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Canadiens at Maple Leafs
NHL

Montréal Canadiens at Toronto Maple Leafs

FinalTV CBC, TVAS·Air Canada Centre

Recap

written from the game data

The Toronto Maple Leafs beat the Montréal Canadiens 4-2. The Maple Leafs scored first and never trailed. It was tied 1-1 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Zach Hyman's goal at 0:37 of the third period, which took the Maple Leafs' chances from 54% to 76%. Expected goals favored the Maple Leafs, 3.3 to 2.7; shots on goal were MTL 33, TOR 30. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Maple Leafs win a replay of these chances 60% of the time. Carey Price stopped 26 of 30 (.867), 0.7 goals below expected; Frederik Andersen stopped 31 of 33 (.939), 0.7 goals saved above expected. Three stars: 1. Frederik Andersen (31 saves, .939), 2. Auston Matthews (1 G, 1 A), 3. Zach Hyman (1 G).

Three stars

  1. ★
    TOR
    F. Andersen31 saves, .939
  2. ★★
    TOR
    A. Matthews1 G, 1 A
  3. ★★★
    TOR
    Z. Hyman1 G

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
MTLMTL010110113233
TORTOR1608316430

Scoring

6 goals

1st period

  1. TOR
    snapxG 0.14win prob +14 pts
    0-1
    18:05

2nd period

  1. MTL
    wristxG 0.32win prob +21 pts
    1-1
    16:04

3rd period

  1. TOR
    backhandxG 0.07win prob +22 pts
    1-2
    0:37
  2. TOR
    N. Kadri(32)PPG
    T. Bozak (32), M. Rielly (46)
    backhandxG 0.05win prob +5 pts
    1-3
    17:10
  3. MTL
    J. Petry(12)PPG
    deflectedxG 0.26win prob +3 pts
    2-3
    19:19
  4. TOR
    Unassisted
    wristxG 0.18win prob +4 pts
    2-4
    19:50

Penalties

MTL 10 PIM·TOR 8 PIM

1st

  • 16:29MTLArtturi Lehkonen · Trippingdrawn by William Nylander2 min

2nd

  • 6:02TORZach Hyman · Holdingdrawn by Jordie Benn2 min
  • 8:40TORMitch Marner · Trippingdrawn by Karl Alzner2 min
  • 12:46MTLNicolas Deslauriers · Interferencedrawn by Jake Gardiner2 min
  • 18:24MTLByron Froese · Slashingdrawn by Auston Matthews2 min

3rd

  • 2:24TORLeo Komarov · Elbowingdrawn by Carey Price2 min
  • 4:35MTLMichael McCarron · Slashingdrawn by Morgan Rielly2 min
  • 16:15MTLMichael McCarron · Trippingdrawn by Auston Matthews2 min
  • 17:33TORAuston Matthews · Cross checkingdrawn by Daniel Carr2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
TOR goalMTL goalFinal: TOR 100%

Biggest swing: Zach Hyman, 3rd 0:37 — TOR 54% → 76%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
J. van Riemsdyk · On goal · xG 0.21P. Marleau · Goal · xG 0.18A. Matthews · On goal · xG 0.17W. Nylander · Missed · xG 0.16A. Matthews · Goal · xG 0.14Z. Hyman · On goal · xG 0.14T. Bozak · On goal · xG 0.13P. Marleau · Missed · xG 0.11C. Brown · On goal · xG 0.10J. van Riemsdyk · On goal · xG 0.10M. Marner · On goal · xG 0.09J. van Riemsdyk · Missed · xG 0.09J. van Riemsdyk · On goal · xG 0.09N. Kadri · On goal · xG 0.09N. Kadri · Missed · xG 0.09L. Komarov · On goal · xG 0.08T. Plekanec · On goal · xG 0.08N. Kadri · Missed · xG 0.08P. Marleau · On goal · xG 0.07P. Marleau · On goal · xG 0.07N. Kadri · Missed · xG 0.07T. Bozak · On goal · xG 0.07Z. Hyman · Goal · xG 0.07C. Brown · On goal · xG 0.06J. van Riemsdyk · Missed · xG 0.06J. van Riemsdyk · Missed · xG 0.06R. Polak · On goal · xG 0.06M. Rielly · On goal · xG 0.06P. Marleau · On goal · xG 0.05N. Kadri · Goal · xG 0.05Z. Hyman · Missed · xG 0.05T. Dermott · On goal · xG 0.04M. Rielly · On goal · xG 0.04T. Plekanec · Missed · xG 0.03J. van Riemsdyk · Missed · xG 0.03W. Nylander · Missed · xG 0.03J. Gardiner · Missed · xG 0.03K. Kapanen · On goal · xG 0.03T. Dermott · On goal · xG 0.03C. Brown · On goal · xG 0.02J. van Riemsdyk · Missed · xG 0.02M. Rielly · Missed · xG 0.02J. Gardiner · On goal · xG 0.02J. Gardiner · On goal · xG 0.01R. Polak · Missed · xG 0.01L. Komarov · On goal · xG 0.00
TOR4 G · 3.3 xG · 46 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

MTLvsTOR
2.72 G
All situations
4 G3.3
1.61 G
Even strength
2 G2.1
1.01 G
Power play
2 G1.1
0.00 G
Shorthanded
0 G0.1

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 92 unblocked attempts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
MTL40%60%TOR

Flurry-adjusted xG 2.62 – 3.24

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

MTLvsTOR
33
Shots on goal
30
38%
Faceoffs
62%
1/4
Power play
2/5
10
Penalty minutes
8
18
Hits
16
21
Blocked shots
13
15
Giveaways
12
3
Takeaways
9

Box score

every player line
Montréal Canadiens skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
26J. PetryD101030.49010—21:46
8J. BennD000020.04050—20:49
11B. GallagherR011-250.521001719:41
36B. LernoutD000010.00420—19:31
27A. GalchenyukC000-130.281005018:35
58N. JuulsenD000-120.07310—18:13
41P. ByronL000-100.09110—18:06
92J. DrouinL011-130.200002317:38
22K. AlznerD000-110.04110—17:25
62A. LehkonenL000-110.07212—16:29
28M. ReillyD000+140.16110—16:21
49L. ShawR000-110.071005614:52
43D. CarrL101+110.34040—14:05
25J. de la RoseL000010.010101412:25
45K. RychelL011+110.04000—12:25
20N. DeslauriersL000010.05002—12:15
42B. FroeseC000010.01102011:34
34M. McCarronC011+120.172346710:33
Montréal Canadiens goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
31C. Price(L)30264.8673.28-0.7258:46

Season series

TOR leads 4-0

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).