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Avalanche at Blackhawks
NHL

Colorado Avalanche at Chicago Blackhawks

NHL scoreboard
Colorado Avalanche
▸5
Chicago Blackhawks
3
FinalTV ESPN+, NBCSCH·United Center

Recap

written from the game data

The Colorado Avalanche beat the Chicago Blackhawks 5-3. The Avalanche scored first and never trailed. It was tied 2-2 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was J.T. Compher's goal at 14:38 of the third period, which took the Avalanche's chances from 48% to 87%. Expected goals favored the Blackhawks, 3.8 to 3.1; shots on goal were COL 31, CHI 44. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Blackhawks win a replay of these chances 74% of the time. Semyon Varlamov stopped 41 of 44 (.932), 0.8 goals saved above expected; Collin Delia stopped 26 of 30 (.867), 1.8 goals below expected. Three stars: 1. J.T. Compher (2 G, 1 A), 2. Patrick Kane (1 G), 3. Gabriel Landeskog (1 G, 1 A).

Three stars

  1. ★
    COL
    J. Compher2 G, 1 A
  2. ★★
    CHI
    P. Kane1 G
  3. ★★★
    COL
    G. Landeskog1 G, 1 A

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
COLCOL11111139531
CHICHI016213115344

Scoring

8 goals

1st period

  1. COL
    C. Soderberg(20)
    A. Kerfoot (20), S. Andrighetto (6)
    wristxG 0.17win prob +15 pts
    1-0
    16:09

2nd period

  1. CHI
    D. Strome(16)PPG
    E. Gustafsson (30), D. Keith (25)
    wristxG 0.14win prob +15 pts
    1-1
    10:48
  2. COL
    J. Compher(13)PPG
    M. Rantanen (53), G. Landeskog (31)
    wristxG 0.10win prob +21 pts
    2-1
    18:05
  3. CHI
    P. Kane(39)
    J. Toews (34)
    wristxG 0.07win prob +23 pts
    2-2
    19:31

3rd period

  1. COL
    G. Landeskog(32)
    J. Compher (13)
    slapxG 0.03win prob +27 pts
    3-2
    3:36
  2. CHI
    A. DeBrincat(34)PPG
    E. Gustafsson (31), J. Toews (35)
    backhandxG 0.09win prob +25 pts
    3-3
    10:00
  3. COL
    J. Compher(14)
    P. Nemeth (5)
    wristxG 0.19win prob +39 pts
    4-3
    14:38
  4. COL
    C. Soderberg(21)EN
    M. Calvert (14), P. Nemeth (6)
    wristxG 0.89win prob +7 pts
    5-3
    19:26

Penalties

COL 8 PIM·CHI 8 PIM

1st

  • 10:15CHIConnor Murphy · Trippingdrawn by Mikko Rantanen2 min
  • 18:14CHIChris Kunitz · Trippingdrawn by Samuel Girard2 min

2nd

  • 4:41CHIErik Gustafsson · Hookingdrawn by Gabriel Landeskog2 min
  • 9:30COLTyson Barrie · High stickingdrawn by Brandon Saad2 min
  • 16:45CHISlater Koekkoek · Slashingdrawn by Matt Calvert2 min

3rd

  • 6:41COLTyson Jost · Slashingdrawn by Patrick Kane2 min
  • 9:32COLMikko Rantanen · Holdingdrawn by Slater Koekkoek2 min
  • 18:17COLErik Johnson · Interferencedrawn by Jonathan Toews2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
CHI goalCOL goalFinal: CHI 0%

Biggest swing: J.T. Compher, 3rd 14:38 — COL 48% → 87%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
D. Strome · Missed · xG 0.24J. Toews · On goal · xG 0.22B. Saad · On goal · xG 0.19P. Kane · On goal · xG 0.18P. Kane · On goal · xG 0.18A. DeBrincat · Missed · xG 0.17A. Anisimov · On goal · xG 0.17A. Anisimov · On goal · xG 0.15D. Strome · Goal · xG 0.14B. Saad · On goal · xG 0.12A. DeBrincat · On goal · xG 0.11P. Kane · On goal · xG 0.10A. DeBrincat · On goal · xG 0.10B. Saad · Missed · xG 0.10P. Kane · On goal · xG 0.10D. Kahun · On goal · xG 0.10A. Anisimov · On goal · xG 0.09D. Kahun · On goal · xG 0.09J. Toews · On goal · xG 0.09A. DeBrincat · Goal · xG 0.09D. Kahun · On goal · xG 0.08A. DeBrincat · On goal · xG 0.08D. Strome · On goal · xG 0.07D. Caggiula · On goal · xG 0.07P. Kane · Goal · xG 0.07A. Anisimov · On goal · xG 0.07J. Hayden · On goal · xG 0.06P. Kane · Missed · xG 0.05P. Kane · On goal · xG 0.05P. Kane · On goal · xG 0.05P. Kane · On goal · xG 0.04E. Gustafsson · Missed · xG 0.04J. Toews · On goal · xG 0.04J. Toews · On goal · xG 0.04D. Strome · On goal · xG 0.04D. Keith · Missed · xG 0.03P. Kane · On goal · xG 0.03E. Gustafsson · On goal · xG 0.03P. Kane · On goal · xG 0.03P. Kane · On goal · xG 0.02A. Anisimov · On goal · xG 0.02P. Kane · On goal · xG 0.01G. Forsling · On goal · xG 0.01G. Forsling · On goal · xG 0.01C. Murphy · On goal · xG 0.01P. Kane · On goal · xG 0.01D. Keith · On goal · xG 0.01J. Hayden · On goal · xG 0.00D. Kahun · On goal · xG 0.00G. Forsling · On goal · xG 0.00
CHI3 G · 3.8 xG · 50 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

COLvsCHI
3.14 G
All situations
3 G3.8
1.73 G
Even strength
1 G2.5
0.51 G
Power play
2 G1.2
0.00 G
Shorthanded
0 G0.2

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 85 unblocked attempts. Empty-net goals are left out of the goal counts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
COL26%74%CHI

Flurry-adjusted xG 2.21 – 3.71

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

COLvsCHI
31
Shots on goal
44
51%
Faceoffs
49%
1/4
Power play
2/4
8
Penalty minutes
8
31
Hits
19
23
Blocked shots
12
11
Giveaways
10
12
Takeaways
9

Box score

every player line
Colorado Avalanche skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
29N. MacKinnonC000060.531005422:02
4T. BarrieD000+110.04112—21:40
96M. RantanenR011010.28112—21:34
6E. JohnsonD000000.00422—20:49
92G. LandeskogL112+240.152203320:29
16N. ZadorovD000000.00420—20:16
49S. GirardD000+210.01330—19:40
34C. SoderbergC202+351.203106718:50
12P. NemethD022+210.01130—18:17
37J. CompherL213+130.461004018:05
11M. CalvertL011+120.19000—18:02
13A. KerfootC011000.050007516:18
17T. JostC000010.02102012:43
10S. AndrighettoR011+100.00000—12:19
27R. GravesD000+120.05150—12:00
83M. NietoL000020.04020—09:37
26A. AgozzinoL000000.005005006:42
24A. GreerL000020.07310—05:13
Colorado Avalanche goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
1S. Varlamov(W)44413.9323.83+0.8359:55

Season series

CHI leads 3-2

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).