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Nashville Predators at Winnipeg Jets

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Recap

written from the game data

The Winnipeg Jets beat the Nashville Predators 5-0. The Jets scored first and never trailed. The Jets led 3-0 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Kyle Connor's goal at 4:42 of the second period, which took the Jets' chances from 53% to 70%. Expected goals favored the Jets, 2.9 to 2.1; shots on goal were NSH 33, WPG 43. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Jets win a replay of these chances 65% of the time. Pekka Rinne stopped 38 of 43 (.884), 2.1 goals below expected; Connor Hellebuyck stopped 33 of 33 (1.000), 2.1 goals saved above expected. Three stars: 1. Kyle Connor (3 G, 1 A), 2. Connor Hellebuyck (33 saves, 1.000), 3. Kevin Hayes (1 G, 3 A).

Three stars

  1. ★
    WPG
    K. Connor3 G, 1 A
  2. ★★
    WPG
    C. Hellebuyck33 saves, 1.000
  3. ★★★
    WPG
    K. Hayes1 G, 3 A

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
NSHNSH01209012033
WPGWPG08319216543

Scoring

5 goals

2nd period

  1. WPG
    K. Hayes (32), T. Myers (20)
    backhandxG 0.13win prob +17 pts
    0-1
    4:42
  2. WPG
    wristxG 0.03win prob +15 pts
    0-2
    14:16
  3. WPG
    K. Connor (29), J. Trouba (37)
    slapxG 0.03win prob +8 pts
    0-3
    15:41

3rd period

  1. WPG
    backhandxG 0.12
    0-4
    15:22
  2. WPG
    P. Laine (20), K. Hayes (34)
    wristxG 0.07
    0-5
    19:51

Penalties

NSH 4 PIM·WPG 0 PIM

1st

  • 6:19NSHP.K. Subban · Trippingdrawn by Nikolaj Ehlers2 min

3rd

  • 10:03NSHCalle Jarnkrok · Trippingdrawn by Kyle Connor2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
WPG goalNSH goalFinal: WPG 100%

Biggest swing: Kyle Connor, 2nd 4:42 — WPG 53% → 70%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
M. Scheifele · On goal · xG 0.20M. Scheifele · On goal · xG 0.17A. Lowry · On goal · xG 0.13M. Perreault · On goal · xG 0.13M. Scheifele · On goal · xG 0.13K. Connor · Goal · xG 0.13M. Scheifele · On goal · xG 0.12K. Connor · Goal · xG 0.12M. Scheifele · On goal · xG 0.12K. Connor · Missed · xG 0.08B. Wheeler · On goal · xG 0.08M. Scheifele · On goal · xG 0.08K. Connor · On goal · xG 0.07K. Connor · On goal · xG 0.07B. Wheeler · On goal · xG 0.07K. Connor · Goal · xG 0.07B. Tanev · On goal · xG 0.07B. Wheeler · Missed · xG 0.07B. Tanev · Missed · xG 0.06P. Laine · On goal · xG 0.06D. Kulikov · On goal · xG 0.05T. Myers · Missed · xG 0.05N. Ehlers · On goal · xG 0.05M. Perreault · Missed · xG 0.05A. Copp · Missed · xG 0.05N. Beaulieu · On goal · xG 0.04P. Laine · Missed · xG 0.04M. Hendricks · On goal · xG 0.04A. Lowry · Missed · xG 0.04K. Connor · On goal · xG 0.03B. Wheeler · On goal · xG 0.03K. Hayes · Goal · xG 0.03A. Copp · Goal · xG 0.03T. Myers · Missed · xG 0.03N. Ehlers · Missed · xG 0.03P. Laine · On goal · xG 0.03B. Tanev · On goal · xG 0.03P. Laine · On goal · xG 0.02K. Hayes · On goal · xG 0.02J. Trouba · On goal · xG 0.02K. Hayes · On goal · xG 0.02J. Trouba · On goal · xG 0.01K. Hayes · On goal · xG 0.01J. Trouba · Missed · xG 0.01D. Kulikov · On goal · xG 0.01J. Trouba · Missed · xG 0.01T. Myers · On goal · xG 0.01P. Laine · Missed · xG 0.01T. Myers · On goal · xG 0.01N. Ehlers · On goal · xG 0.01J. Trouba · On goal · xG 0.01B. Wheeler · On goal · xG 0.01B. Wheeler · On goal · xG 0.01N. Ehlers · On goal · xG 0.01A. Lowry · On goal · xG 0.01N. Beaulieu · On goal · xG 0.00
WPG5 G · 2.9 xG · 56 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

NSHvsWPG
2.10 G
All situations
5 G2.9
2.10 G
Even strength
5 G2.7
0.00 G
Power play
0 G0.2

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 100 unblocked attempts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
NSH35%65%WPG

Flurry-adjusted xG 2.04 – 2.85

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

NSHvsWPG
33
Shots on goal
43
40%
Faceoffs
60%
0/0
Power play
0/2
4
Penalty minutes
0
20
Hits
28
11
Blocked shots
22
21
Giveaways
7
10
Takeaways
12

Box score

every player line
Nashville Predators skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
59R. JosiD000040.16110—24:58
4R. EllisD000-110.01220—23:59
14M. EkholmD000-320.09020—21:52
76P. SubbanD000-210.02202—21:47
64M. GranlundC000-240.190002519:03
33V. ArvidssonL000010.08000—18:14
8K. TurrisC000-320.110003318:05
13N. BoninoC000-210.020106716:10
10C. SissonsC000-510.022004016:08
92R. JohansenC000030.280005016:08
11B. BoyleC000-120.06310015:57
9F. ForsbergL000020.59200—15:34
15C. SmithC000020.05200014:06
52M. IrwinD000-210.01200—13:48
7Y. WeberD000-210.02130—13:45
19C. JarnkrokC000-200.010022511:17
17W. SimmondsR000040.18310—10:58
23R. GrimaldiR000010.1600010004:11
Nashville Predators goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
35P. Rinne(L)43385.8842.89-2.1160:00

Season series

WPG leads 3-1

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).