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Golden Knights at Flames
NHL

Vegas Golden Knights at Calgary Flames

NHL scoreboard
Vegas Golden Knights
1
Calgary Flames
▸7
FinalTV ATTSN-RM, SN·Scotiabank Saddledome

Recap

written from the game data

The Calgary Flames beat the Vegas Golden Knights 7-1. The Flames scored first and never trailed. The Flames led 6-1 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Mark Jankowski's goal at 4:13 of the first period, which took the Flames' chances from 66% to 79%. Expected goals favored the Flames, 3.9 to 3.0; shots on goal were VGK 27, CGY 31. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Flames win a replay of these chances 63% of the time. Marc-Andre Fleury stopped 12 of 18 (.667), 4.0 goals below expected; Jon Gillies stopped 26 of 27 (.963), 2.0 goals saved above expected. Three stars: 1. Mark Jankowski (4 G), 2. Johnny Gaudreau (1 G, 1 A), 3. Matt Stajan (1 A).

Three stars

  1. ★
    CGY
    M. Jankowski4 G
  2. ★★
    CGY
    J. Gaudreau1 G, 1 A
  3. ★★★
    CGY
    M. Stajan1 A

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
VGKVGK0611407127
CGYCGY36312113731

Scoring

8 goals

1st period

  1. CGY
    J. Gaudreau(24)
    M. Ferland (20)
    wristxG 0.17win prob +12 pts
    0-1
    4:03
  2. CGY
    M. Jankowski(14)
    J. Gaudreau (60), M. Stone (7)
    wristxG 0.15win prob +13 pts
    0-2
    4:13
  3. CGY
    M. Jankowski(15)
    N. Shore (13), T. Brouwer (15)
    backhandxG 0.05win prob +9 pts
    0-3
    7:31

2nd period

  1. VGK
    C. Eakin(11)
    Unassisted
    snapxG 0.19win prob +9 pts
    1-3
    0:51
  2. CGY
    G. Hathaway(4)
    M. Stajan (8), C. Lazar (10)
    wristxG 0.18win prob +8 pts
    1-4
    10:27
  3. CGY
    S. Foo(2)
    M. Backlund (31), M. Bartkowski (3)
    wristxG 0.18win prob +3 pts
    1-5
    12:02
  4. CGY
    M. Jankowski(16)SHG
    Unassisted
    wristxG 0.22win prob +1 pts
    1-6
    18:06

3rd period

  1. CGY
    M. Jankowski(17)PPG
    T. Brouwer (16), N. Shore (14)
    backhandxG 0.26
    1-7
    1:32

Penalties

VGK 10 PIM·CGY 6 PIM

1st

  • 5:31VGKAlex Tuch · Cross checkingdrawn by Rasmus Andersson2 min
  • 8:29CGYMark Giordano · Slashingdrawn by Jonathan Marchessault2 min
  • 14:34VGKOscar Lindberg · High stickingdrawn by Rasmus Andersson2 min

2nd

  • 2:43CGYMatt Stajan · Interferencedrawn by James Neal2 min
  • 16:09CGYMark Giordano · Interferencedrawn by William Carrier2 min
  • 19:53VGKReilly Smith · Trippingdrawn by Johnny Gaudreau2 min

3rd

  • 5:45VGKserved by A. Tuch · Too many men on the ice2 min
  • 6:33VGKColin Miller · Cross checkingdrawn by Spencer Foo2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
CGY goalVGK goalFinal: CGY 100%

Biggest swing: Mark Jankowski, 1st 4:13 — CGY 66% → 79%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
M. Jankowski · Goal · xG 0.26B. Kulak · Missed · xG 0.24J. Gaudreau · On goal · xG 0.22M. Jankowski · Goal · xG 0.22T. Brouwer · On goal · xG 0.21S. Bennett · Missed · xG 0.21G. Hathaway · Goal · xG 0.18S. Foo · Goal · xG 0.18J. Gaudreau · Goal · xG 0.17M. Jankowski · Goal · xG 0.16M. Backlund · Missed · xG 0.15T. Brouwer · On goal · xG 0.11M. Backlund · Missed · xG 0.10M. Stone · Missed · xG 0.09G. Hathaway · On goal · xG 0.09M. Jankowski · On goal · xG 0.09M. Frolik · Missed · xG 0.08S. Foo · On goal · xG 0.08M. Stone · Missed · xG 0.08M. Frolik · On goal · xG 0.08J. Gaudreau · Missed · xG 0.07M. Stajan · Missed · xG 0.07S. Bennett · On goal · xG 0.06G. Hathaway · Missed · xG 0.06G. Hathaway · On goal · xG 0.06M. Jankowski · On goal · xG 0.06M. Stajan · Missed · xG 0.06M. Jankowski · Goal · xG 0.05M. Backlund · On goal · xG 0.05M. Jankowski · On goal · xG 0.04S. Bennett · On goal · xG 0.03M. Frolik · Missed · xG 0.03S. Foo · Missed · xG 0.03M. Jankowski · On goal · xG 0.02T. Brouwer · On goal · xG 0.02G. Hathaway · On goal · xG 0.02N. Shore · On goal · xG 0.02M. Bartkowski · On goal · xG 0.02M. Backlund · On goal · xG 0.02M. Backlund · On goal · xG 0.01M. Giordano · On goal · xG 0.01D. Hamilton · Missed · xG 0.01D. Hamilton · On goal · xG 0.01R. Andersson · On goal · xG 0.01M. Ferland · On goal · xG 0.01
CGY7 G · 3.9 xG · 45 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

VGKvsCGY
3.01 G
All situations
7 G3.9
2.11 G
Even strength
5 G2.5
0.90 G
Power play
1 G1.1
0.00 G
Shorthanded
1 G0.2

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 87 unblocked attempts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
VGK37%63%CGY

Flurry-adjusted xG 2.96 – 3.79

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

VGKvsCGY
27
Shots on goal
31
45%
Faceoffs
55%
0/3
Power play
1/5
10
Penalty minutes
6
16
Hits
19
15
Blocked shots
18
13
Giveaways
14
11
Takeaways
16

Box score

every player line
Vegas Golden Knights skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
77B. HuntD000-200.00000—21:05
5D. EngellandD000-110.14250—20:53
27S. TheodoreD000-240.26010—20:11
6C. MillerD000-330.11012—18:29
15J. MerrillD000-110.01020—18:24
21C. EakinC101020.250106418:04
3B. McNabbD000-120.12320—17:55
89A. TuchR000010.111022517:00
71W. KarlssonC000000.000006416:18
19R. SmithR000-100.26012—15:34
40R. CarpenterC000+100.120002215:22
18J. NealL000-430.45010—15:10
56E. HaulaL000-520.240001015:04
81J. MarchessaultR000-130.371005014:39
90T. TatarL000-420.26000—12:57
24O. LindbergL000-110.033026012:35
75R. ReavesR000010.14210—11:12
28W. CarrierL000010.15400—09:29
Vegas Golden Knights goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
29M. Fleury(L)18126.6672.01-3.9940:00
30M. Subban13121.9231.84+0.8420:00

Season series

VGK leads 3-1

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).