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Flames at Golden Knights
NHL

Calgary Flames at Vegas Golden Knights

NHL scoreboard
Calgary Flames
3
Vegas Golden Knights
▸7
FinalTV ATTSN-RM, SNF·T-Mobile Arena

Recap

written from the game data

The Vegas Golden Knights beat the Calgary Flames 7-3. The Golden Knights scored first and never trailed. The Golden Knights led 4-3 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Alex Tuch's goal at 13:58 of the second period, which took the Golden Knights' chances from 53% to 73%. Expected goals favored the Flames, 1.9 to 1.5; shots on goal were CGY 31, VGK 26. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Flames win a replay of these chances 57% of the time. David Rittich stopped 19 of 26 (.731), 5.5 goals below expected; Marc-Andre Fleury stopped 28 of 31 (.903), 1.1 goals below expected. Three stars: 1. Alex Tuch (1 G, 1 A), 2. David Perron (2 A), 3. Luca Sbisa (1 G, 1 A).

Three stars

  1. ★
    VGK
    A. Tuch1 G, 1 A
  2. ★★
    VGK
    D. Perron2 A
  3. ★★★
    VGK
    L. Sbisa1 G, 1 A

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
CGYCGY16214011331
VGKVGK2112837726

Scoring

10 goals

1st period

  1. VGK
    R. Carpenter(6)
    Unassisted
    backhandxG 0.23win prob +12 pts
    0-1
    2:28
  2. CGY
    T. Brodie(4)
    T. Hamonic (8), M. Stajan (4)
    deflectedxG 0.09win prob +14 pts
    1-1
    16:45
  3. VGK
    W. Karlsson(31)PPG
    R. Smith (33), N. Schmidt (25)
    deflectedxG 0.06win prob +11 pts
    1-2
    19:29

2nd period

  1. CGY
    D. Hamilton(14)
    M. Backlund (25), M. Giordano (20)
    wristxG 0.02win prob +15 pts
    2-2
    0:20
  2. VGK
    R. Smith(20)
    C. Miller (26), J. Marchessault (38)
    tip-inxG 0.05win prob +16 pts
    2-3
    1:18
  3. CGY
    M. Tkachuk(23)PPG
    D. Hamilton (22), J. Gaudreau (51)
    wristxG 0.07win prob +18 pts
    3-3
    11:07
  4. VGK
    A. Tuch(11)
    D. Perron (40), E. Haula (21)
    wristxG 0.07win prob +20 pts
    3-4
    13:58

3rd period

  1. VGK
    L. Sbisa(2)
    A. Tuch (16)
    slapxG 0.03win prob +15 pts
    3-5
    3:17
  2. VGK
    T. Nosek(6)
    L. Sbisa (11), D. Perron (41)
    deflectedxG 0.10win prob +1 pts
    3-6
    11:15
  3. VGK
    C. Eakin(7)
    R. Carpenter (4)
    wristxG 0.04win prob +1 pts
    3-7
    14:18

Penalties

CGY 13 PIM·VGK 11 PIM

1st

  • 19:11CGYMichael Frolik · Hookingdrawn by Tomas Hyka2 min

2nd

  • 2:17VGKMarc-Andre Fleury · Roughingdrawn by Mark Jankowski2 min
  • 2:17CGYMark Jankowski · Roughingdrawn by Marc-Andre Fleury2 min
  • 2:50CGYMatthew Tkachuk · Slashingdrawn by Luca Sbisa2 min
  • 9:36VGKErik Haula · Hookingdrawn by Johnny Gaudreau2 min
  • 19:15VGKDeryk Engelland · Slashingdrawn by Matthew Tkachuk2 min
  • 19:15CGYMatthew Tkachuk · Slashingdrawn by Deryk Engelland2 min

3rd

  • 10:50CGYTravis Hamonic · Fightingdrawn by Alex Tuch5 min
  • 10:50VGKAlex Tuch · Fightingdrawn by Travis Hamonic5 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
VGK goalCGY goalFinal: VGK 100%

Biggest swing: Alex Tuch, 2nd 13:58 — VGK 53% → 73%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
R. Carpenter · Goal · xG 0.23J. Marchessault · On goal · xG 0.12T. Nosek · Goal · xG 0.10J. Marchessault · On goal · xG 0.08W. Karlsson · On goal · xG 0.07A. Tuch · Goal · xG 0.07D. Engelland · On goal · xG 0.07R. Carpenter · On goal · xG 0.06W. Karlsson · Goal · xG 0.06J. Marchessault · Missed · xG 0.06T. Hyka · On goal · xG 0.05E. Haula · Missed · xG 0.05R. Smith · Goal · xG 0.05C. Eakin · Missed · xG 0.04C. Eakin · Goal · xG 0.04C. Miller · On goal · xG 0.04J. Marchessault · Missed · xG 0.04L. Sbisa · Missed · xG 0.03R. Carpenter · On goal · xG 0.03C. Eakin · On goal · xG 0.03W. Karlsson · On goal · xG 0.03L. Sbisa · Goal · xG 0.02C. Miller · On goal · xG 0.02R. Smith · On goal · xG 0.02J. Marchessault · On goal · xG 0.02D. Perron · On goal · xG 0.02W. Karlsson · On goal · xG 0.02D. Engelland · On goal · xG 0.02C. Miller · On goal · xG 0.01D. Engelland · Missed · xG 0.01D. Engelland · Missed · xG 0.01R. Carpenter · On goal · xG 0.01C. Eakin · On goal · xG 0.01
VGK7 G · 1.5 xG · 33 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

CGYvsVGK
1.93 G
All situations
7 G1.5
1.72 G
Even strength
6 G1.2
0.21 G
Power play
1 G0.3

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 80 unblocked attempts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
CGY57%43%VGK

Flurry-adjusted xG 1.86 – 1.52

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

CGYvsVGK
31
Shots on goal
26
48%
Faceoffs
52%
1/1
Power play
1/2
13
Penalty minutes
11
40
Hits
26
12
Blocked shots
19
11
Giveaways
6
9
Takeaways
8

Box score

every player line
Calgary Flames skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
5M. GiordanoD011-130.08320—23:21
7T. BrodieD101-130.12130—22:35
27D. HamiltonD112-140.25110—21:52
24T. HamonicD011-220.07125—21:47
13J. GaudreauL011-300.01100—18:32
23S. MonahanC000-200.060005218:31
19M. TkachukL101050.16304—17:54
11M. BacklundC011050.200004216:35
26M. StoneD000-120.05120—16:21
67M. FrolikR000010.02202—14:42
61B. KulakD000-210.14220—14:04
77M. JankowskiL000-310.013025313:34
79M. FerlandL000-200.0040010013:27
93S. BennettC000-100.00200012:45
21G. HathawayR000-130.52500—12:33
36T. BrouwerR000000.01200—12:26
20C. LazarC000-110.15600012:03
18M. StajanC011+100.003005710:52
Calgary Flames goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
33D. Rittich(L)26197.7311.53-5.4759:48

Season series

VGK leads 3-1

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).