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Lightning at Hurricanes
NHL

Tampa Bay Lightning at Carolina Hurricanes

NHL scoreboard
Tampa Bay Lightning
2
Carolina Hurricanes
▸3
Final/OTTV FS-CR, SUN·PNC Arena

Recap

written from the game data

The Carolina Hurricanes beat the Tampa Bay Lightning 3-2 in overtime, Elias Lindholm scoring at 0:49. The Hurricanes scored first and never trailed. The Hurricanes led 2-1 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Elias Lindholm's goal at 0:49 of overtime, which took the Hurricanes' chances from 51% to 100%. Expected goals favored the Hurricanes, 3.1 to 2.3; shots on goal were TBL 34, CAR 42. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Hurricanes win a replay of these chances 63% of the time. Louis Domingue stopped 39 of 42 (.929); Cam Ward stopped 32 of 34 (.941). Three stars: 1. Justin Williams (1 G, 1 A), 2. Elias Lindholm (1 G), 3. Cam Ward (32 saves, .941).

Three stars

  1. ★
    CAR
    J. Williams1 G, 1 A
  2. ★★
    CAR
    E. Lindholm1 G
  3. ★★★
    CAR
    C. Ward32 saves, .941

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdOTT
TBLTBL01211111100234
CARCAR21401301312342

Scoring

5 goals

1st period

  1. CAR
    J. Staal(19)
    J. Williams (35), P. Di Giuseppe (7)
    deflectedxG 0.03win prob +11 pts
    0-1
    0:19
  2. CAR
    J. Williams(16)
    P. Di Giuseppe (8), N. Hanifin (22)
    wristxG 0.01win prob +15 pts
    0-2
    17:36

2nd period

  1. TBL
    R. Callahan(5)
    V. Hedman (46), C. Kunitz (16)
    wristxG 0.01win prob +15 pts
    1-2
    3:30

3rd period

  1. TBL
    O. Palat(11)
    J. Miller (35), T. Johnson (29)
    snapxG 0.12win prob +32 pts
    2-2
    11:11

Overtime

  1. CAR
    E. Lindholm(16)
    T. Teravainen (41), H. Fleury (8)
    snapxG 0.17win prob +49 pts
    2-3
    0:49

Penalties

TBL 4 PIM·CAR 2 PIM

1st

  • 13:04TBLTyler Johnson · Holdingdrawn by Nicolas Roy2 min

2nd

  • 5:38CARHaydn Fleury · Interferencedrawn by Ryan Callahan2 min
  • 12:22TBLSlater Koekkoek · Holdingdrawn by Nicolas Roy2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
CAR goalTBL goalFinal: CAR 100%

Biggest swing: Elias Lindholm, OT 0:49 — CAR 51% → 100%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
J. Slavin · On goal · xG 0.29D. Ryan · On goal · xG 0.19L. Stempniak · On goal · xG 0.18E. Lindholm · Missed · xG 0.18E. Lindholm · Missed · xG 0.17E. Lindholm · Goal · xG 0.17V. Zykov · On goal · xG 0.15J. Staal · On goal · xG 0.14J. Staal · Missed · xG 0.13T. Teravainen · On goal · xG 0.10L. Stempniak · On goal · xG 0.10V. Zykov · On goal · xG 0.09T. Teravainen · On goal · xG 0.08J. Staal · Missed · xG 0.08E. Lindholm · On goal · xG 0.08P. Di Giuseppe · Missed · xG 0.07E. Lindholm · On goal · xG 0.06J. Nordstrom · Missed · xG 0.06L. Stempniak · On goal · xG 0.05L. Stempniak · On goal · xG 0.05D. Ryan · On goal · xG 0.05E. Lindholm · On goal · xG 0.04E. Lindholm · On goal · xG 0.04J. Skinner · On goal · xG 0.04J. Staal · On goal · xG 0.03T. Teravainen · On goal · xG 0.03T. van Riemsdyk · Missed · xG 0.03J. Staal · Goal · xG 0.03H. Fleury · Missed · xG 0.03T. Teravainen · Missed · xG 0.03P. Di Giuseppe · On goal · xG 0.03T. van Riemsdyk · On goal · xG 0.02J. Slavin · On goal · xG 0.02R. McKeown · Missed · xG 0.02S. Aho · On goal · xG 0.02J. Slavin · On goal · xG 0.02S. Aho · On goal · xG 0.02L. Stempniak · On goal · xG 0.02N. Roy · On goal · xG 0.02E. Lindholm · On goal · xG 0.02K. Dahlbeck · On goal · xG 0.01K. Dahlbeck · On goal · xG 0.01K. Dahlbeck · On goal · xG 0.01H. Fleury · On goal · xG 0.01S. Aho · On goal · xG 0.01J. Williams · On goal · xG 0.01N. Hanifin · On goal · xG 0.01J. Williams · Goal · xG 0.01S. Aho · On goal · xG 0.01P. Di Giuseppe · Missed · xG 0.01J. Nordstrom · On goal · xG 0.01T. van Riemsdyk · On goal · xG 0.00J. Williams · On goal · xG 0.00
CAR3 G · 3.1 xG · 53 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

TBLvsCAR
2.32 G
All situations
3 G3.1
2.22 G
Even strength
3 G2.7
0.10 G
Power play
0 G0.4

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 91 unblocked attempts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
TBL37%63%CAR

Flurry-adjusted xG 2.27 – 3.01

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

TBLvsCAR
34
Shots on goal
42
42%
Faceoffs
58%
0/1
Power play
0/2
4
Penalty minutes
2
23
Hits
16
18
Blocked shots
9
8
Giveaways
13
8
Takeaways
11

Box score

every player line
Tampa Bay Lightning skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
77V. HedmanD011-120.11320—28:17
6A. StralmanD000030.03020—24:26
27R. McDonaghD000030.08020—23:57
86N. KucherovR000-100.00010—22:25
37Y. GourdeC000000.00000018:49
21B. PointC000-200.092003317:48
5D. GirardiD000010.02230—17:28
10J. MillerC011050.642006917:11
71A. CirelliC000040.211002416:35
17A. KillornL000040.57310—16:27
24R. CallahanR101+120.04420—15:48
18O. PalatL101-120.222005014:37
9T. JohnsonC011-100.001024314:01
13C. PaquetteC000+130.231304413:20
14C. KunitzL011+100.00110—12:21
55B. CoburnD000020.06000—11:01
29S. KoekkoekD000010.00102—07:06
62A. SustrD000020.01010—06:50
Tampa Bay Lightning goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
70L. Domingue(O)42393.9293.07+0.0760:49

Season series

TBL leads 2-1

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).