Boston Bruins at Toronto Maple Leafs
Recap
written from the game dataThe Toronto Maple Leafs beat the Boston Bruins 3-1. The Bruins scored first; the Maple Leafs answered. The Maple Leafs led 2-1 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Mitch Marner's goal at 13:25 of the second period, which took the Maple Leafs' chances from 53% to 73%. Expected goals favored the Maple Leafs, 3.1 to 2.4; shots on goal were BOS 33, TOR 30. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Bruins win a replay of these chances 52% of the time. Tuukka Rask stopped 27 of 29 (.931); Frederik Andersen stopped 32 of 33 (.970), 1.4 goals saved above expected. Three stars: 1. Frederik Andersen (32 saves, .970), 2. Mitch Marner (1 G, 1 A), 3. William Nylander (1 G).
Three stars
- ★F. Andersen32 saves, .970

- ★★M. Marner1 G, 1 A

- ★★★W. Nylander1 G

Line score
goals · shots on goal beneathScoring
4 goals2nd period
1-01:02
1-11:37
1-213:25
3rd period
1-318:46
Penalties
1st
- 10:10
Jake DeBrusk · Delaying game puck over glass2 min
2nd
- 14:19
Kevan Miller · Roughingdrawn by Kasperi Kapanen2 min
- 19:50
Nazem Kadri · Slashingdrawn by Riley Nash2 min
3rd
- 1:53
David Backes · Roughingdrawn by Roman Polak2 min
- 1:53
Roman Polak · Roughingdrawn by David Backes2 min
- 3:16
Charlie McAvoy · Trippingdrawn by Nazem Kadri2 min
- 14:17
Mitch Marner · Delaying game puck over glass2 min
Win probability
ours · the whole gameBiggest swing: Mitch Marner, 2nd 13:25 — 53% → 73%
Shot map
unblocked attempts · size = our xGExpected goals
- 2.41 G
- All situations
- 2 G3.1
- 2.11 G
- Even strength
- 2 G1.8
- 0.30 G
- Power play
- 0 G0.3
- 0.00 G
- Shorthanded
- 0 G0.2
Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 86 unblocked attempts. Empty-net goals are left out of the goal counts.
Deserve to win
on the chances createdFlurry-adjusted xG 2.40 – 2.32
How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.
Team stats
- 33
- Shots on goal
- 30
- 63%
- Faceoffs
- 37%
- 0/2
- Power play
- 0/3
- 8
- Penalty minutes
- 6
- 23
- Hits
- 23
- 6
- Blocked shots
- 23
- 11
- Giveaways
- 11
- 2
- Takeaways
- 7
Box score
every player line
Series
Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).
