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Blues at Avalanche
NHL

St. Louis Blues at Colorado Avalanche

NHL scoreboard
St. Louis Blues
▸3
Colorado Avalanche
2
Final/OTTV FS-MW, ALT2·Pepsi Center

Recap

written from the game data

The St. Louis Blues beat the Colorado Avalanche 3-2 in overtime, Colton Parayko scoring at 1:34. The Blues scored first and never trailed. The Blues led 2-1 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Colton Parayko's goal at 1:34 of overtime, which took the Blues' chances from 49% to 100%. Expected goals favored the Blues, 2.3 to 1.9; shots on goal were STL 37, COL 29. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Blues win a replay of these chances 59% of the time. Jake Allen stopped 27 of 29 (.931); Semyon Varlamov stopped 34 of 37 (.919), 0.7 goals below expected. Three stars: 1. Colton Parayko (1 G), 2. Semyon Varlamov (34 saves, .919), 3. Vladimir Tarasenko (1 G).

Three stars

  1. ★
    STL
    C. Parayko1 G
  2. ★★
    COL
    S. Varlamov34 saves, .919
  3. ★★★
    STL
    V. Tarasenko1 G

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdOTT
STLSTL2120180512337
COLCOL0121511200229

Scoring

5 goals

1st period

  1. STL
    V. Tarasenko(9)
    J. Edmundson (5), I. Barbashev (4)
    wristxG 0.12win prob +14 pts
    1-0
    4:57
  2. STL
    A. Steen(6)PPG
    Unassisted
    wristxG 0.09win prob +15 pts
    2-0
    19:29

2nd period

  1. COL
    N. Zadorov(3)
    M. Nieto (5), C. Soderberg (10)
    wristxG 0.02win prob +16 pts
    2-1
    1:08

3rd period

  1. COL
    M. Rantanen(11)PPG
    Unassisted
    snapxG 0.34win prob +21 pts
    2-2
    2:13

Overtime

  1. STL
    C. Parayko(4)
    J. Edmundson (6)
    tip-inxG 0.06win prob +51 pts
    3-2
    1:34

Penalties

STL 15 PIM·COL 24 PIM

1st

  • 2:49STLJoel Edmundson · Slashingdrawn by Nathan MacKinnon2 min
  • 7:59COLIan Cole · Fightingdrawn by Vince Dunn5 min
  • 7:59STLVince Dunn · Fightingdrawn by Ian Cole5 min
  • 14:33COLMikko Rantanen · Interferencedrawn by Alex Pietrangelo2 min
  • 17:40COLColin Wilson · High stickingdrawn by Ivan Barbashev2 min

2nd

  • 3:38COLErik Johnson · Elbowingdrawn by Alexander Steen5 min
  • 3:38STLJoel Edmundson · Roughingdrawn by Erik Johnson2 min
  • 3:38COLErik Johnson · Game misconductdrawn by Alexander Steen10 min
  • 12:37COLPatrik Nemeth · Ps slash on breakawaydrawn by Oskar Sundqvist0 min
  • 15:13STLZachary Sanford · Hookingdrawn by Patrik Nemeth2 min

3rd

  • 1:34STLDavid Perron · Interferencedrawn by Carl Soderberg2 min
  • 15:15STLJoel Edmundson · Interferencedrawn by J.T. Compher2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
COL goalSTL goalFinal: COL 0%

Biggest swing: Colton Parayko, OT 1:34 — STL 49% → 100%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
M. Rantanen · Goal · xG 0.34N. MacKinnon · On goal · xG 0.11V. Kamenev · On goal · xG 0.11C. Soderberg · On goal · xG 0.09M. Nieto · On goal · xG 0.09N. MacKinnon · On goal · xG 0.09N. MacKinnon · On goal · xG 0.09C. Soderberg · On goal · xG 0.08C. Soderberg · On goal · xG 0.08M. Rantanen · On goal · xG 0.07V. Kamenev · On goal · xG 0.07A. Kerfoot · On goal · xG 0.06G. Landeskog · On goal · xG 0.06C. Wilson · On goal · xG 0.05S. Girard · On goal · xG 0.05P. Nemeth · Missed · xG 0.05M. Calvert · Missed · xG 0.04S. Andrighetto · On goal · xG 0.04S. Girard · On goal · xG 0.04M. Rantanen · Missed · xG 0.04T. Jost · On goal · xG 0.03C. Wilson · On goal · xG 0.03M. Rantanen · On goal · xG 0.03S. Girard · On goal · xG 0.03S. Andrighetto · On goal · xG 0.02M. Alt · On goal · xG 0.02M. Rantanen · Missed · xG 0.02N. Zadorov · Goal · xG 0.02A. Kerfoot · On goal · xG 0.02P. Nemeth · Missed · xG 0.02I. Cole · On goal · xG 0.01S. Andrighetto · On goal · xG 0.01I. Cole · On goal · xG 0.00P. Nemeth · On goal · xG 0.00
COL2 G · 1.9 xG · 34 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

STLvsCOL
2.33 G
All situations
2 G1.9
1.82 G
Even strength
1 G1.1
0.51 G
Power play
1 G0.8
0.00 G
Shorthanded
0 G0.0

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 78 unblocked attempts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
STL59%41%COL

Flurry-adjusted xG 2.34 – 1.87

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

STLvsCOL
37
Shots on goal
29
53%
Faceoffs
47%
1/3
Power play
1/4
15
Penalty minutes
24
15
Hits
20
17
Blocked shots
23
3
Giveaways
7
10
Takeaways
7

Box score

every player line
St. Louis Blues skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
90R. O'ReillyC000030.380005924:46
6J. EdmundsonD022+230.06226—24:27
55C. ParaykoD101+250.18050—23:17
27A. PietrangeloD000-110.03020—22:33
91V. TarasenkoR101+140.23000—19:41
10B. SchennC000040.531007518:31
19J. BouwmeesterD000030.06210—17:27
21T. BozakC000000.011105016:50
29V. DunnD000020.05005—16:18
57D. PerronL000-110.13102—15:15
7P. MaroonL000020.11000—14:56
41R. BortuzzoD000010.01010—14:31
15R. FabbriC000-120.040103314:21
70O. SundqvistC000020.280102913:38
49I. BarbashevL011+100.003105011:57
12Z. SanfordL000020.09012—09:50
9S. BlaisL000000.00200—09:47
20A. SteenL101020.16310—07:58
St. Louis Blues goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
34J. Allen(W)29272.9311.90-0.1061:34

Season series

STL leads 4-0

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).