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Jets at Stars
NHL

Winnipeg Jets at Dallas Stars

NHL scoreboard
Winnipeg Jets
2
Dallas Stars
▸4
FinalTV FS-SW+, SN·American Airlines Center

Recap

written from the game data

The Dallas Stars beat the Winnipeg Jets 4-2. The Stars scored first and never trailed. The Stars led 3-0 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Kyle Connor's goal at 3:46 of the third period, which took the Jets' chances from 7% to 22%. Expected goals favored the Stars, 3.6 to 2.7; shots on goal were WPG 29, DAL 39. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Stars win a replay of these chances 64% of the time. Connor Hellebuyck stopped 35 of 39 (.897); Ben Bishop stopped 27 of 29 (.931), 0.7 goals saved above expected. Three stars: 1. Blake Comeau (1 G), 2. Kyle Connor (1 G), 3. Brett Ritchie (1 G).

Three stars

  1. ★
    DAL
    B. Comeau1 G
  2. ★★
    WPG
    K. Connor1 G
  3. ★★★
    DAL
    B. Ritchie1 G

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
WPGWPG0408217229
DALDAL111217111439

Scoring

6 goals

1st period

  1. DAL
    B. Ritchie(3)PPG
    J. Klingberg (18), T. Seguin (27)
    tip-inxG 0.09win prob +9 pts
    0-1
    7:53

2nd period

  1. DAL
    B. Comeau(5)
    E. Lindell (12), J. Benn (16)
    wristxG 0.17win prob +9 pts
    0-2
    0:22
  2. DAL
    R. Faksa(8)
    R. Polak (4), E. Lindell (13)
    wristxG 0.07win prob +9 pts
    0-3
    13:36

3rd period

  1. WPG
    B. Lemieux(6)
    M. Appleton (3)
    wristxG 0.09win prob +5 pts
    1-3
    3:25
  2. WPG
    K. Connor(19)
    B. Wheeler (52), M. Scheifele (34)
    wristxG 0.13win prob +15 pts
    2-3
    3:46
  3. DAL
    T. Seguin(18)PPG
    J. Klingberg (19), A. Radulov (27)
    tip-inxG 0.08win prob +5 pts
    2-4
    18:15

Penalties

WPG 19 PIM·DAL 17 PIM

1st

  • 3:07DALJason Spezza · Holdingdrawn by Brendan Lemieux2 min
  • 6:54WPGJacob Trouba · Hookingdrawn by Radek Faksa2 min
  • 18:46DALConnor Carrick · Fightingdrawn by Brendan Lemieux5 min
  • 18:46WPGBrendan Lemieux · Fightingdrawn by Connor Carrick5 min

2nd

  • 2:34WPGDmitry Kulikov · High stickingdrawn by Miro Heiskanen2 min
  • 5:43WPGJoe Morrow · Boardingdrawn by Jamie Benn2 min
  • 8:48WPGBlake Wheeler · Trippingdrawn by Esa Lindell2 min
  • 11:23DALRoman Polak · Trippingdrawn by Mark Scheifele2 min
  • 14:50WPGJoe Morrow · High stickingdrawn by Jason Dickinson2 min
  • 19:45DALJamie Benn · Illegal check to headdrawn by Mathieu Perreault2 min

3rd

  • 5:46DALRoope Hintz · Slashingdrawn by Jacob Trouba2 min
  • 14:37WPGMark Scheifele · Holdingdrawn by Andrew Cogliano2 min
  • 15:35DALRoope Hintz · Holdingdrawn by Dmitry Kulikov2 min
  • 16:52WPGPatrik Laine · Hookingdrawn by Mattias Janmark2 min
  • 19:00DALRadek Faksa · Delaying game2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
DAL goalWPG goalFinal: DAL 100%

