Montréal Canadiens at Toronto Maple Leafs
Recap
written from the game dataThe Toronto Maple Leafs beat the Montréal Canadiens 4-0. The Maple Leafs scored first and never trailed. The Maple Leafs led 3-0 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Kasperi Kapanen's goal at 3:00 of the second period, which took the Maple Leafs' chances from 69% to 84%. Expected goals favored the Maple Leafs, 4.4 to 2.3; shots on goal were MTL 33, TOR 49. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Maple Leafs win a replay of these chances 80% of the time. Charlie Lindgren stopped 45 of 49 (.918); Curtis McElhinney stopped 33 of 33 (1.000), 2.3 goals saved above expected. Three stars: 1. Curtis McElhinney (33 saves, 1.000), 2. Andreas Johnsson (1 G), 3. William Nylander (1 G).
Three stars
- ★C. McElhinney33 saves, 1.000

- ★★A. Johnsson1 G

- ★★★W. Nylander1 G

Line score
goals · shots on goal beneathScoring
4 goals1st period
0-116:01
2nd period
0-23:00
0-319:31
3rd period
0-415:27
Penalties
1st
- 14:32
Alex Galchenyuk · Closing hand on puck2 min
2nd
- 8:13
Karl Alzner · Holdingdrawn by Dominic Moore2 min
- 18:36
Michael McCarron · High stickingdrawn by Connor Brown2 min
3rd
- 7:22
Nicolas Deslauriers · Slashingdrawn by Travis Dermott2 min
- 7:37
Tyler Bozak · Trippingdrawn by Paul Byron2 min
Win probability
ours · the whole gameBiggest swing: Kasperi Kapanen, 2nd 3:00 — 69% → 84%
Shot map
unblocked attempts · size = our xGExpected goals
- 2.30 G
- All situations
- 4 G4.4
- 2.30 G
- Even strength
- 2 G3.1
- 0.00 G
- Power play
- 2 G1.3
Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 111 unblocked attempts.
Deserve to win
on the chances createdFlurry-adjusted xG 2.24 – 4.32
How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.
Team stats
- 33
- Shots on goal
- 49
- 48%
- Faceoffs
- 52%
- 0/1
- Power play
- 2/4
- 8
- Penalty minutes
- 2
- 37
- Hits
- 16
- 18
- Blocked shots
- 19
- 5
- Giveaways
- 18
- 3
- Takeaways
- 4
Box score
every player line
Season series
TOR leads 4-0
4@
3OTFinal
6@
0Final
0@
4this game
2@
4Final
Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).
