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Avalanche at Blackhawks
NHL

Colorado Avalanche at Chicago Blackhawks

Final/OTTV NBCSN·United Center

Recap

written from the game data

The Chicago Blackhawks beat the Colorado Avalanche 2-1 in overtime, Duncan Keith scoring at 1:23. The Avalanche scored first; the Blackhawks answered. The Avalanche led 1-0 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Duncan Keith's goal at 1:23 of overtime, which took the Blackhawks' chances from 51% to 100%. Expected goals favored the Blackhawks, 2.6 to 1.6; shots on goal were COL 20, CHI 42. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Blackhawks win a replay of these chances 69% of the time. Philipp Grubauer stopped 40 of 42 (.952), 0.6 goals saved above expected; Corey Crawford stopped 19 of 20 (.950), 0.6 goals saved above expected. Three stars: 1. Duncan Keith (1 G), 2. Philipp Grubauer (40 saves, .952), 3. Artem Anisimov (1 G).

Three stars

  1. ★
    CHI
    D. Keith1 G
  2. ★★
    COL
    P. Grubauer40 saves, .952
  3. ★★★
    CHI
    A. Anisimov1 G

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdOTT
COLCOL071100300120
CHICHI01401111512242

Scoring

3 goals

2nd period

  1. COL
    A. Kerfoot(12)PPG
    deflectedxG 0.12win prob +20 pts
    1-0
    15:26

3rd period

  1. CHI
    tip-inxG 0.11win prob +22 pts
    1-1
    1:44

Overtime

  1. CHI
    B. Saad (20)
    wristxG 0.08win prob +49 pts
    1-2
    1:23

Penalties

COL 4 PIM·CHI 6 PIM

1st

  • 1:56COLPatrik Nemeth · High stickingdrawn by Dylan Strome2 min
  • 5:09CHIMarcus Kruger · Trippingdrawn by Tyson Jost2 min

2nd

  • 13:38CHIMarcus Kruger · Holdingdrawn by Gabriel Bourque2 min
  • 14:09CHIJonathan Toews · Hookingdrawn by Tyson Barrie2 min
  • 19:45COLDerick Brassard · Boardingdrawn by Alex DeBrincat2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
CHI goalCOL goalFinal: CHI 100%

Biggest swing: Duncan Keith, OT 1:23 — CHI 51% → 100%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
D. Strome · On goal · xG 0.18A. DeBrincat · On goal · xG 0.15B. Saad · On goal · xG 0.14B. Perlini · On goal · xG 0.13J. Toews · On goal · xG 0.12J. Toews · On goal · xG 0.12D. Kahun · On goal · xG 0.12A. Anisimov · Goal · xG 0.11D. Strome · On goal · xG 0.09A. Anisimov · On goal · xG 0.09A. DeBrincat · Missed · xG 0.08D. Keith · Goal · xG 0.08J. Toews · On goal · xG 0.07P. Kane · On goal · xG 0.07A. DeBrincat · On goal · xG 0.07P. Kane · On goal · xG 0.06P. Kane · Missed · xG 0.06S. Koekkoek · Missed · xG 0.06P. Kane · On goal · xG 0.06P. Kane · On goal · xG 0.06D. Strome · On goal · xG 0.05J. Toews · On goal · xG 0.04B. Saad · On goal · xG 0.04E. Gustafsson · Missed · xG 0.04J. Toews · On goal · xG 0.04C. Kunitz · On goal · xG 0.04P. Kane · Missed · xG 0.03P. Kane · On goal · xG 0.03S. Koekkoek · On goal · xG 0.03E. Gustafsson · On goal · xG 0.03A. Anisimov · On goal · xG 0.03A. Anisimov · Missed · xG 0.02G. Forsling · On goal · xG 0.02C. Murphy · On goal · xG 0.02B. Seabrook · On goal · xG 0.02C. Murphy · On goal · xG 0.02C. Murphy · On goal · xG 0.02P. Kane · On goal · xG 0.02J. Toews · Missed · xG 0.02C. Murphy · On goal · xG 0.02D. Kahun · On goal · xG 0.01B. Perlini · On goal · xG 0.01P. Kane · On goal · xG 0.01D. Keith · On goal · xG 0.01B. Saad · On goal · xG 0.01S. Koekkoek · Missed · xG 0.01J. Toews · On goal · xG 0.01M. Kruger · On goal · xG 0.01G. Forsling · Missed · xG 0.01E. Gustafsson · On goal · xG 0.01G. Forsling · On goal · xG 0.01
CHI2 G · 2.6 xG · 51 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

COLvsCHI
1.61 G
All situations
2 G2.6
1.10 G
Even strength
1 G1.8
0.51 G
Power play
1 G0.7
0.00 G
Shorthanded
0 G0.0

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 75 unblocked attempts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
COL31%69%CHI

Flurry-adjusted xG 1.57 – 2.57

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

COLvsCHI
20
Shots on goal
42
42%
Faceoffs
58%
1/3
Power play
1/2
4
Penalty minutes
6
35
Hits
28
24
Blocked shots
23
9
Giveaways
11
9
Takeaways
8

Box score

every player line
Colorado Avalanche skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
29N. MacKinnonC011-140.242003623:56
37J. CompherL000020.193104122:55
49S. GirardD000000.00240—21:44
13A. KerfootC101-110.122106721:37
6E. JohnsonD000010.02360—21:35
34C. SoderbergC000000.066004421:14
4T. BarrieD011-130.07100—19:41
28I. ColeD000000.00230—18:20
22C. WilsonC000000.08030017:48
11M. CalvertL000000.00100—17:34
12P. NemethD000000.00122—15:56
17T. JostC000030.371203315:55
16N. ZadorovD000000.00410—15:38
18D. BrassardC000000.061026014:23
10S. AndrighettoR000030.28110—12:45
57G. BourqueL000000.00200—08:07
26A. AgozzinoL000030.08100—06:50
27R. GravesD000000.00200—04:12
Colorado Avalanche goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
31P. Grubauer(O)42402.9522.62+0.6261:23

Season series

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).