Skip to content
Senators at Sabres
NHL

Ottawa Senators at Buffalo Sabres

NHL scoreboard
Ottawa Senators
2
Buffalo Sabres
▸9
FinalTV MSG-B, TSN5·KeyBank Center

Recap

written from the game data

The Buffalo Sabres beat the Ottawa Senators 9-2. The Sabres scored first and never trailed. The Sabres led 7-1 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Jeff Skinner's goal at 6:28 of the first period, which took the Sabres' chances from 66% to 80%. Expected goals favored the Sabres, 3.6 to 1.9; shots on goal were OTT 29, BUF 41. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Sabres win a replay of these chances 77% of the time. Mike McKenna stopped 25 of 31 (.806), 3.7 goals below expected; Linus Ullmark stopped 27 of 29 (.931). Three stars: 1. Jason Pominville (2 G, 1 A), 2. Jeff Skinner (2 G, 1 A), 3. Jack Eichel (3 A).

Three stars

  1. ★
    BUF
    J. Pominville2 G, 1 A
  2. ★★
    BUF
    J. Skinner2 G, 1 A
  3. ★★★
    BUF
    J. Eichel3 A

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
OTTOTT0819112229
BUFBUF31342127941

Scoring

11 goals

1st period

  1. BUF
    K. Okposo(4)
    C. Nelson (2), V. Sobotka (1)
    snapxG 0.03win prob +12 pts
    0-1
    5:04
  2. BUF
    J. Skinner(8)
    J. Eichel (11), J. Pominville (6)
    snapxG 0.08win prob +14 pts
    0-2
    6:28
  3. BUF
    J. Pominville(7)
    J. Skinner (7), J. Eichel (12)
    wristxG 0.14win prob +9 pts
    0-3
    14:25

2nd period

  1. BUF
    J. Skinner(9)PPG
    S. Reinhart (6), C. Mittelstadt (3)
    wristxG 0.17win prob +4 pts
    0-4
    5:06
  2. BUF
    Z. Girgensons(1)
    P. Berglund (2), J. Larsson (2)
    wristxG 0.12win prob +2 pts
    0-5
    5:19
  3. OTT
    M. McCormick(1)
    M. Boedker (6)
    wristxG 0.10win prob +1 pts
    1-5
    6:37
  4. BUF
    J. Pominville(8)
    J. Eichel (13), R. Dahlin (4)
    wristxG 0.24win prob +1 pts
    1-6
    7:06
  5. BUF
    C. Sheary(4)
    S. Reinhart (7)
    wristxG 0.21
    1-7
    7:48

3rd period

  1. BUF
    P. Berglund(2)
    R. Ristolainen (5), Z. Girgensons (4)
    wristxG 0.12
    1-8
    5:41
  2. BUF
    C. Mittelstadt(2)
    C. Sheary (3), M. Scandella (3)
    snapxG 0.05
    1-9
    13:13
  3. OTT
    C. Ceci(1)
    T. Chabot (13), M. Stone (7)
    wristxG 0.01
    2-9
    14:14

Penalties

OTT 8 PIM·BUF 4 PIM

1st

  • 18:13BUFVladimir Sobotka · Holdingdrawn by Matt Duchene2 min

2nd

  • 3:21OTTChristian Jaros · Trippingdrawn by Jack Eichel2 min
  • 12:35OTTRyan Dzingel · Trippingdrawn by Kyle Okposo2 min

3rd

  • 3:11OTTRyan Dzingel · Slashingdrawn by Sam Reinhart2 min
  • 17:42BUFJake McCabe · Slashingdrawn by Colin White2 min
  • 17:42OTTColin White · Roughingdrawn by Jake McCabe2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
BUF goalOTT goalFinal: BUF 100%

Biggest swing: Jeff Skinner, 1st 6:28 — BUF 66% → 80%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
J. Pominville · Goal · xG 0.24K. Okposo · On goal · xG 0.21C. Sheary · Goal · xG 0.21J. Pominville · On goal · xG 0.18J. Skinner · Goal · xG 0.17J. Eichel · On goal · xG 0.17J. Pominville · Goal · xG 0.14J. Pominville · On goal · xG 0.14J. McCabe · Missed · xG 0.14Z. Girgensons · Goal · xG 0.12J. Skinner · Missed · xG 0.12P. Berglund · Goal · xG 0.12J. Skinner · On goal · xG 0.12E. Rodrigues · On goal · xG 0.12J. Pominville · On goal · xG 0.11J. Skinner · On goal · xG 0.10E. Rodrigues · Missed · xG 0.10E. Rodrigues · On goal · xG 0.08J. Skinner · Goal · xG 0.08M. Scandella · On goal · xG 0.08C. Sheary · On goal · xG 0.06J. Skinner · On goal · xG 0.06J. Pominville · On goal · xG 0.06J. Eichel · On goal · xG 0.06E. Rodrigues · On goal · xG 0.05C. Mittelstadt · Goal · xG 0.05R. Ristolainen · On goal · xG 0.05P. Berglund · On goal · xG 0.04J. Larsson · On goal · xG 0.04R. Dahlin · On goal · xG 0.04J. Eichel · On goal · xG 0.04R. Dahlin · On goal · xG 0.03J. Larsson · Missed · xG 0.03K. Okposo · Goal · xG 0.03R. Dahlin · On goal · xG 0.03C. Sheary · On goal · xG 0.02K. Okposo · On goal · xG 0.02Z. Bogosian · On goal · xG 0.02Z. Bogosian · On goal · xG 0.02M. Scandella · On goal · xG 0.01Z. Girgensons · Missed · xG 0.01R. Ristolainen · On goal · xG 0.01R. Ristolainen · On goal · xG 0.01C. Sheary · On goal · xG 0.01J. Eichel · Missed · xG 0.00Z. Girgensons · On goal · xG 0.00C. Mittelstadt · On goal · xG 0.00
BUF9 G · 3.6 xG · 47 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

OTTvsBUF
1.92 G
All situations
9 G3.6
1.72 G
Even strength
8 G2.6
0.10 G
Power play
1 G0.9

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 81 unblocked attempts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
OTT23%77%BUF

Flurry-adjusted xG 1.85 – 3.49

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

OTTvsBUF
29
Shots on goal
41
52%
Faceoffs
48%
0/1
Power play
1/3
8
Penalty minutes
4
6
Hits
9
9
Blocked shots
13
5
Giveaways
5
1
Takeaways
5

Box score

every player line
Ottawa Senators skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
5C. CeciD101010.02020—21:19
72T. ChabotD011-340.07000—21:16
71C. TierneyC000-220.090304218:29
58M. LajoieD000-210.05000—18:22
18R. DzingelC000-220.150143318:08
36C. WhiteC000-110.150125716:29
89M. BoedkerL011-230.31000—16:28
2D. DeMeloD000-400.00100—16:23
83C. JarosD000020.21302—16:06
95M. DucheneC000-210.090005616:04
61M. StoneR011-130.25000—15:27
9B. RyanR000-100.00000—15:02
10T. PyattL000-310.010005614:37
13N. PaulL000-320.1700010014:28
56M. PaajarviL000000.02010—14:05
17M. McCormickL101-130.19010—13:45
6C. WidemanD000-220.03000—13:39
46E. BurgdoerferD000-110.06200—12:08
Ottawa Senators goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
33M. McKenna31256.8062.31-3.6945:35
41C. Anderson(L)1073.7001.24-1.7614:25

Season series

Tied 2-2

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).