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Sabres at Senators
NHL

Buffalo Sabres at Ottawa Senators

NHL scoreboard
Buffalo Sabres
0
Ottawa Senators
▸4
FinalTV MSG-B, TSN5·Canadian Tire Centre

Recap

written from the game data

The Ottawa Senators beat the Buffalo Sabres 4-0. The Senators scored first and never trailed. The Senators led 2-0 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Brian Gibbons's goal at 19:49 of the first period, which took the Senators' chances from 69% to 83%. Expected goals favored the Senators, 2.8 to 2.4; shots on goal were BUF 35, OTT 31. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Senators win a replay of these chances 55% of the time. Carter Hutton stopped 27 of 31 (.871), 1.2 goals below expected; Craig Anderson stopped 35 of 35 (1.000), 2.5 goals saved above expected. Three stars: 1. Craig Anderson (35 saves, 1.000), 2. Brian Gibbons (1 G, 1 A), 3. Thomas Chabot (2 A).

Three stars

  1. ★
    OTT
    C. Anderson35 saves, 1.000
  2. ★★
    OTT
    B. Gibbons1 G, 1 A
  3. ★★★
    OTT
    T. Chabot2 A

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
BUFBUF01309013035
OTTOTT2160728431

Scoring

4 goals

1st period

  1. OTT
    A. Duclair(16)
    O. Lindberg (10), T. Chabot (38)
    backhandxG 0.14win prob +15 pts
    0-1
    17:07
  2. OTT
    B. Gibbons(7)
    C. Jaros (9)
    deflectedxG 0.06win prob +15 pts
    0-2
    19:49

3rd period

  1. OTT
    R. Balcers(5)PPG
    B. Ryan (26), T. Chabot (39)
    wristxG 0.14win prob +3 pts
    0-3
    5:54
  2. OTT
    M. Paajarvi(10)
    C. Wolanin (7), B. Gibbons (8)
    slapxG 0.17win prob +1 pts
    0-4
    7:24

Penalties

BUF 8 PIM·OTT 4 PIM

1st

  • 1:03OTTRudolfs Balcers · Hookingdrawn by Evan Rodrigues2 min
  • 4:27BUFAlex Nylander · Trippingdrawn by Rudolfs Balcers2 min
  • 14:38BUFRasmus Dahlin · Hookingdrawn by Anthony Duclair2 min

2nd

  • 3:54BUFBrandon Montour · Unsportsmanlike conduct2 min
  • 15:46OTTMark Borowiecki · Boardingdrawn by Evan Rodrigues2 min

3rd

  • 5:19BUFAlex Nylander · High stickingdrawn by Brady Tkachuk2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
OTT goalBUF goalFinal: OTT 100%

Biggest swing: Brian Gibbons, 1st 19:49 — OTT 69% → 83%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
J. Pageau · On goal · xG 0.44C. White · Missed · xG 0.27B. Tkachuk · On goal · xG 0.22B. Tkachuk · On goal · xG 0.21M. Paajarvi · Goal · xG 0.17M. Boedker · Missed · xG 0.16C. White · On goal · xG 0.16R. Balcers · Goal · xG 0.14A. Duclair · Goal · xG 0.14J. Pageau · On goal · xG 0.11M. Boedker · Missed · xG 0.10B. Tkachuk · On goal · xG 0.09B. Gibbons · Goal · xG 0.06B. Ryan · Missed · xG 0.06M. Boedker · Missed · xG 0.05C. White · On goal · xG 0.05A. Duclair · On goal · xG 0.04T. Chabot · On goal · xG 0.04B. Harpur · On goal · xG 0.03D. DeMelo · On goal · xG 0.03T. Chabot · On goal · xG 0.03C. Wolanin · On goal · xG 0.03T. Chabot · Missed · xG 0.03O. Lindberg · Missed · xG 0.02M. Borowiecki · On goal · xG 0.02T. Chabot · Missed · xG 0.02B. Ryan · On goal · xG 0.02B. Ryan · On goal · xG 0.01B. Harpur · On goal · xG 0.01B. Harpur · On goal · xG 0.01T. Chabot · On goal · xG 0.01O. Lindberg · On goal · xG 0.01C. Tierney · On goal · xG 0.01B. Tkachuk · On goal · xG 0.01B. Harpur · On goal · xG 0.01J. Pageau · On goal · xG 0.01B. Harpur · On goal · xG 0.01D. DeMelo · Missed · xG 0.00M. Borowiecki · Missed · xG 0.00R. Balcers · On goal · xG 0.00M. Paajarvi · On goal · xG 0.00
OTT4 G · 2.8 xG · 41 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

BUFvsOTT
2.40 G
All situations
4 G2.8
2.20 G
Even strength
3 G1.8
0.30 G
Power play
1 G1.0

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 92 unblocked attempts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
BUF45%55%OTT

Flurry-adjusted xG 2.43 – 2.71

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

BUFvsOTT
35
Shots on goal
31
48%
Faceoffs
52%
0/2
Power play
1/4
8
Penalty minutes
4
27
Hits
20
10
Blocked shots
14
9
Giveaways
14
3
Takeaways
6

Box score

every player line
Buffalo Sabres skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
26R. DahlinD000-120.10402—22:46
6M. ScandellaD000-110.02020—20:44
8C. NelsonD000-120.04320—20:35
62B. MontourD000-230.14012—20:26
9J. EichelC000-130.361004719:06
53J. SkinnerL000-140.151004018:36
23S. ReinhartC000040.27300017:43
22J. LarssonL000020.414106917:09
24L. PilutD000-120.10000—17:00
28Z. GirgensonsC000-100.02310015:00
33W. BorgenD000000.00300—14:54
71E. RodriguesC000-100.060203814:29
37C. MittelstadtC000-120.150004014:08
72T. ThompsonC000-110.092005012:18
43C. ShearyL000-130.11000—12:17
92A. NylanderL000020.06004—12:17
29J. PominvilleR000-110.28100—12:05
21K. OkposoR000-130.08210—11:52
Buffalo Sabres goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
40C. Hutton(L)31274.8712.81-1.1960:00

Season series

Tied 2-2

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).