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Golden Knights at Flames
NHL

Vegas Golden Knights at Calgary Flames

NHL scoreboard
Vegas Golden Knights
▸4
Calgary Flames
2
FinalTV ATTSN-RM, SNW·Scotiabank Saddledome

Recap

written from the game data

The Vegas Golden Knights beat the Calgary Flames 4-2. The lead changed hands 2 times. The Flames led 2-1 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Jonathan Marchessault's goal at 18:24 of the third period, which took the Golden Knights' chances from 48% to 93%. Expected goals favored the Golden Knights, 3.6 to 2.9; shots on goal were VGK 35, CGY 33. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Golden Knights win a replay of these chances 52% of the time. Marc-Andre Fleury stopped 31 of 33 (.939), 0.8 goals saved above expected; Mike Smith stopped 31 of 34 (.912). Three stars: 1. Jonathan Marchessault (1 G, 1 A), 2. Sam Bennett (1 G), 3. William Karlsson (2 A).

Three stars

  1. ★
    VGK
    J. Marchessault1 G, 1 A
  2. ★★
    CGY
    S. Bennett1 G
  3. ★★★
    VGK
    W. Karlsson2 A

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
VGKVGK110014311435
CGYCGY012210011233

Scoring

6 goals

1st period

  1. VGK
    R. Smith(13)PPG
    J. Marchessault (30), W. Karlsson (16)
    tip-inxG 0.07win prob +13 pts
    1-0
    16:03

2nd period

  1. CGY
    S. Bennett(7)
    T. Brouwer (12)
    wristxG 0.10win prob +18 pts
    1-1
    6:02
  2. CGY
    M. Tkachuk(17)
    D. Hamilton (16), M. Frolik (9)
    wrap-aroundxG 0.03win prob +22 pts
    1-2
    18:43

3rd period

  1. VGK
    E. Haula(18)
    Unassisted
    wristxG 0.13win prob +42 pts
    2-2
    18:14
  2. VGK
    J. Marchessault(18)
    W. Karlsson (17), R. Smith (25)
    wristxG 0.07win prob +44 pts
    3-2
    18:24
  3. VGK
    D. Perron(12)EN
    P. Bellemare (3), S. Theodore (14)
    wristxG 0.58win prob +5 pts
    4-2
    19:07

Penalties

VGK 6 PIM·CGY 4 PIM

1st

  • 5:19VGKShea Theodore · Delaying game puck over glass2 min
  • 14:41CGYSam Bennett · Interferencedrawn by William Carrier2 min

2nd

  • 9:28CGYTravis Hamonic · Holding the stickdrawn by James Neal2 min
  • 15:12VGKColin Miller · Hookingdrawn by Sam Bennett2 min

3rd

  • 6:06VGKAlex Tuch · Closing hand on puck2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
CGY goalVGK goalFinal: CGY 0%

Biggest swing: Jonathan Marchessault, 3rd 18:24 — VGK 48% → 93%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
M. Ferland · On goal · xG 0.26M. Ferland · On goal · xG 0.17M. Backlund · On goal · xG 0.12T. Brouwer · On goal · xG 0.11M. Tkachuk · Missed · xG 0.10M. Frolik · Missed · xG 0.10M. Backlund · Missed · xG 0.10S. Bennett · Goal · xG 0.10S. Bennett · On goal · xG 0.09S. Bennett · On goal · xG 0.09M. Stajan · On goal · xG 0.09D. Hamilton · On goal · xG 0.09M. Backlund · On goal · xG 0.08T. Brouwer · Missed · xG 0.08S. Monahan · On goal · xG 0.07S. Monahan · On goal · xG 0.07M. Backlund · On goal · xG 0.06M. Giordano · Missed · xG 0.06M. Frolik · On goal · xG 0.06J. Gaudreau · On goal · xG 0.06M. Frolik · On goal · xG 0.06S. Monahan · On goal · xG 0.05J. Gaudreau · On goal · xG 0.05S. Monahan · Missed · xG 0.05S. Monahan · Missed · xG 0.05S. Monahan · Missed · xG 0.04M. Jankowski · On goal · xG 0.04T. Brodie · On goal · xG 0.04M. Backlund · On goal · xG 0.04T. Brodie · Missed · xG 0.04S. Bennett · Missed · xG 0.03S. Bennett · Missed · xG 0.03S. Monahan · On goal · xG 0.03T. Brodie · Missed · xG 0.03M. Tkachuk · Goal · xG 0.03T. Brodie · On goal · xG 0.03M. Backlund · Missed · xG 0.03D. Hamilton · Missed · xG 0.02T. Hamonic · On goal · xG 0.02D. Hamilton · On goal · xG 0.02T. Hamonic · On goal · xG 0.02G. Hathaway · Missed · xG 0.02S. Bennett · Missed · xG 0.02D. Hamilton · On goal · xG 0.01M. Stone · Missed · xG 0.01S. Bennett · Missed · xG 0.01M. Backlund · Missed · xG 0.01T. Brouwer · On goal · xG 0.01M. Backlund · Missed · xG 0.01S. Monahan · On goal · xG 0.01M. Backlund · Missed · xG 0.01S. Monahan · Missed · xG 0.01G. Hathaway · On goal · xG 0.00T. Hamonic · On goal · xG 0.00M. Stone · On goal · xG 0.00T. Brodie · Missed · xG 0.00
CGY2 G · 2.9 xG · 56 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

VGKvsCGY
3.63 G
All situations
2 G2.9
2.22 G
Even strength
2 G1.9
0.81 G
Power play
0 G1.0
0.00 G
Shorthanded
0 G0.0

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 106 unblocked attempts. Empty-net goals are left out of the goal counts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
VGK52%48%CGY

Flurry-adjusted xG 2.94 – 2.82

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

VGKvsCGY
35
Shots on goal
33
49%
Faceoffs
51%
1/2
Power play
0/3
6
Penalty minutes
4
13
Hits
22
22
Blocked shots
13
9
Giveaways
15
7
Takeaways
8

Box score

every player line
Vegas Golden Knights skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
88N. SchmidtD000000.00020—24:06
7J. GarrisonD000010.01130—21:34
5D. EngellandD000+120.17150—21:30
27S. TheodoreD011+220.16002—19:20
56E. HaulaL101+120.272007518:40
57D. PerronL101+210.580003318:37
6C. MillerD000000.00112—17:48
71W. KarlssonC022030.471205017:39
19R. SmithR112040.34100—17:24
81J. MarchessaultR112030.270003815:28
18J. NealL000+120.39020—15:14
77B. HuntD000-110.13030—14:53
21C. EakinC000060.192203314:47
89A. TuchR000-110.100023313:56
41P. BellemareL011+120.040005011:57
24O. LindbergL000010.18120—11:06
13B. LeipsicL000-110.09000—10:29
28W. CarrierL000030.22300—09:32
Vegas Golden Knights goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
29M. Fleury(W)33312.9392.85+0.8560:00

Season series

VGK leads 3-1

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).