-130.01000—20:46
4M. Del ZottoD000+110.10120—20:45
40E. PetterssonC000+110.223024020:34
89S. GagnerC011020.24400020:24
51T. StecherD000020.07412—19:36
8C. TanevD000000.00140—19:21
5D. PouliotD101-210.12102—17:29
44E. GudbransonD000-110.02210—17:07
60M. GranlundC000-300.000006016:42
18J. VirtanenR011060.26100—15:59
64T. MotteC000020.08420015:49
26A. RousselL000-120.4620010013:46
21L. ErikssonL000000.15012—12:35
88A. GaudetteR000000.072005007:04
59T. SchallerL000000.00100—05:54
49D. ArchibaldR000010.01300—05:45
Vancouver Canucks goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
25J. Markstrom(L)37334.8923.47-0.5358:12

Season series

ANA leads 3-1

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).