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Wild at Sharks
NHL

Minnesota Wild at San Jose Sharks

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Minnesota Wild
▸4
San Jose Sharks
3
Final/OTTV FS-N+, NBCSCA·SAP Center at San Jose

Recap

written from the game data

The Minnesota Wild beat the San Jose Sharks 4-3 in overtime, Nino Niederreiter scoring at 3:26. The Wild scored first and never trailed. The Wild led 3-1 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Nino Niederreiter's goal at 3:26 of overtime, which took the Wild's chances from 49% to 100%. Expected goals favored the Sharks, 3.3 to 2.6; shots on goal were MIN 24, SJS 34. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Sharks win a replay of these chances 61% of the time. Alex Stalock stopped 31 of 34 (.912); Martin Jones stopped 20 of 24 (.833), 1.4 goals below expected. Three stars: 1. Nino Niederreiter (1 G), 2. Eric Staal (2 G, 1 A), 3. Brent Burns (2 G).

Three stars

  1. ★
    MIN
    N. Niederreiter1 G
  2. ★★
    MIN
    E. Staal2 G, 1 A
  3. ★★★
    SJS
    B. Burns2 G

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdOTT
MINMIN27180712424
SJSSJS0101921401334

Scoring

7 goals

1st period

  1. MIN
    R. Murphy(1)PPG
    J. Zucker (11), E. Staal (14)
    wristxG 0.10win prob +10 pts
    1-0
    4:19
  2. MIN
    E. Staal(11)
    R. Suter (12), M. Granlund (12)
    wristxG 0.06win prob +15 pts
    2-0
    10:27

2nd period

  1. MIN
    E. Staal(12)
    R. Murphy (1), M. Granlund (13)
    wrap-aroundxG 0.02win prob +11 pts
    3-0
    4:58
  2. SJS
    B. Burns(3)PPG
    J. Thornton (16), T. Hertl (11)
    slapxG 0.23win prob +8 pts
    3-1
    19:07

3rd period

  1. SJS
    B. Burns(4)PPG
    J. Pavelski (11)
    slapxG 0.06win prob +13 pts
    3-2
    2:41
  2. SJS
    T. Hertl(7)
    D. DeMelo (3), T. Heed (7)
    wristxG 0.12win prob +38 pts
    3-3
    14:59

Overtime

  1. MIN
    N. Niederreiter(10)
    Unassisted
    wristxG 0.19win prob +51 pts
    4-3
    3:26

Penalties

MIN 14 PIM·SJS 6 PIM

1st

  • 3:07SJSMelker Karlsson · Slashingdrawn by Matt Cullen2 min
  • 14:09MINMikael Granlund · Holdingdrawn by Joe Thornton2 min
  • 17:54MINRyan Murphy · Closing hand on puck2 min

2nd

  • 8:04MINGustav Olofsson · Trippingdrawn by Joel Ward2 min
  • 10:40MINJason Zucker · High stickingdrawn by Jannik Hansen2 min
  • 13:16SJSRyan Carpenter · Interference goalkeeperdrawn by Alex Stalock2 min
  • 16:13SJSDylan DeMelo · High stickingdrawn by Zack Mitchell2 min
  • 17:14MINRyan Murphy · Hookingdrawn by Chris Tierney2 min
  • 17:14MINEric Staal · Holdingdrawn by Chris Tierney2 min

3rd

  • 2:00MINGustav Olofsson · Trippingdrawn by Dylan DeMelo2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
SJS goalMIN goalFinal: SJS 0%

Biggest swing: Nino Niederreiter, OT 3:26 — MIN 49% → 100%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
B. Burns · Goal · xG 0.23M. Karlsson · On goal · xG 0.17J. Pavelski · Missed · xG 0.17K. Labanc · Missed · xG 0.15T. Hertl · On goal · xG 0.14J. Pavelski · On goal · xG 0.13D. DeMelo · On goal · xG 0.13C. Tierney · On goal · xG 0.13T. Hertl · Goal · xG 0.12T. Hertl · Missed · xG 0.11J. Thornton · On goal · xG 0.10J. Pavelski · On goal · xG 0.10T. Hertl · Missed · xG 0.09C. Tierney · Missed · xG 0.09K. Labanc · On goal · xG 0.09B. Burns · On goal · xG 0.09J. Thornton · Missed · xG 0.08J. Pavelski · Missed · xG 0.07J. Hansen · On goal · xG 0.07J. Pavelski · On goal · xG 0.07M. Karlsson · Missed · xG 0.07T. Hertl · Missed · xG 0.06B. Burns · Goal · xG 0.06C. Tierney · On goal · xG 0.06J. Thornton · On goal · xG 0.05T. Hertl · On goal · xG 0.05D. DeMelo · On goal · xG 0.05J. Pavelski · Missed · xG 0.04J. Pavelski · Missed · xG 0.04B. Burns · On goal · xG 0.04L. Couture · Missed · xG 0.04B. Burns · On goal · xG 0.04K. Labanc · Missed · xG 0.03J. Pavelski · Missed · xG 0.03B. Burns · On goal · xG 0.03T. Heed · On goal · xG 0.03M. Vlasic · On goal · xG 0.03C. Tierney · Missed · xG 0.03J. Thornton · Missed · xG 0.02J. Pavelski · On goal · xG 0.02B. Dillon · Missed · xG 0.02B. Burns · On goal · xG 0.02B. Dillon · Missed · xG 0.02M. Vlasic · On goal · xG 0.02J. Braun · On goal · xG 0.02D. DeMelo · On goal · xG 0.01B. Burns · Missed · xG 0.01K. Labanc · Missed · xG 0.01M. Karlsson · On goal · xG 0.01B. Dillon · Missed · xG 0.01K. Labanc · Missed · xG 0.01T. Hertl · Missed · xG 0.01J. Ward · On goal · xG 0.01B. Burns · On goal · xG 0.01J. Braun · On goal · xG 0.01B. Dillon · On goal · xG 0.01M. Vlasic · On goal · xG 0.00
SJS3 G · 3.3 xG · 57 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

MINvsSJS
2.64 G
All situations
3 G3.3
2.23 G
Even strength
1 G2.1
0.31 G
Power play
2 G1.2
0.10 G
Shorthanded
0 G0.0

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 93 unblocked attempts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
MIN39%61%SJS

Flurry-adjusted xG 2.61 – 3.28

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

MINvsSJS
24
Shots on goal
34
53%
Faceoffs
47%
1/3
Power play
2/7
14
Penalty minutes
6
20
Hits
22
26
Blocked shots
11
8
Giveaways
12
5
Takeaways
6

Box score

every player line
Minnesota Wild skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
20R. SuterD011020.04260—29:30
24M. DumbaD000-100.00220—27:09
25J. BrodinD000+330.04020—24:43
9M. KoivuC000030.321405620:11
12E. StaalC213+360.570224520:09
64M. GranlundC022+200.10012019:46
6R. MurphyD112+110.13004—18:19
3C. CoyleC000010.160008317:05
16J. ZuckerL011020.17102—16:30
26D. WinnikL000-120.250003316:18
22N. NiederreiterR101+310.29210—15:31
39N. ProsserD000000.00120—13:52
59Z. MitchellR000-110.152105011:26
17M. FolignoL000-110.14530—10:16
23G. OlofssonD000000.00014—10:08
14J. Eriksson EkC000000.10300009:30
7M. CullenC000010.160107508:48
63T. EnnisR000000.00100—08:33
Minnesota Wild goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
32A. Stalock(W)34313.9123.33+0.3363:26

Season series

MIN leads 3-0

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).