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Oilers at Flames
NHL

Edmonton Oilers at Calgary Flames

NHL scoreboard
Edmonton Oilers
2
Calgary Flames
▸3
FinalTV CBC, SN·Scotiabank Saddledome

Recap

written from the game data

The Calgary Flames beat the Edmonton Oilers 3-2. The Oilers scored first; the Flames answered. The Flames led 3-2 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Garnet Hathaway's goal at 11:54 of the first period, which took the Flames' chances from 51% to 67%. Expected goals favored the Oilers, 2.4 to 1.4; shots on goal were EDM 36, CGY 20. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Oilers win a replay of these chances 68% of the time. Al Montoya stopped 13 of 13 (1.000), 0.9 goals saved above expected; Mike Smith stopped 34 of 36 (.944). Three stars: 1. Mike Smith (34 saves, .944), 2. Mikael Backlund (1 G, 1 A), 3. Zack Kassian (2 A).

Three stars

  1. ★
    CGY
    M. Smith34 saves, .944
  2. ★★
    CGY
    M. Backlund1 G, 1 A
  3. ★★★
    EDM
    Z. Kassian2 A

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
EDMEDM19112015236
CGYCGY370508320

Scoring

5 goals

1st period

  1. EDM
    A. Slepyshev(6)
    Z. Kassian (11)
    snapxG 0.09win prob +12 pts
    1-0
    2:41
  2. CGY
    D. Hamilton(17)
    M. Backlund (29), M. Frolik (14)
    wristxG 0.08win prob +13 pts
    1-1
    6:43
  3. CGY
    G. Hathaway(3)SHG
    Unassisted
    wristxG 0.01win prob +15 pts
    1-2
    11:54
  4. CGY
    M. Backlund(14)
    M. Stone (5), M. Frolik (15)
    wristxG 0.14win prob +14 pts
    1-3
    15:28

2nd period

  1. EDM
    M. Cammalleri(6)
    A. Sekera (8), Z. Kassian (12)
    tip-inxG 0.04win prob +15 pts
    2-3
    12:41

Penalties

EDM 22 PIM·CGY 24 PIM

1st

  • 2:41CGYserved by S. Foo · Delaying game bench2 min
  • 10:08CGYTroy Brouwer · Slashingdrawn by Darnell Nurse2 min
  • 17:07EDMRyan Strome · Hookingdrawn by Spencer Foo2 min

2nd

  • 1:19EDMDrake Caggiula · Hookingdrawn by Johnny Gaudreau2 min
  • 19:46CGYMikael Backlund · Roughingdrawn by Leon Draisaitl2 min
  • 19:46EDMLeon Draisaitl · Roughingdrawn by Mikael Backlund2 min

3rd

  • 5:22EDMDrake Caggiula · Fightingdrawn by Mark Jankowski5 min
  • 5:22CGYMark Jankowski · Fightingdrawn by Drake Caggiula5 min
  • 5:22CGYMark Jankowski · Cross checkingdrawn by Drake Caggiula2 min
  • 5:57EDMMilan Lucic · Slashingdrawn by Mark Giordano2 min
  • 5:57EDMMilan Lucic · Roughingdrawn by Mike Smith2 min
  • 5:57CGYMike Smith · Roughingdrawn by Milan Lucic2 min
  • 7:18CGYNicholas Shore · Slashingdrawn by Pontus Aberg2 min
  • 10:50CGYTanner Glass · Fightingdrawn by Milan Lucic5 min
  • 10:50EDMMilan Lucic · Fightingdrawn by Tanner Glass5 min
  • 11:59EDMJujhar Khaira · Roughingdrawn by Rasmus Andersson2 min
  • 14:16CGYMichael Frolik · High stickingdrawn by Ethan Bear2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
CGY goalEDM goalFinal: CGY 100%

Biggest swing: Garnet Hathaway, 1st 11:54 — CGY 51% → 67%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
M. Backlund · Goal · xG 0.14N. Shore · On goal · xG 0.13M. Jankowski · On goal · xG 0.12M. Backlund · Missed · xG 0.12B. Kulak · On goal · xG 0.11J. Gaudreau · Missed · xG 0.10M. Frolik · On goal · xG 0.09D. Hamilton · Goal · xG 0.08M. Frolik · Missed · xG 0.06M. Giordano · On goal · xG 0.06D. Hamilton · Missed · xG 0.05N. Shore · On goal · xG 0.05N. Shore · Missed · xG 0.05M. Backlund · On goal · xG 0.03M. Giordano · On goal · xG 0.03M. Giordano · Missed · xG 0.03J. Gaudreau · On goal · xG 0.02T. Brouwer · Missed · xG 0.02M. Ferland · On goal · xG 0.02M. Giordano · Missed · xG 0.01G. Hathaway · Goal · xG 0.01N. Shore · Missed · xG 0.01M. Bartkowski · On goal · xG 0.01M. Stone · On goal · xG 0.01S. Bennett · On goal · xG 0.01M. Backlund · On goal · xG 0.01S. Foo · On goal · xG 0.01R. Andersson · On goal · xG 0.01T. Brouwer · On goal · xG 0.00R. Andersson · Missed · xG 0.00
CGY3 G · 1.4 xG · 30 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

EDMvsCGY
2.42 G
All situations
3 G1.4
1.42 G
Even strength
2 G1.2
0.90 G
Power play
0 G0.2
0.10 G
Shorthanded
1 G0.0

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 78 unblocked attempts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
EDM68%32%CGY

Flurry-adjusted xG 2.33 – 1.40

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

EDMvsCGY
36
Shots on goal
20
46%
Faceoffs
54%
0/5
Power play
0/3
22
Penalty minutes
24
14
Hits
17
9
Blocked shots
14
10
Giveaways
15
9
Takeaways
12

Box score

every player line
Edmonton Oilers skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
97C. McDavidC000-200.09100022:47
29L. DraisaitlC000-210.420025922:14
2A. SekeraD011+120.06000—22:05
6A. LarssonD000050.23210—21:55
25D. NurseD000020.10210—21:05
18R. StromeC000020.110025818:33
4K. RussellD000+100.00020—16:49
8T. RattieR000-230.19100—16:48
81Y. AuvituD000-220.07110—15:59
74E. BearD000-210.04020—15:47
13M. CammalleriL101+160.440104313:35
44Z. KassianR022+210.06000—13:23
98J. PuljujarviR000000.01010—13:13
91D. CaggiulaL000020.07307—12:42
58A. SlepyshevL101+250.39000—11:32
46P. AbergL000-120.05000—11:18
16J. KhairaL000-120.030023311:02
27M. LucicL000000.00409—10:34
Edmonton Oilers goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
35A. Montoya131301.0000.94+0.9443:14
33C. Talbot(L)743.5710.46-2.5415:28

Season series

EDM leads 3-2

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).