Biggest swing: Kyle Connor, 3rd 3:46 — WPG 7% → 22%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
R. Hintz · On goal · xG 0.17B. Comeau · Goal · xG 0.17M. Janmark · Missed · xG 0.16D. Gurianov · On goal · xG 0.15B. Comeau · On goal · xG 0.15J. Dickinson · On goal · xG 0.14D. Gurianov · On goal · xG 0.14T. Seguin · On goal · xG 0.14T. Seguin · Missed · xG 0.13R. Hintz · On goal · xG 0.13R. Hintz · Missed · xG 0.11J. Benn · Missed · xG 0.10T. Seguin · On goal · xG 0.09C. Carrick · On goal · xG 0.09T. Seguin · On goal · xG 0.09J. Benn · Missed · xG 0.09J. Benn · On goal · xG 0.09M. Janmark · On goal · xG 0.09M. Heiskanen · On goal · xG 0.09B. Ritchie · Goal · xG 0.09R. Hintz · On goal · xG 0.08T. Seguin · Goal · xG 0.08J. Benn · On goal · xG 0.07T. Seguin · On goal · xG 0.07R. Faksa · Goal · xG 0.07A. Radulov · Missed · xG 0.07T. Fedun · Missed · xG 0.06J. Spezza · Missed · xG 0.06T. Fedun · On goal · xG 0.06J. Dickinson · Missed · xG 0.05R. Faksa · Missed · xG 0.05T. Seguin · Missed · xG 0.04D. Gurianov · Missed · xG 0.04M. Janmark · On goal · xG 0.04R. Polak · Missed · xG 0.04T. Seguin · On goal · xG 0.04B. Ritchie · On goal · xG 0.03J. Klingberg · On goal · xG 0.03B. Comeau · On goal · xG 0.03A. Cogliano · On goal · xG 0.02R. Hintz · On goal · xG 0.02C. Carrick · Missed · xG 0.02T. Fedun · On goal · xG 0.02E. Lindell · On goal · xG 0.02J. Dickinson · On goal · xG 0.02J. Klingberg · On goal · xG 0.01J. Benn · On goal · xG 0.01J. Klingberg · On goal · xG 0.01E. Lindell · On goal · xG 0.01J. Benn · On goal · xG 0.01M. Heiskanen · On goal · xG 0.01J. Benn · On goal · xG 0.00A. Radulov · On goal · xG 0.00
DAL4 G · 3.6 xG · 53 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

WPGvsDAL
2.72 G
All situations
4 G3.6
1.62 G
Even strength
2 G1.9
1.00 G
Power play
2 G1.6
0.20 G
Shorthanded
0 G0.1

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 98 unblocked attempts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
WPG36%64%DAL

Flurry-adjusted xG 2.67 – 3.54

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

WPGvsDAL
29
Shots on goal
39
45%
Faceoffs
55%
0/6
Power play
2/7
19
Penalty minutes
17
13
Hits
27
19
Blocked shots
12
10
Giveaways
15
4
Takeaways
16

Box score

every player line
Winnipeg Jets skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
44J. MorrisseyD000+130.15120—25:54
8J. TroubaD000+220.05022—24:35
57T. MyersD000-210.06020—24:28
81K. ConnorL101040.54000—21:51
55M. ScheifeleC011020.320024621:37
26B. WheelerR011030.180023321:18
18B. LittleC000030.111003817:32
5D. KulikovD000-100.00032—17:11
29P. LaineL000030.54012—14:54
17A. LowryC000010.051104413:21
13B. TanevL000010.01420—13:05
28J. RoslovicC000-100.0211010012:45
9A. CoppC000000.111108312:11
85M. PerreaultC000-110.09000010:49
83S. NikuD000000.00000—10:47
70J. MorrowD000020.08124—10:23
82M. AppletonC011+100.00110008:35
48B. LemieuxL101+130.42215—07:40
Winnipeg Jets goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
37C. Hellebuyck(L)39354.8973.58-0.4258:42

Season series

DAL leads 3-1

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).