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Jets at Predators
NHL

Winnipeg Jets at Nashville Predators

NHL scoreboard
Winnipeg Jets
0
Nashville Predators
▸3
FinalTV FS-TN, TSN3·Bridgestone Arena

Recap

written from the game data

The Nashville Predators beat the Winnipeg Jets 3-0. The Predators scored first and never trailed. The Predators led 1-0 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Ryan Hartman's goal at 3:02 of the second period, which took the Predators' chances from 53% to 70%. Expected goals favored the Predators, 3.4 to 2.4; shots on goal were WPG 29, NSH 30. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Predators win a replay of these chances 66% of the time. Connor Hellebuyck stopped 27 of 30 (.900); Pekka Rinne stopped 29 of 29 (1.000), 2.4 goals saved above expected. Three stars: 1. Pekka Rinne (29 saves, 1.000), 2. Ryan Hartman (1 G, 1 A), 3. Roman Josi (1 G).

Three stars

  1. ★
    NSH
    P. Rinne29 saves, 1.000
  2. ★★
    NSH
    R. Hartman1 G, 1 A
  3. ★★★
    NSH
    R. Josi1 G

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
WPGWPG01202015029
NSHNSH01111326330

Scoring

3 goals

2nd period

  1. NSH
    R. Hartman(1)
    Unassisted
    backhandxG 0.19win prob +16 pts
    0-1
    3:02

3rd period

  1. NSH
    R. Josi(1)
    R. Ellis (3), R. Hartman (2)
    slapxG 0.18win prob +15 pts
    0-2
    7:58
  2. NSH
    R. Johansen(1)
    V. Arvidsson (1), F. Forsberg (2)
    backhandxG 0.20win prob +2 pts
    0-3
    14:42

Penalties

WPG 60 PIM·NSH 16 PIM

1st

  • 12:24WPGBen Chiarot · Slashingdrawn by Viktor Arvidsson2 min
  • 15:13WPGPatrik Laine · High sticking double minordrawn by P.K. Subban4 min

2nd

  • 8:31WPGBlake Wheeler · Roughingdrawn by Filip Forsberg2 min
  • 13:07WPGNikolaj Ehlers · Interferencedrawn by Ryan Ellis2 min
  • 15:41WPGJacob Trouba · Cross checkingdrawn by Zac Rinaldo2 min
  • 15:41WPGBlake Wheeler · Fightingdrawn by Mattias Ekholm5 min
  • 15:41WPGNikolaj Ehlers · Fightingdrawn by Colton Sissons5 min
  • 15:41NSHMattias Ekholm · Fightingdrawn by Blake Wheeler5 min
  • 15:41NSHColton Sissons · Fightingdrawn by Nikolaj Ehlers5 min
  • 17:23WPGDustin Byfuglien · Interferencedrawn by Nick Bonino2 min
  • 17:48WPGJacob Trouba · Slashingdrawn by Craig Smith2 min
  • 17:48WPGTyler Myers · Misconduct10 min
  • 20:00NSHZac Rinaldo · Cross checkingdrawn by Bryan Little2 min

3rd

  • 9:47NSHKevin Fiala · Trippingdrawn by Jacob Trouba2 min
  • 15:45WPGJacob Trouba · Interferencedrawn by Craig Smith2 min
  • 18:58WPGPatrik Laine · Roughingdrawn by Dan Hamhuis2 min
  • 18:58NSHDan Hamhuis · Roughingdrawn by Patrik Laine2 min
  • 18:58WPGBen Chiarot · Misconduct10 min
  • 20:00WPGMark Scheifele · Misconduct10 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
NSH goalWPG goalFinal: NSH 100%

Biggest swing: Ryan Hartman, 2nd 3:02 — NSH 53% → 70%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
R. Johansen · Goal · xG 0.20R. Hartman · Goal · xG 0.19R. Josi · Goal · xG 0.18R. Ellis · On goal · xG 0.17M. Salomaki · On goal · xG 0.15K. Fiala · On goal · xG 0.14C. Sissons · On goal · xG 0.14R. Johansen · On goal · xG 0.14C. Sissons · Missed · xG 0.14R. Josi · On goal · xG 0.11K. Fiala · On goal · xG 0.11R. Johansen · On goal · xG 0.10C. Sissons · Missed · xG 0.09P. Subban · Missed · xG 0.09R. Ellis · Missed · xG 0.09F. Forsberg · Missed · xG 0.09R. Hartman · On goal · xG 0.08C. Smith · On goal · xG 0.08C. Smith · Missed · xG 0.08M. Salomaki · On goal · xG 0.07R. Josi · On goal · xG 0.07K. Fiala · On goal · xG 0.07R. Johansen · On goal · xG 0.07C. Sissons · Missed · xG 0.07R. Ellis · Missed · xG 0.06R. Josi · On goal · xG 0.06K. Turris · On goal · xG 0.06R. Ellis · On goal · xG 0.06C. Smith · On goal · xG 0.06R. Ellis · On goal · xG 0.06R. Josi · Missed · xG 0.05P. Subban · Missed · xG 0.05R. Josi · Missed · xG 0.04K. Fiala · Missed · xG 0.03F. Forsberg · Missed · xG 0.02R. Josi · On goal · xG 0.02C. Sissons · On goal · xG 0.02V. Arvidsson · On goal · xG 0.02M. Ekholm · On goal · xG 0.02M. Ekholm · On goal · xG 0.02R. Ellis · On goal · xG 0.01Z. Rinaldo · On goal · xG 0.01K. Fiala · On goal · xG 0.01R. Josi · Missed · xG 0.01M. Ekholm · Missed · xG 0.00
NSH3 G · 3.4 xG · 45 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

WPGvsNSH
2.40 G
All situations
3 G3.4
1.40 G
Even strength
3 G1.8
0.40 G
Power play
0 G1.6
0.60 G
Shorthanded
0 G0.0

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 82 unblocked attempts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
WPG34%66%NSH

Flurry-adjusted xG 2.42 – 3.40

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

WPGvsNSH
29
Shots on goal
30
49%
Faceoffs
51%
0/2
Power play
0/9
60
Penalty minutes
16
19
Hits
19
6
Blocked shots
6
9
Giveaways
10
7
Takeaways
8

Box score

every player line
Winnipeg Jets skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
44J. MorrisseyD000030.07210—26:26
33D. ByfuglienD000-330.37212—25:57
55M. ScheifeleC000-310.1601105022:30
8J. TroubaD000010.04406—21:16
26B. WheelerR000-340.43217—19:11
57T. MyersD000-120.140010—17:15
18B. LittleC000000.001004117:10
29P. LaineL000010.18206—15:31
17A. LowryC000010.222005515:13
81K. ConnorL000-220.17000—15:12
7B. ChiarotD000-240.061012—14:53
27N. EhlersL000-120.19007—13:41
13B. TanevL000020.26110—13:02
9A. CoppC000000.0001010012:05
70J. MorrowD000010.02100—11:34
28J. RoslovicC000000.001004008:18
85M. PerreaultC000010.0600010007:08
93K. VesalainenL000010.05000—05:52
Winnipeg Jets goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
37C. Hellebuyck(L)30273.9003.44+0.4459:46

Season series

WPG leads 3-1

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).