Toronto Maple Leafs at Boston Bruins
Recap
written from the game dataThe Boston Bruins beat the Toronto Maple Leafs 7-4. The lead changed hands 3 times. The Maple Leafs led 4-3 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Jake DeBrusk's goal at 5:25 of the third period, which took the Bruins' chances from 52% to 78%. Expected goals favored the Bruins, 2.7 to 2.2; shots on goal were TOR 24, BOS 36. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Bruins win a replay of these chances 51% of the time. Frederik Andersen stopped 29 of 35 (.829), 3.8 goals below expected; Tuukka Rask stopped 20 of 24 (.833), 1.8 goals below expected. Three stars: 1. Jake DeBrusk (2 G), 2. David Krejci (3 A), 3. Patrice Bergeron (1 G, 2 A).
Three stars
- ★J. DeBrusk2 G

- ★★D. Krejci3 A

- ★★★P. Bergeron1 G, 2 A

Line score
goals · shots on goal beneathScoring
11 goals1st period
1-02:05
1-14:47
2-16:12
2-29:10
2-319:23
2nd period
3-32:07
4-36:05
3rd period
4-41:10
4-55:25
4-611:39
4-719:09
Penalties
1st
- 0:30
Sean Kuraly · Trippingdrawn by Jake Gardiner2 min
- 3:00
Morgan Rielly · Delaying game puck over glass2 min
- 11:30
Rick Nash · High stickingdrawn by Zach Hyman2 min
2nd
- 4:56
Tomas Plekanec · Interferencedrawn by Brad Marchand2 min
3rd
- 1:06
David Krejci · Roughingdrawn by Zach Hyman2 min
- 1:06
Zach Hyman · Roughingdrawn by David Krejci2 min
- 3:41
Rick Nash · Cross checkingdrawn by Tyler Bozak2 min
- 3:41
Tyler Bozak · Interferencedrawn by Rick Nash2 min
Win probability
ours · the whole gameBiggest swing: Jake DeBrusk, 3rd 5:25 — 52% → 78%
Shot map
unblocked attempts · size = our xGExpected goals
- 2.24 G
- All situations
- 6 G2.7
- 1.62 G
- Even strength
- 5 G1.9
- 0.51 G
- Power play
- 1 G0.2
- 0.11 G
- Shorthanded
- 0 G0.1
Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 80 unblocked attempts. Empty-net goals are left out of the goal counts.
Deserve to win
on the chances createdFlurry-adjusted xG 2.12 – 2.15
How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.
Team stats
- 24
- Shots on goal
- 36
- 43%
- Faceoffs
- 57%
- 1/2
- Power play
- 1/2
- 8
- Penalty minutes
- 8
- 31
- Hits
- 33
- 10
- Blocked shots
- 9
- 9
- Giveaways
- 11
- 15
- Takeaways
- 8
Box score
every player line
Series
Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).
