Skip to content
Maple Leafs at Bruins
NHL

Toronto Maple Leafs at Boston Bruins

FinalTV NBCSN, NESN·TD Garden

Recap

written from the game data

The Boston Bruins beat the Toronto Maple Leafs 7-4. The lead changed hands 3 times. The Maple Leafs led 4-3 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Jake DeBrusk's goal at 5:25 of the third period, which took the Bruins' chances from 52% to 78%. Expected goals favored the Bruins, 2.7 to 2.2; shots on goal were TOR 24, BOS 36. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Bruins win a replay of these chances 51% of the time. Frederik Andersen stopped 29 of 35 (.829), 3.8 goals below expected; Tuukka Rask stopped 20 of 24 (.833), 1.8 goals below expected. Three stars: 1. Jake DeBrusk (2 G), 2. David Krejci (3 A), 3. Patrice Bergeron (1 G, 2 A).

Three stars

  1. ★
    BOS
    J. DeBrusk2 G
  2. ★★
    BOS
    D. Krejci3 A
  3. ★★★
    BOS
    P. Bergeron1 G, 2 A

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
TORTOR2102608424
BOSBOS312013411736

Scoring

11 goals

1st period

  1. TOR
    tip-inxG 0.11win prob +11 pts
    1-0
    2:05
  2. BOS
    tip-inxG 0.09win prob +10 pts
    1-1
    4:47
  3. TOR
    wristxG 0.10win prob +13 pts
    2-1
    6:12
  4. BOS
    wristxG 0.14win prob +13 pts
    2-2
    9:10
  5. BOS
    wristxG 0.10win prob +15 pts
    2-3
    19:23

2nd period

  1. TOR
    wristxG 0.06win prob +16 pts
    3-3
    2:07
  2. TOR
    Unassisted
    wristxG 0.12win prob +18 pts
    4-3
    6:05

3rd period

  1. BOS
    slapxG 0.05win prob +19 pts
    4-4
    1:10
  2. BOS
    wristxG 0.10win prob +26 pts
    4-5
    5:25
  3. BOS
    wristxG 0.13win prob +13 pts
    4-6
    11:39
  4. BOS
    R. Nash (1), Z. Chara (2)
    backhandxG 0.58
    4-7
    19:09

Penalties

TOR 8 PIM·BOS 8 PIM

1st

  • 0:30BOSSean Kuraly · Trippingdrawn by Jake Gardiner2 min
  • 3:00TORMorgan Rielly · Delaying game puck over glass2 min
  • 11:30BOSRick Nash · High stickingdrawn by Zach Hyman2 min

2nd

  • 4:56TORTomas Plekanec · Interferencedrawn by Brad Marchand2 min

3rd

  • 1:06BOSDavid Krejci · Roughingdrawn by Zach Hyman2 min
  • 1:06TORZach Hyman · Roughingdrawn by David Krejci2 min
  • 3:41BOSRick Nash · Cross checkingdrawn by Tyler Bozak2 min
  • 3:41TORTyler Bozak · Interferencedrawn by Rick Nash2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
BOS goalTOR goalFinal: BOS 100%

Biggest swing: Jake DeBrusk, 3rd 5:25 — BOS 52% → 78%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
B. Marchand · Goal · xG 0.58D. Heinen · Goal · xG 0.14D. Krejci · On goal · xG 0.14J. DeBrusk · On goal · xG 0.14D. Pastrnak · Goal · xG 0.13D. Pastrnak · On goal · xG 0.10J. DeBrusk · Goal · xG 0.10P. Bergeron · Goal · xG 0.10J. DeBrusk · Goal · xG 0.09C. McAvoy · Missed · xG 0.08R. Nash · On goal · xG 0.08P. Bergeron · Missed · xG 0.08T. Krug · On goal · xG 0.08B. Marchand · On goal · xG 0.07D. Krejci · On goal · xG 0.07R. Nash · On goal · xG 0.06D. Backes · On goal · xG 0.06B. Marchand · On goal · xG 0.06D. Heinen · On goal · xG 0.06J. DeBrusk · On goal · xG 0.05T. Krug · Goal · xG 0.05K. Miller · On goal · xG 0.05B. Marchand · On goal · xG 0.04P. Bergeron · On goal · xG 0.04J. DeBrusk · On goal · xG 0.03D. Pastrnak · On goal · xG 0.03T. Krug · On goal · xG 0.03T. Krug · On goal · xG 0.03Z. Chara · On goal · xG 0.03M. Grzelcyk · On goal · xG 0.02D. Backes · Missed · xG 0.02D. Heinen · On goal · xG 0.01K. Miller · On goal · xG 0.01D. Backes · On goal · xG 0.01Z. Chara · On goal · xG 0.01K. Miller · On goal · xG 0.01M. Grzelcyk · On goal · xG 0.01C. McAvoy · Missed · xG 0.01T. Krug · On goal · xG 0.01S. Kuraly · On goal · xG 0.01
BOS7 G · 2.7 xG · 40 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

TORvsBOS
2.24 G
All situations
6 G2.7
1.62 G
Even strength
5 G1.9
0.51 G
Power play
1 G0.2
0.11 G
Shorthanded
0 G0.1

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 80 unblocked attempts. Empty-net goals are left out of the goal counts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
TOR49%51%BOS

Flurry-adjusted xG 2.12 – 2.15

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

TORvsBOS
24
Shots on goal
36
43%
Faceoffs
57%
1/2
Power play
1/2
8
Penalty minutes
8
31
Hits
33
10
Blocked shots
9
9
Giveaways
11
15
Takeaways
8

Box score

every player line
Toronto Maple Leafs skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
2R. HainseyD000-100.01220—24:19
51J. GardinerD011-500.01200—24:01
44M. RiellyD000-220.08012—21:54
22N. ZaitsevD000-210.01330—19:52
16M. MarnerR011-230.34020—19:51
12P. MarleauC202-120.274001718:35
34A. MatthewsC000+140.342004218:06
11Z. HymanL000020.372023317:03
43N. KadriC000-240.193003316:36
29W. NylanderR022-100.002005016:18
28C. BrownR000020.32100—15:10
46R. PolakD011+300.00420—14:56
25J. van RiemsdykL000-300.00200—12:48
19T. PlekanecC000-100.000024412:32
42T. BozakC000-210.012028312:04
23T. DermottD101+120.07200—11:20
18A. JohnssonL000+200.00000—10:11
24K. KapanenR101010.1400010008:42
Toronto Maple Leafs goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
31F. Andersen(L)35296.8292.16-3.8457:55

Series

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).