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Flames at Blues
NHL

Calgary Flames at St. Louis Blues

NHL scoreboard
Calgary Flames
3
St. Louis Blues
▸5
FinalTV FS-MW, SNF·Enterprise Center

Recap

written from the game data

The St. Louis Blues beat the Calgary Flames 5-3. The Flames scored first; the Blues answered. The Blues led 5-1 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Joel Edmundson's goal at 17:22 of the first period, which took the Blues' chances from 68% to 83%. Expected goals favored the Flames, 3.6 to 3.3; shots on goal were CGY 34, STL 32. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Flames win a replay of these chances 56% of the time. Mike Smith stopped 19 of 24 (.792), 2.8 goals below expected; Jake Allen stopped 31 of 34 (.912), 0.6 goals saved above expected. Three stars: 1. David Perron (3 G), 2. Brayden Schenn (3 A), 3. Alexander Steen (1 G, 1 A).

Three stars

  1. ★
    STL
    D. Perron3 G
  2. ★★
    STL
    B. Schenn3 A
  3. ★★★
    STL
    A. Steen1 G, 1 A

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
CGYCGY18011215334
STLSTL31421008532

Scoring

8 goals

1st period

  1. CGY
    J. Neal(1)
    S. Bennett (1), D. Dube (1)
    wristxG 0.13win prob +13 pts
    1-0
    7:32
  2. STL
    A. Steen(1)
    J. Kyrou (1), J. Bouwmeester (1)
    slapxG 0.17win prob +13 pts
    1-1
    7:44
  3. STL
    D. Perron(1)
    B. Schenn (1)
    wristxG 0.14win prob +13 pts
    1-2
    9:48
  4. STL
    J. Edmundson(1)
    I. Barbashev (2), R. Thomas (1)
    wristxG 0.15win prob +14 pts
    1-3
    17:22

2nd period

  1. STL
    D. Perron(2)PPG
    B. Schenn (2), A. Steen (1)
    backhandxG 0.14win prob +7 pts
    1-4
    4:05
  2. STL
    D. Perron(3)PPG
    B. Schenn (3), J. Schwartz (2)
    wristxG 0.03win prob +2 pts
    1-5
    19:24

3rd period

  1. CGY
    D. Ryan(1)
    A. Czarnik (2), M. Tkachuk (6)
    slapxG 0.09win prob +1 pts
    2-5
    8:17
  2. CGY
    M. Backlund(1)
    M. Giordano (3), E. Lindholm (2)
    wristxG 0.23win prob +3 pts
    3-5
    11:04

Penalties

CGY 14 PIM·STL 10 PIM

1st

  • 2:14CGYJuuso Välimäki · Trippingdrawn by Ivan Barbashev2 min
  • 11:52STLJay Bouwmeester · Hookingdrawn by Matthew Tkachuk2 min
  • 14:38CGYSam Bennett · Elbowingdrawn by Patrick Maroon2 min
  • 18:38STLRyan O'Reilly · Trippingdrawn by Johnny Gaudreau2 min
  • 18:38STLRobert Bortuzzo · Ps hooking on breakawaydrawn by Sean Monahan0 min

2nd

  • 3:05CGYMichael Frolik · Trippingdrawn by Alex Pietrangelo2 min
  • 6:18CGYMark Giordano · Holding the stickdrawn by David Perron2 min
  • 12:35STLJakub Jerabek · Hookingdrawn by Anthony Peluso2 min
  • 13:00STLBrayden Schenn · Slashingdrawn by Johnny Gaudreau2 min
  • 17:35CGYMichael Frolik · Interferencedrawn by Sammy Blais2 min

3rd

  • 4:12CGYMark Giordano · Interferencedrawn by Vladimir Tarasenko2 min
  • 20:00STLJoel Edmundson · Slashingdrawn by Matthew Tkachuk2 min
  • 20:00CGYMatthew Tkachuk · Slashingdrawn by Joel Edmundson2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
STL goalCGY goalFinal: STL 100%

Biggest swing: Joel Edmundson, 1st 17:22 — STL 68% → 83%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
P. Maroon · On goal · xG 0.42V. Tarasenko · On goal · xG 0.18A. Pietrangelo · On goal · xG 0.17A. Steen · Goal · xG 0.17J. Jerabek · On goal · xG 0.16V. Tarasenko · On goal · xG 0.16J. Edmundson · Goal · xG 0.15D. Perron · Goal · xG 0.14D. Perron · Goal · xG 0.14J. Bouwmeester · On goal · xG 0.13V. Tarasenko · On goal · xG 0.12T. Bozak · Missed · xG 0.12B. Schenn · On goal · xG 0.12V. Tarasenko · On goal · xG 0.11C. Parayko · On goal · xG 0.10R. Thomas · Missed · xG 0.09P. Maroon · On goal · xG 0.09J. Edmundson · Missed · xG 0.09V. Tarasenko · On goal · xG 0.08J. Schwartz · Missed · xG 0.08V. Tarasenko · On goal · xG 0.07V. Tarasenko · On goal · xG 0.06J. Schwartz · On goal · xG 0.05R. O'Reilly · On goal · xG 0.05P. Maroon · On goal · xG 0.04C. Parayko · On goal · xG 0.04D. Perron · Goal · xG 0.03C. Parayko · On goal · xG 0.03J. Jerabek · Missed · xG 0.03B. Schenn · On goal · xG 0.02A. Pietrangelo · On goal · xG 0.02A. Pietrangelo · On goal · xG 0.02C. Parayko · On goal · xG 0.01R. O'Reilly · On goal · xG 0.01A. Steen · On goal · xG 0.00J. Schwartz · On goal · xG 0.00T. Bozak · On goal · xG 0.00
STL5 G · 3.3 xG · 37 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

CGYvsSTL
3.63 G
All situations
5 G3.3
2.13 G
Even strength
3 G2.3
1.50 G
Power play
2 G0.7
0.00 G
Shorthanded
0 G0.2

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 81 unblocked attempts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
CGY56%44%STL

Flurry-adjusted xG 3.51 – 3.16

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

CGYvsSTL
34
Shots on goal
32
54%
Faceoffs
46%
0/4
Power play
2/6
14
Penalty minutes
10
13
Hits
16
15
Blocked shots
11
2
Giveaways
2
5
Takeaways
9

Box score

every player line
Calgary Flames skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
5M. GiordanoD011+120.34024—25:18
7T. BrodieD000+120.15010—23:37
28E. LindholmC011030.141006320:41
13J. GaudreauL000-210.02000—20:23
23S. MonahanC000-230.580107519:54
55N. HanifinD000+110.00020—19:04
11M. BacklundC101+140.430005017:20
8J. VälimäkiD000-210.02022—16:58
18J. NealL101-120.32000—16:40
26M. StoneD000+100.06220—16:34
27A. CzarnikC011+120.210205016:21
19M. TkachukL011+120.27502—15:46
10D. RyanC101+130.450104314:28
93S. BennettC011+130.370125013:21
4R. AnderssonD000-210.02010—12:06
29D. DubeC011010.121002010:07
67M. FrolikR000020.10204—08:48
16A. PelusoR000010.01200—04:23
Calgary Flames goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
41M. Smith(L)24195.7922.21-2.7940:00
33D. Rittich8801.0001.08+1.0817:22

Season series

STL leads 2-1

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).