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Wild at Sharks
NHL

Minnesota Wild at San Jose Sharks

NHL scoreboard
Minnesota Wild
▸6
San Jose Sharks
3
FinalTV FS-N, NBCSCA+·SAP Center at San Jose

Recap

written from the game data

The Minnesota Wild beat the San Jose Sharks 6-3. The Wild scored first and never trailed. The Wild led 5-2 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Mikael Granlund's goal at 11:19 of the second period, which took the Wild's chances from 47% to 67%. Expected goals were close — MIN 2.5, SJS 2.4; shots on goal were MIN 24, SJS 30. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Sharks win a replay of these chances 56% of the time. Devan Dubnyk stopped 27 of 30 (.900), 0.6 goals below expected; Martin Jones stopped 14 of 19 (.737), 3.4 goals below expected. Three stars: 1. Jason Zucker (2 G), 2. Tyler Ennis (2 A), 3. Nino Niederreiter (2 A).

Three stars

  1. ★
    MIN
    J. Zucker2 G
  2. ★★
    MIN
    T. Ennis2 A
  3. ★★★
    MIN
    N. Niederreiter2 A

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
MINMIN2123715624
SJSSJS2507118330

Scoring

9 goals

1st period

  1. MIN
    J. Brodin(6)
    C. Coyle (26), T. Ennis (13)
    slapxG 0.01win prob +14 pts
    1-0
    10:53
  2. MIN
    M. Cullen(11)
    T. Ennis (14), L. Belpedio (1)
    wristxG 0.13win prob +16 pts
    2-0
    14:52
  3. SJS
    B. Burns(12)
    M. Sorensen (2), J. Ward (7)
    deflectedxG 0.08win prob +16 pts
    2-1
    15:28
  4. SJS
    J. Pavelski(22)
    M. Boedker (22)
    wristxG 0.24win prob +15 pts
    2-2
    16:32

2nd period

  1. MIN
    M. Granlund(21)
    J. Greenway (1), N. Seeler (4)
    wristxG 0.10win prob +20 pts
    3-2
    11:19
  2. MIN
    J. Zucker(32)
    N. Niederreiter (13), M. Dumba (36)
    backhandxG 0.12win prob +17 pts
    4-2
    11:47
  3. MIN
    J. Zucker(33)
    N. Niederreiter (14), L. Belpedio (2)
    wristxG 0.06win prob +9 pts
    5-2
    15:25

3rd period

  1. SJS
    T. Meier(21)
    D. DeMelo (20), B. Burns (55)
    deflectedxG 0.04
    5-3
    18:50
  2. MIN
    E. Staal(42)EN
    Unassisted
    snapxG 0.44
    6-3
    19:34

Penalties

MIN 4 PIM·SJS 2 PIM

3rd

  • 3:23MINTyler Ennis · Holdingdrawn by Justin Braun2 min
  • 15:02MINEric Staal · Trippingdrawn by Marcus Sorensen2 min
  • 16:17SJSKevin Labanc · Slashingdrawn by Daniel Winnik2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
SJS goalMIN goalFinal: SJS 0%

Biggest swing: Mikael Granlund, 2nd 11:19 — MIN 47% → 67%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
J. Pavelski · Goal · xG 0.24J. Pavelski · On goal · xG 0.20M. Boedker · On goal · xG 0.14L. Couture · Missed · xG 0.13E. Kane · Missed · xG 0.12K. Labanc · Missed · xG 0.12M. Vlasic · On goal · xG 0.11M. Boedker · On goal · xG 0.09B. Burns · Goal · xG 0.08J. Ward · On goal · xG 0.08J. Pavelski · On goal · xG 0.08J. Donskoi · Missed · xG 0.07L. Couture · On goal · xG 0.06E. Kane · Missed · xG 0.06E. Kane · On goal · xG 0.06M. Sorensen · Missed · xG 0.05E. Kane · On goal · xG 0.05J. Ward · Missed · xG 0.05M. Sorensen · Missed · xG 0.04K. Labanc · Missed · xG 0.04M. Boedker · On goal · xG 0.04B. Dillon · Missed · xG 0.04T. Meier · Goal · xG 0.04T. Meier · Missed · xG 0.04B. Burns · On goal · xG 0.03C. Tierney · On goal · xG 0.03E. Kane · Missed · xG 0.03M. Vlasic · On goal · xG 0.03B. Burns · On goal · xG 0.03E. Kane · On goal · xG 0.02D. DeMelo · On goal · xG 0.02M. Vlasic · On goal · xG 0.02B. Burns · Missed · xG 0.02M. Sorensen · On goal · xG 0.02K. Labanc · Missed · xG 0.02T. Meier · On goal · xG 0.02B. Burns · On goal · xG 0.01J. Braun · On goal · xG 0.01L. Couture · On goal · xG 0.01D. DeMelo · On goal · xG 0.01J. Ward · On goal · xG 0.01T. Meier · On goal · xG 0.01B. Burns · Missed · xG 0.01J. Pavelski · On goal · xG 0.01J. Pavelski · On goal · xG 0.01J. Pavelski · Missed · xG 0.01B. Burns · Missed · xG 0.01B. Burns · Missed · xG 0.01
SJS3 G · 2.4 xG · 48 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

MINvsSJS
2.55 G
All situations
3 G2.4
2.15 G
Even strength
3 G1.8
0.00 G
Power play
0 G0.6

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 80 unblocked attempts. Empty-net goals are left out of the goal counts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
MIN44%56%SJS

Flurry-adjusted xG 2.08 – 2.42

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

MINvsSJS
24
Shots on goal
30
48%
Faceoffs
52%
0/1
Power play
0/2
4
Penalty minutes
2
15
Hits
16
22
Blocked shots
23
11
Giveaways
4
9
Takeaways
5

Box score

every player line
Minnesota Wild skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
36N. SeelerD011+130.08210—22:31
25J. BrodinD101+110.01130—21:53
6R. MurphyD000+100.00020—20:39
24M. DumbaD011+120.11130—20:13
39N. ProsserD000+100.00250—18:57
9M. KoivuC000+100.020003616:27
64M. GranlundC101020.2101010016:18
47L. BelpedioD022+100.01110—15:47
14J. Eriksson EkC000-220.063005815:35
16J. ZuckerL202050.51310—15:20
12E. StaalC101+230.630125015:12
3C. CoyleC011+310.14000014:55
22N. NiederreiterR022+100.00000—14:34
26D. WinnikL000-100.00010—14:28
7M. CullenC101+220.380003813:55
18J. GreenwayL011+210.07000—13:53
17M. FolignoL000-110.19120—12:44
63T. EnnisR022+210.09112—12:39
Minnesota Wild goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
40D. Dubnyk(W)30273.9002.42-0.5860:00

Season series

MIN leads 3-0

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).