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Winnipeg Jets at Dallas Stars

FinalTV FS-SW, SNW·American Airlines Center

Recap

written from the game data

The Dallas Stars beat the Winnipeg Jets 5-1. The Stars scored first and never trailed. The Stars led 3-1 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Jamie Benn's goal at 7:26 of the second period, which took the Stars' chances from 72% to 86%. Expected goals favored the Stars, 2.9 to 1.8; shots on goal were WPG 33, DAL 35. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Stars win a replay of these chances 69% of the time. Connor Hellebuyck stopped 30 of 35 (.857), 2.1 goals below expected; Ben Bishop stopped 32 of 33 (.970), 0.8 goals saved above expected. Three stars: 1. Jamie Benn (2 G, 1 A), 2. Tyler Seguin (2 G, 2 A), 3. Alexander Radulov (1 G, 2 A).

Three stars

  1. ★
    DAL
    J. Benn2 G, 1 A
  2. ★★
    DAL
    T. Seguin2 G, 2 A
  3. ★★★
    DAL
    A. Radulov1 G, 2 A

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
WPGWPG0919015133
DALDAL21611524535

Scoring

6 goals

1st period

  1. DAL
    wristxG 0.04win prob +13 pts
    0-1
    8:23
  2. DAL
    T. Seguin(1)PPG
    wristxG 0.10win prob +13 pts
    0-2
    11:18

2nd period

  1. WPG
    wristxG 0.07win prob +10 pts
    1-2
    2:10
  2. DAL
    J. Benn(1)PPG
    snapxG 0.31win prob +13 pts
    1-3
    7:26

3rd period

  1. DAL
    J. Benn(2)PPG
    tip-inxG 0.14win prob +3 pts
    1-4
    7:38
  2. DAL
    backhandxG 0.07
    1-5
    12:41

Penalties

WPG 17 PIM·DAL 13 PIM

1st

  • 4:49WPGBen Chiarot · Trippingdrawn by Jamie Benn2 min
  • 9:43WPGBlake Wheeler · Interference goalkeeperdrawn by Ben Bishop2 min
  • 17:24WPGTyler Myers · Interferencedrawn by Radek Faksa2 min
  • 19:58WPGDustin Byfuglien · Cross checkingdrawn by Marc Methot2 min
  • 19:58DALMarc Methot · Holdingdrawn by Dustin Byfuglien2 min
  • 20:00DALBrett Ritchie · Fightingdrawn by Adam Lowry5 min
  • 20:00WPGAdam Lowry · Fightingdrawn by Brett Ritchie5 min

2nd

  • 5:58WPGDustin Byfuglien · Holding the stickdrawn by Alexander Radulov2 min
  • 8:24DALMarc Methot · Interferencedrawn by Blake Wheeler2 min

3rd

  • 0:49DALRadek Faksa · Trippingdrawn by Josh Morrissey2 min
  • 7:32WPGTyler Myers · High stickingdrawn by Tyler Pitlick2 min
  • 13:03DALJason Dickinson · Illegal check to headdrawn by Jack Roslovic2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
DAL goalWPG goalFinal: DAL 100%

Biggest swing: Jamie Benn, 2nd 7:26 — DAL 72% → 86%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
J. Benn · Goal · xG 0.31J. Benn · On goal · xG 0.23R. Faksa · Missed · xG 0.16J. Spezza · On goal · xG 0.16R. Faksa · On goal · xG 0.14J. Benn · Goal · xG 0.14M. Janmark · On goal · xG 0.13T. Seguin · On goal · xG 0.11B. Comeau · On goal · xG 0.10J. Benn · Missed · xG 0.10T. Seguin · Goal · xG 0.10J. Benn · On goal · xG 0.09R. Faksa · On goal · xG 0.08D. Shore · On goal · xG 0.08T. Seguin · Goal · xG 0.07J. Benn · On goal · xG 0.07J. Benn · On goal · xG 0.07T. Pitlick · On goal · xG 0.06T. Seguin · Missed · xG 0.06T. Seguin · On goal · xG 0.06T. Seguin · On goal · xG 0.04J. Klingberg · On goal · xG 0.04M. Janmark · Missed · xG 0.04A. Radulov · Goal · xG 0.04R. Faksa · On goal · xG 0.04T. Pitlick · On goal · xG 0.03C. Carrick · On goal · xG 0.03C. Carrick · On goal · xG 0.03R. Faksa · Missed · xG 0.03T. Seguin · On goal · xG 0.03J. Klingberg · On goal · xG 0.03E. Lindell · On goal · xG 0.02T. Seguin · On goal · xG 0.02R. Polak · On goal · xG 0.02J. Klingberg · Missed · xG 0.02J. Klingberg · On goal · xG 0.02J. Klingberg · On goal · xG 0.02J. Dickinson · Missed · xG 0.02A. Radulov · On goal · xG 0.01M. Heiskanen · On goal · xG 0.01R. Hintz · On goal · xG 0.01T. Seguin · On goal · xG 0.00
DAL5 G · 2.9 xG · 42 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

WPGvsDAL
1.81 G
All situations
5 G2.9
1.51 G
Even strength
2 G1.1
0.20 G
Power play
3 G1.6
0.00 G
Shorthanded
0 G0.1

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 85 unblocked attempts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
WPG31%69%DAL

Flurry-adjusted xG 1.79 – 2.79

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

WPGvsDAL
33
Shots on goal
35
38%
Faceoffs
62%
0/3
Power play
3/5
17
Penalty minutes
13
25
Hits
22
21
Blocked shots
15
9
Giveaways
12
2
Takeaways
6

Box score

every player line
Winnipeg Jets skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
8J. TroubaD011040.14210—23:34
33D. ByfuglienD000+110.04124—22:51
55M. ScheifeleC000020.180203822:47
26B. WheelerR000060.29012—20:54
44J. MorrisseyD011+100.02290—20:49
81K. ConnorL101+130.24000—20:00
57T. MyersD000-240.14214—19:46
18B. LittleC000-110.061003816:18
7B. ChiarotD000000.00202—15:57
29P. LaineL000-250.29010—15:33
27N. EhlersL000-110.05200—14:24
13B. TanevL000030.07520—12:39
9A. CoppC000000.00100012:15
85M. PerreaultC000-100.07200011:51
70J. MorrowD000-110.01110—11:38
17A. LowryC000020.203154411:03
28J. RoslovicC000000.001003310:23
93K. VesalainenL000000.01000—08:14
Winnipeg Jets goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
37C. Hellebuyck(L)35305.8572.88-2.1259:55

Season series

DAL leads 3-1

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).