Skip to content
Bruins at Maple Leafs
NHL

Boston Bruins at Toronto Maple Leafs

FinalTV NBCSN, NESN·Air Canada Centre

Recap

written from the game data

The Toronto Maple Leafs beat the Boston Bruins 3-1. The Bruins scored first; the Maple Leafs answered. The Maple Leafs led 2-1 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Mitch Marner's goal at 13:25 of the second period, which took the Maple Leafs' chances from 53% to 73%. Expected goals favored the Maple Leafs, 3.1 to 2.4; shots on goal were BOS 33, TOR 30. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Bruins win a replay of these chances 52% of the time. Tuukka Rask stopped 27 of 29 (.931); Frederik Andersen stopped 32 of 33 (.970), 1.4 goals saved above expected. Three stars: 1. Frederik Andersen (32 saves, .970), 2. Mitch Marner (1 G, 1 A), 3. William Nylander (1 G).

Three stars

  1. ★
    TOR
    F. Andersen32 saves, .970
  2. ★★
    TOR
    M. Marner1 G, 1 A
  3. ★★★
    TOR
    W. Nylander1 G

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
BOSBOS0171907133
TORTOR01021218330

Scoring

4 goals

2nd period

  1. BOS
    wristxG 0.01win prob +16 pts
    1-0
    1:02
  2. TOR
    wristxG 0.22win prob +16 pts
    1-1
    1:37
  3. TOR
    backhandxG 0.09win prob +20 pts
    1-2
    13:25

3rd period

  1. TOR
    wristxG 0.76win prob +6 pts
    1-3
    18:46

Penalties

BOS 8 PIM·TOR 6 PIM

1st

  • 10:10BOSJake DeBrusk · Delaying game puck over glass2 min

2nd

  • 14:19BOSKevan Miller · Roughingdrawn by Kasperi Kapanen2 min
  • 19:50TORNazem Kadri · Slashingdrawn by Riley Nash2 min

3rd

  • 1:53BOSDavid Backes · Roughingdrawn by Roman Polak2 min
  • 1:53TORRoman Polak · Roughingdrawn by David Backes2 min
  • 3:16BOSCharlie McAvoy · Trippingdrawn by Nazem Kadri2 min
  • 14:17TORMitch Marner · Delaying game puck over glass2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
TOR goalBOS goalFinal: TOR 100%

Biggest swing: Mitch Marner, 2nd 13:25 — TOR 53% → 73%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
T. Plekanec · Goal · xG 0.76K. Kapanen · On goal · xG 0.23W. Nylander · Goal · xG 0.22A. Matthews · On goal · xG 0.19A. Matthews · On goal · xG 0.18J. van Riemsdyk · On goal · xG 0.15J. van Riemsdyk · On goal · xG 0.14W. Nylander · On goal · xG 0.11M. Marner · Goal · xG 0.09M. Rielly · On goal · xG 0.09A. Matthews · On goal · xG 0.08J. Gardiner · On goal · xG 0.08A. Matthews · On goal · xG 0.07M. Marner · On goal · xG 0.07Z. Hyman · On goal · xG 0.07T. Plekanec · Missed · xG 0.06P. Marleau · On goal · xG 0.05T. Bozak · Missed · xG 0.05P. Marleau · Missed · xG 0.05P. Marleau · On goal · xG 0.05T. Bozak · On goal · xG 0.04J. Gardiner · On goal · xG 0.04N. Kadri · On goal · xG 0.04K. Kapanen · On goal · xG 0.03M. Rielly · Missed · xG 0.03N. Zaitsev · On goal · xG 0.02A. Matthews · Missed · xG 0.02M. Marner · Missed · xG 0.01J. Gardiner · On goal · xG 0.01N. Zaitsev · On goal · xG 0.01T. Plekanec · On goal · xG 0.01C. Brown · Missed · xG 0.01J. Gardiner · On goal · xG 0.01N. Kadri · On goal · xG 0.01N. Zaitsev · On goal · xG 0.00A. Matthews · On goal · xG 0.00T. Bozak · On goal · xG 0.00
TOR3 G · 3.1 xG · 37 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

BOSvsTOR
2.41 G
All situations
2 G3.1
2.11 G
Even strength
2 G1.8
0.30 G
Power play
0 G0.3
0.00 G
Shorthanded
0 G0.2

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 86 unblocked attempts. Empty-net goals are left out of the goal counts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
BOS52%48%TOR

Flurry-adjusted xG 2.40 – 2.32

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

BOSvsTOR
33
Shots on goal
30
63%
Faceoffs
37%
0/2
Power play
0/3
8
Penalty minutes
6
23
Hits
23
6
Blocked shots
23
11
Giveaways
11
2
Takeaways
7

Box score

every player line
Boston Bruins skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
73C. McAvoyD000010.11312—24:35
47T. KrugD000-210.01200—24:28
33Z. CharaD000040.10110—23:56
63B. MarchandL000-260.66100—22:58
37P. BergeronC000-150.201007922:01
86K. MillerD000-120.03312—20:28
88D. PastrnakR000-110.10000—19:44
46D. KrejciC011010.320105617:55
42D. BackesR000-220.201025014:37
61R. NashL000-240.23110—14:11
74J. DeBruskL101+110.02302—13:53
20R. NashC000-100.002106413:01
54A. McQuaidD000000.00000—11:53
48M. GrzelcykD000-110.00000—11:19
59T. SchallerL000010.07000—10:18
57T. WingelsC000+110.19300009:52
52S. KuralyC000020.180005009:07
55N. AcciariC000000.00200008:55
Boston Bruins goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
40T. Rask(L)29272.9312.33+0.3358:49

Series

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).