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St. Louis Blues at Colorado Avalanche

FinalTV FS-MW, ALT·Pepsi Center

Recap

written from the game data

The St. Louis Blues beat the Colorado Avalanche 3-0. The Blues scored first and never trailed. It was tied 0-0 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Vladimir Tarasenko's goal at 4:01 of the third period, which took the Blues' chances from 48% to 74%. Expected goals favored the Blues, 4.1 to 2.9; shots on goal were STL 33, COL 32. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Avalanche win a replay of these chances 53% of the time. Jake Allen stopped 32 of 32 (1.000), 2.9 goals saved above expected; Semyon Varlamov stopped 30 of 32 (.938), 0.7 goals saved above expected. Three stars: 1. Jake Allen (32 saves, 1.000), 2. Vladimir Tarasenko (1 G, 1 A), 3. Semyon Varlamov (30 saves, .938).

Three stars

  1. ★
    STL
    J. Allen32 saves, 1.000
  2. ★★
    STL
    V. Tarasenko1 G, 1 A
  3. ★★★
    COL
    S. Varlamov30 saves, .938

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
STLSTL01401138333
COLCOL08011013032

Scoring

3 goals

3rd period

  1. STL
    wristxG 0.05win prob +27 pts
    1-0
    4:01
  2. STL
    deflectedxG 0.07win prob +17 pts
    2-0
    4:58
  3. STL
    wristxG 0.84win prob +1 pts
    3-0
    18:24

Penalties

STL 10 PIM·COL 10 PIM

1st

  • 2:16COLA.J. Greer · Unsportsmanlike conductdrawn by Robert Bortuzzo2 min
  • 2:16STLRobert Bortuzzo · Unsportsmanlike conductdrawn by A.J. Greer2 min
  • 16:12COLPatrik Nemeth · Slashingdrawn by Patrick Maroon2 min

2nd

  • 9:54STLZachary Sanford · Interferencedrawn by Alexander Kerfoot2 min
  • 12:11STLBrayden Schenn · Interferencedrawn by Mikko Rantanen2 min
  • 12:12COLMikko Rantanen · Slashingdrawn by Robert Bortuzzo2 min
  • 12:12STLRobert Bortuzzo · Slashingdrawn by Mikko Rantanen2 min
  • 18:55COLGabriel Landeskog · Trippingdrawn by Ryan O'Reilly2 min

3rd

  • 6:45COLTyson Barrie · Trippingdrawn by Jaden Schwartz2 min
  • 11:04STLMackenzie MacEachern · Interferencedrawn by Mikko Rantanen2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
COL goalSTL goalFinal: COL 0%

Biggest swing: Vladimir Tarasenko, 3rd 4:01 — STL 48% → 74%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
G. Landeskog · On goal · xG 0.39N. MacKinnon · On goal · xG 0.22T. Barrie · On goal · xG 0.17S. Andrighetto · Missed · xG 0.16M. Calvert · On goal · xG 0.16J. Compher · On goal · xG 0.15M. Rantanen · Missed · xG 0.13C. Soderberg · On goal · xG 0.12A. Kerfoot · On goal · xG 0.11N. Zadorov · On goal · xG 0.10G. Landeskog · On goal · xG 0.09M. Calvert · On goal · xG 0.09C. Soderberg · Missed · xG 0.08S. Girard · On goal · xG 0.08E. Johnson · On goal · xG 0.08A. Kerfoot · Missed · xG 0.08C. Soderberg · On goal · xG 0.08N. MacKinnon · On goal · xG 0.08M. Rantanen · On goal · xG 0.07M. Nieto · Missed · xG 0.06N. MacKinnon · On goal · xG 0.04T. Barrie · On goal · xG 0.04N. MacKinnon · Missed · xG 0.03T. Barrie · On goal · xG 0.03A. Kerfoot · On goal · xG 0.03T. Barrie · On goal · xG 0.02T. Barrie · On goal · xG 0.02N. MacKinnon · On goal · xG 0.02C. Soderberg · On goal · xG 0.02S. Girard · On goal · xG 0.02G. Landeskog · On goal · xG 0.02J. Compher · On goal · xG 0.02M. Rantanen · Missed · xG 0.01G. Landeskog · On goal · xG 0.01T. Barrie · Missed · xG 0.01C. Soderberg · On goal · xG 0.01S. Girard · On goal · xG 0.01M. Rantanen · Missed · xG 0.01R. Graves · Missed · xG 0.01S. Girard · Missed · xG 0.00N. Zadorov · On goal · xG 0.00N. Zadorov · On goal · xG 0.00M. Calvert · On goal · xG 0.00
COL0 G · 2.9 xG · 43 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

STLvsCOL
4.12 G
All situations
0 G2.9
2.42 G
Even strength
0 G2.1
0.40 G
Power play
0 G0.7
0.00 G
Shorthanded
0 G0.1

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 86 unblocked attempts. Empty-net goals are left out of the goal counts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
STL47%53%COL

Flurry-adjusted xG 2.69 – 2.85

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

STLvsCOL
33
Shots on goal
32
45%
Faceoffs
55%
0/3
Power play
0/3
10
Penalty minutes
10
16
Hits
31
12
Blocked shots
16
4
Giveaways
12
8
Takeaways
8

Box score

every player line
St. Louis Blues skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
27A. PietrangeloD000+210.00020—25:12
90R. O'ReillyC011+110.240104521:27
55C. ParaykoD000+110.03210—20:16
19J. BouwmeesterD000010.04110—20:05
6J. EdmundsonD000+330.10100—19:23
21T. BozakC011+120.110205018:18
10B. SchennC011+130.0800210017:32
91V. TarasenkoR112+271.50000—17:32
29V. DunnD000030.05100—16:21
17J. SchwartzL101+120.90200—16:02
41R. BortuzzoD000030.31324—15:51
7P. MaroonL011+130.48100—14:51
70O. SundqvistC011+100.030102513:06
15R. FabbriC000010.06100012:54
12Z. SanfordL101+120.15112—12:51
18R. ThomasC000000.00000010:56
49I. BarbashevL000000.001008310:37
62M. MacEachernL000000.00212—09:03
St. Louis Blues goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
34J. Allen(W)323201.0002.88+2.8859:43

Season series

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).