Skip to content

San Jose Sharks at Minnesota Wild

Final/OTTV FS-N, NBCSCA·Xcel Energy Center

Recap

written from the game data

The Minnesota Wild beat the San Jose Sharks 3-2 in overtime, Jared Spurgeon scoring at 4:48. The Wild came back from two goals down. The Sharks led 2-1 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Jared Spurgeon's goal at 4:48 of overtime, which took the Wild's chances from 51% to 100%. Expected goals favored the Wild, 3.0 to 1.5; shots on goal were SJS 28, MIN 41. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Wild win a replay of these chances 76% of the time. Martin Jones stopped 38 of 41 (.927); Devan Dubnyk stopped 26 of 28 (.929), 0.5 goals below expected. Three stars: 1. Jared Spurgeon (1 G, 1 A), 2. Martin Jones (38 saves, .927), 3. Devan Dubnyk (26 saves, .929).

Three stars

  1. ★
    MIN
    J. Spurgeon1 G, 1 A
  2. ★★
    SJS
    M. Jones38 saves, .927
  3. ★★★
    MIN
    D. Dubnyk26 saves, .929

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdOTT
SJSSJS117140601228
MINMIN01011911012341

Scoring

5 goals

1st period

  1. SJS
    slapxG 0.15win prob +14 pts
    1-0
    14:00

2nd period

  1. SJS
    backhandxG 0.07win prob +17 pts
    2-0
    2:28
  2. MIN
    tip-inxG 0.05win prob +17 pts
    2-1
    19:16

3rd period

  1. MIN
    R. Suter (34), J. Zucker (20)
    wrap-aroundxG 0.02win prob +39 pts
    2-2
    15:16

Overtime

  1. MIN
    snapxG 0.10win prob +49 pts
    2-3
    4:48

Penalties

SJS 6 PIM·MIN 2 PIM

2nd

  • 8:27SJSDylan DeMelo · Holdingdrawn by Zach Parise2 min

3rd

  • 3:15MINMarcus Foligno · Hookingdrawn by Dylan DeMelo2 min
  • 3:55SJSJoe Pavelski · Slashingdrawn by Ryan Suter2 min
  • 9:35SJSTomas Hertl · Hookingdrawn by Mathew Dumba2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
MIN goalSJS goalFinal: MIN 100%

Biggest swing: Jared Spurgeon, OT 4:48 — MIN 51% → 100%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
M. Granlund · On goal · xG 0.35E. Staal · Missed · xG 0.32J. Zucker · On goal · xG 0.21M. Granlund · On goal · xG 0.14J. Eriksson Ek · On goal · xG 0.12J. Spurgeon · Missed · xG 0.12N. Niederreiter · Missed · xG 0.12E. Staal · On goal · xG 0.10Z. Parise · Missed · xG 0.10J. Spurgeon · Goal · xG 0.10Z. Parise · Missed · xG 0.09M. Koivu · On goal · xG 0.09J. Spurgeon · Missed · xG 0.09M. Granlund · On goal · xG 0.06M. Granlund · On goal · xG 0.06M. Granlund · On goal · xG 0.05M. Cullen · Goal · xG 0.05J. Eriksson Ek · On goal · xG 0.05C. Coyle · Missed · xG 0.05M. Dumba · Missed · xG 0.05M. Foligno · On goal · xG 0.04T. Ennis · On goal · xG 0.04R. Suter · On goal · xG 0.04J. Zucker · Missed · xG 0.03T. Ennis · On goal · xG 0.03J. Zucker · On goal · xG 0.03Z. Parise · On goal · xG 0.03C. Coyle · On goal · xG 0.03M. Dumba · On goal · xG 0.03M. Dumba · On goal · xG 0.03M. Dumba · On goal · xG 0.03M. Granlund · On goal · xG 0.03E. Staal · Goal · xG 0.02R. Suter · On goal · xG 0.02T. Ennis · On goal · xG 0.02R. Suter · On goal · xG 0.02N. Prosser · Missed · xG 0.02N. Prosser · On goal · xG 0.02J. Zucker · On goal · xG 0.01T. Ennis · Missed · xG 0.01M. Cullen · On goal · xG 0.01N. Prosser · On goal · xG 0.01J. Spurgeon · On goal · xG 0.01J. Zucker · On goal · xG 0.01M. Granlund · Missed · xG 0.01M. Reilly · On goal · xG 0.01E. Staal · On goal · xG 0.01M. Granlund · On goal · xG 0.01C. Coyle · On goal · xG 0.01C. Coyle · On goal · xG 0.01M. Granlund · On goal · xG 0.00N. Prosser · On goal · xG 0.00R. Suter · On goal · xG 0.00
MIN3 G · 3.0 xG · 53 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

SJSvsMIN
1.52 G
All situations
3 G3.0
1.32 G
Even strength
3 G2.4
0.00 G
Power play
0 G0.6
0.10 G
Shorthanded
0 G0.0

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 91 unblocked attempts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
SJS24%76%MIN

Flurry-adjusted xG 1.45 – 2.88

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

SJSvsMIN
28
Shots on goal
41
54%
Faceoffs
46%
0/1
Power play
0/3
6
Penalty minutes
2
12
Hits
11
24
Blocked shots
10
0
Giveaways
8
4
Takeaways
7

Box score

every player line
San Jose Sharks skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
44M. VlasicD000-130.26120—31:49
88B. BurnsD000-120.08160—30:41
74D. DeMeloD000-130.04112—25:44
8J. PavelskiC000-120.111224721:09
48T. HertlC000000.000126419:52
39L. CoutureC000020.0400010018:44
27J. DonskoiR000-110.18000—18:14
28T. MeierR000-200.001006017:36
47J. RyanD101+110.15120—17:31
68M. KarlssonC000010.02110015:28
16E. FehrC000+120.271004515:05
50C. TierneyC101-130.130205014:12
23B. GoodrowC011+110.002008013:09
36J. HansenR011+130.07000—11:51
4B. DillonD000000.00220—11:48
62K. LabancR011020.10000—10:25
89M. BoedkerL000010.01010—08:25
72T. HeedD000+110.01040—06:41
San Jose Sharks goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
31M. Jones(O)41383.9272.95-0.0564:48

Season series

MIN leads 3-0

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).