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Blackhawks at Avalanche
NHL

Chicago Blackhawks at Colorado Avalanche

NHL scoreboard
Chicago Blackhawks
2
Colorado Avalanche
▸4
FinalTV ESPN+, ALT·Pepsi Center

Recap

written from the game data

The Colorado Avalanche beat the Chicago Blackhawks 4-2. The Avalanche scored first and never trailed. The Avalanche led 2-1 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Jonathan Toews's goal at 5:20 of the second period, which took the Blackhawks' chances from 30% to 47%. Expected goals were close — CHI 2.7, COL 2.8; shots on goal were CHI 31, COL 25. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Blackhawks win a replay of these chances 57% of the time. Corey Crawford stopped 21 of 24 (.875), 0.7 goals below expected; Philipp Grubauer stopped 29 of 31 (.935), 0.7 goals saved above expected. Three stars: 1. Colin Wilson (1 G, 1 A), 2. Alexander Kerfoot (2 A), 3. Sven Andrighetto (1 G).

Three stars

  1. ★
    COL
    C. Wilson1 G, 1 A
  2. ★★
    COL
    A. Kerfoot2 A
  3. ★★★
    COL
    S. Andrighetto1 G

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
CHICHI08111112231
COLCOL0721226425

Scoring

6 goals

2nd period

  1. COL
    J. Compher(16)
    P. Nemeth (8), A. Kerfoot (24)
    tip-inxG 0.07win prob +16 pts
    0-1
    3:07
  2. CHI
    J. Toews(32)
    D. Sikura (8), P. Kane (61)
    wristxG 0.34win prob +17 pts
    1-1
    5:20
  3. COL
    C. Wilson(11)PPG
    A. Kerfoot (25), S. Girard (20)
    wristxG 0.22win prob +16 pts
    1-2
    13:57

3rd period

  1. COL
    S. Andrighetto(6)
    E. Johnson (16), C. Wilson (13)
    tip-inxG 0.10win prob +15 pts
    1-3
    1:26
  2. CHI
    E. Gustafsson(16)
    D. Keith (31), B. Saad (19)
    slapxG 0.02win prob +12 pts
    2-3
    12:04
  3. COL
    D. Brassard(13)EN
    Unassisted
    wristxG 0.53win prob +7 pts
    2-4
    17:40

Penalties

CHI 10 PIM·COL 6 PIM

1st

  • 1:10CHIBrandon Saad · Trippingdrawn by Colin Wilson2 min
  • 5:36COLserved by D. Brassard · Too many men on the ice2 min
  • 17:39CHIBrandon Saad · Trippingdrawn by J.T. Compher2 min

2nd

  • 12:29CHIErik Gustafsson · Holdingdrawn by Gabriel Bourque2 min
  • 12:58CHIDavid Kampf · High sticking double minordrawn by Tyson Barrie4 min
  • 17:42COLTyson Jost · Cross checkingdrawn by Duncan Keith2 min

3rd

  • 3:53COLAlexander Kerfoot · Trippingdrawn by Duncan Keith2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
COL goalCHI goalFinal: COL 100%

Biggest swing: Jonathan Toews, 2nd 5:20 — CHI 30% → 47%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
D. Brassard · Goal · xG 0.53C. Wilson · Goal · xG 0.22C. Soderberg · Missed · xG 0.17A. Kerfoot · On goal · xG 0.14G. Bourque · On goal · xG 0.12N. MacKinnon · Missed · xG 0.11N. MacKinnon · On goal · xG 0.10N. MacKinnon · On goal · xG 0.10C. Soderberg · Missed · xG 0.10S. Andrighetto · Goal · xG 0.10N. MacKinnon · On goal · xG 0.10C. Soderberg · On goal · xG 0.10T. Jost · On goal · xG 0.10A. Kerfoot · On goal · xG 0.09J. Compher · Missed · xG 0.09J. Compher · On goal · xG 0.08N. Zadorov · On goal · xG 0.08J. Compher · Goal · xG 0.08N. MacKinnon · On goal · xG 0.06G. Bourque · Missed · xG 0.05J. Compher · On goal · xG 0.04N. Zadorov · On goal · xG 0.04N. MacKinnon · Missed · xG 0.03N. MacKinnon · On goal · xG 0.03N. Zadorov · Missed · xG 0.03T. Barrie · Missed · xG 0.03J. Compher · Missed · xG 0.03C. Wilson · Missed · xG 0.02C. Soderberg · Missed · xG 0.02C. Soderberg · On goal · xG 0.01P. Nemeth · On goal · xG 0.01T. Jost · On goal · xG 0.01E. Johnson · On goal · xG 0.01T. Jost · On goal · xG 0.01T. Jost · Missed · xG 0.01T. Barrie · On goal · xG 0.01N. Zadorov · On goal · xG 0.01
COL4 G · 2.8 xG · 37 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

CHIvsCOL
2.72 G
All situations
3 G2.8
1.82 G
Even strength
2 G1.2
0.90 G
Power play
1 G1.1
0.00 G
Shorthanded
0 G0.0

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 85 unblocked attempts. Empty-net goals are left out of the goal counts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
CHI57%43%COL

Flurry-adjusted xG 2.68 – 2.29

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

CHIvsCOL
31
Shots on goal
25
57%
Faceoffs
43%
0/3
Power play
1/5
10
Penalty minutes
6
22
Hits
22
12
Blocked shots
19
4
Giveaways
6
8
Takeaways
6

Box score

every player line
Chicago Blackhawks skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
2D. KeithD011+130.06020—26:24
56E. GustafssonD101+140.20822—25:51
88P. KaneR011030.35000—24:28
19J. ToewsC101030.592008323:46
20B. SaadL011020.14204—21:16
12A. DeBrincatR000-210.54000—18:27
7B. SeabrookD000-230.08130—17:11
15A. AnisimovC000+120.100003616:55
17D. StromeC000-140.240005016:54
5C. MurphyD000010.00110—16:46
42G. ForslingD000-200.00110—14:13
63C. DahlstromD000000.03000—13:52
24D. KahunC000010.10010012:24
95D. SikuraR011+220.12000—11:32
64D. KampfC000-100.000044309:13
16M. KrugerC000-100.021103309:12
11B. PerliniL000-110.07100—08:28
14C. KunitzL000-110.03510—05:32
Chicago Blackhawks goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
50C. Crawford(L)24213.8752.32-0.6858:08

Season series

CHI leads 3-2

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).