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Maple Leafs at Canadiens
NHL

Toronto Maple Leafs at Montréal Canadiens

NHL scoreboard
Toronto Maple Leafs
▸4
Montréal Canadiens
3
Final/OTTV NHLN-US, CBC·Centre Bell

Recap

written from the game data

The Toronto Maple Leafs beat the Montréal Canadiens 4-3 in overtime, Auston Matthews scoring at 0:48. The lead changed hands 3 times. It was tied 3-3 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Auston Matthews's goal at 0:48 of overtime, which took the Maple Leafs' chances from 49% to 100%. Expected goals were close — TOR 1.4, MTL 1.4; shots on goal were TOR 22, MTL 34. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Maple Leafs win a replay of these chances 51% of the time. Frederik Andersen stopped 31 of 34 (.912), 1.6 goals below expected; Carey Price stopped 18 of 22 (.818), 2.6 goals below expected. Three stars: 1. Auston Matthews (2 G), 2. Jonathan Drouin (1 G, 1 A), 3. Jeff Petry (1 G).

Three stars

  1. ★
    TOR
    A. Matthews2 G
  2. ★★
    MTL
    J. Drouin1 G, 1 A
  3. ★★★
    MTL
    J. Petry1 G

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdOTT
TORTOR28170611422
MTLMTL2121801301334

Scoring

7 goals

1st period

  1. MTL
    J. Petry(1)
    J. Drouin (2), A. Lehkonen (1)
    slapxG 0.03win prob +12 pts
    0-1
    2:19
  2. TOR
    J. van Riemsdyk(4)
    Unassisted
    wristxG 0.06win prob +13 pts
    1-1
    7:32
  3. TOR
    A. Matthews(4)
    Unassisted
    wristxG 0.09win prob +13 pts
    2-1
    8:16
  4. MTL
    A. Galchenyuk(1)PPG
    C. Hudon (1)
    wristxG 0.06win prob +12 pts
    2-2
    16:49

2nd period

  1. MTL
    J. Drouin(1)
    K. Alzner (2)
    tip-inxG 0.04win prob +19 pts
    2-3
    11:33
  2. TOR
    P. Marleau(3)
    N. Kadri (3)
    wristxG 0.04win prob +19 pts
    3-3
    12:40

Overtime

  1. TOR
    A. Matthews(5)
    W. Nylander (4)
    wristxG 0.17win prob +51 pts
    4-3
    0:48

Penalties

TOR 4 PIM·MTL 4 PIM

1st

  • 10:00MTLKarl Alzner · Cross checkingdrawn by Mitch Marner2 min
  • 15:22TORNazem Kadri · High stickingdrawn by Shea Weber2 min

2nd

  • 4:04MTLBrandon Davidson · Holdingdrawn by William Nylander2 min
  • 17:38TORTyler Bozak · Holdingdrawn by Charles Hudon2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
MTL goalTOR goalFinal: MTL 0%

Biggest swing: Auston Matthews, OT 0:48 — TOR 49% → 100%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
T. Plekanec · On goal · xG 0.16B. Gallagher · Missed · xG 0.14A. Shaw · On goal · xG 0.09P. Byron · On goal · xG 0.09V. Mete · Missed · xG 0.09S. Weber · Missed · xG 0.06P. Byron · On goal · xG 0.06A. Galchenyuk · Goal · xG 0.06A. Shaw · On goal · xG 0.05B. Gallagher · On goal · xG 0.05P. Byron · On goal · xG 0.05P. Danault · On goal · xG 0.04J. Drouin · Goal · xG 0.04J. Petry · On goal · xG 0.03P. Byron · On goal · xG 0.03J. Benn · On goal · xG 0.03M. Pacioretty · On goal · xG 0.03J. Petry · Goal · xG 0.03T. Plekanec · On goal · xG 0.02S. Weber · Missed · xG 0.02B. Gallagher · On goal · xG 0.02B. Davidson · On goal · xG 0.02V. Mete · On goal · xG 0.02C. Hudon · On goal · xG 0.02B. Gallagher · On goal · xG 0.02C. Hudon · On goal · xG 0.02J. Benn · On goal · xG 0.01B. Davidson · On goal · xG 0.01C. Hudon · On goal · xG 0.01J. Petry · Missed · xG 0.01P. Danault · Missed · xG 0.01J. Benn · On goal · xG 0.01M. Pacioretty · On goal · xG 0.01B. Davidson · On goal · xG 0.01A. Galchenyuk · On goal · xG 0.01T. Plekanec · On goal · xG 0.01B. Gallagher · On goal · xG 0.01C. Hudon · On goal · xG 0.00J. Benn · On goal · xG 0.00T. Plekanec · On goal · xG 0.00J. Benn · Missed · xG 0.00
MTL3 G · 1.4 xG · 41 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

TORvsMTL
1.44 G
All situations
3 G1.4
1.34 G
Even strength
2 G1.2
0.10 G
Power play
1 G0.1
0.00 G
Shorthanded
0 G0.1

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 71 unblocked attempts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
TOR51%49%MTL

Flurry-adjusted xG 1.41 – 1.36

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

TORvsMTL
22
Shots on goal
34
57%
Faceoffs
43%
0/2
Power play
1/2
4
Penalty minutes
4
33
Hits
21
14
Blocked shots
27
15
Giveaways
20
4
Takeaways
6

Box score

every player line
Toronto Maple Leafs skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
22N. ZaitsevD000+100.00220—25:17
51J. GardinerD000010.02120—24:16
2R. HainseyD000010.02020—20:32
34A. MatthewsC202+230.280106920:22
29W. NylanderR011+220.091005519:01
44M. RiellyD000000.00010—18:51
11Z. HymanL000020.0961010018:22
43N. KadriC011+130.161021717:02
12P. MarleauC101+220.12200016:56
47L. KomarovR000+110.094206015:40
42T. BozakC000-100.002025915:16
16M. MarnerR000-130.25200—14:20
8C. CarrickD000+110.15020—14:14
55A. BorgmanD000+110.01200—13:51
25J. van RiemsdykL101-110.05400—13:34
28C. BrownR000000.01000—11:14
23E. FehrC000000.001006010:09
15M. MartinL000010.0851010010:03
Toronto Maple Leafs goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
31F. Andersen(W)34313.9121.38-1.6260:45

Season series

TOR leads 4-0

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).