Calgary Flames at St. Louis Blues
Recap
written from the game dataThe Calgary Flames beat the St. Louis Blues 7-2. The Flames scored first and never trailed. The Flames led 5-2 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Elias Lindholm's goal at 10:15 of the first period, which took the Flames' chances from 56% to 72%. Expected goals favored the Flames, 2.9 to 2.2; shots on goal were CGY 29, STL 28. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Flames win a replay of these chances 50% of the time. David Rittich stopped 26 of 28 (.929); Jordan Binnington stopped 10 of 12 (.833), 1.4 goals below expected. Three stars: 1. Johnny Gaudreau (2 G, 1 A), 2. Matthew Tkachuk (1 G, 1 A), 3. Mark Giordano (1 G, 1 A).
Three stars
- ★J. Gaudreau2 G, 1 A

- ★★M. Tkachuk1 G, 1 A

- ★★★M. Giordano1 G, 1 A

Line score
goals · shots on goal beneathScoring
9 goals1st period
1-05:58
2-010:15
3-016:47
4-018:25
2nd period
4-12:29
5-15:26
5-218:14
3rd period
6-216:53
7-218:44
Penalties
1st
- 5:38
Patrick Maroon · Trippingdrawn by TJ Brodie2 min
- 10:08
Matthew Tkachuk · Trippingdrawn by Colton Parayko2 min
- 16:31
served by D. Perron · Too many men on the ice2 min
2nd
- 10:42
James Neal · Slashingdrawn by Alexander Steen2 min
- 16:04
Tyler Bozak · Slashingdrawn by Mikael Backlund2 min
3rd
- 17:20
Jordan Nolan · Roughingdrawn by Rasmus Andersson2 min
- 17:20
Jordan Nolan · Misconductdrawn by Rasmus Andersson10 min
Win probability
ours · the whole gameBiggest swing: Elias Lindholm, 1st 10:15 — 56% → 72%
Shot map
unblocked attempts · size = our xGExpected goals
- 2.96 G
- All situations
- 2 G2.2
- 1.32 G
- Even strength
- 2 G2.0
- 0.83 G
- Power play
- 0 G0.2
- 0.11 G
- Shorthanded
- 0 G0.0
Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 74 unblocked attempts. Empty-net goals are left out of the goal counts.
Deserve to win
on the chances createdFlurry-adjusted xG 2.20 – 2.19
How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.
Team stats
- 29
- Shots on goal
- 28
- 56%
- Faceoffs
- 44%
- 3/4
- Power play
- 0/2
- 4
- Penalty minutes
- 18
- 7
- Hits
- 16
- 12
- Blocked shots
- 14
- 11
- Giveaways
- 10
- 15
- Takeaways
- 13
Box score
every player line
Season series
Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).
