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Oilers at Flames
NHL

Edmonton Oilers at Calgary Flames

NHL scoreboard
Edmonton Oilers
▸7
Calgary Flames
5
FinalTV CBC, SN·Scotiabank Saddledome

Recap

written from the game data

The Edmonton Oilers beat the Calgary Flames 7-5. The Oilers scored first and never trailed. The Oilers led 5-1 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Jesse Puljujarvi's goal at 14:33 of the first period, which took the Oilers' chances from 61% to 77%. Expected goals favored the Oilers, 2.9 to 1.9; shots on goal were EDM 33, CGY 34. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Oilers win a replay of these chances 68% of the time. Laurent Brossoit stopped 29 of 34 (.853), 3.1 goals below expected; Mike Smith stopped 22 of 27 (.815), 2.5 goals below expected. Three stars: 1. Sam Bennett (2 G), 2. Jesse Puljujarvi (2 G), 3. Johnny Gaudreau (1 G, 1 A).

Three stars

  1. ★
    CGY
    S. Bennett2 G
  2. ★★
    EDM
    J. Puljujarvi2 G
  3. ★★★
    CGY
    J. Gaudreau1 G, 1 A

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
EDMEDM31621126733
CGYCGY11308413534

Scoring

12 goals

1st period

  1. EDM
    J. Puljujarvi(3)
    D. Caggiula (3), C. McDavid (21)
    backhandxG 0.04win prob +14 pts
    1-0
    10:29
  2. EDM
    J. Puljujarvi(4)
    E. Gryba (1), M. Lucic (13)
    deflectedxG 0.07win prob +16 pts
    2-0
    14:33
  3. CGY
    M. Frolik(5)SHG
    M. Backlund (11)
    snapxG 0.20win prob +16 pts
    2-1
    16:21
  4. EDM
    J. Khaira(3)
    K. Russell (10), D. Nurse (8)
    wristxG 0.11win prob +15 pts
    3-1
    17:44

2nd period

  1. EDM
    M. Letestu(6)SHG
    Z. Kassian (7)
    snapxG 0.23win prob +13 pts
    4-1
    3:40
  2. EDM
    M. Lucic(5)
    E. Gryba (2), O. Klefbom (5)
    tip-inxG 0.11win prob +3 pts
    5-1
    19:38

3rd period

  1. EDM
    P. Maroon(8)
    Unassisted
    backhandxG 0.11win prob +1 pts
    6-1
    1:29
  2. CGY
    S. Bennett(2)
    M. Jankowski (2), D. Hamilton (9)
    snapxG 0.01
    6-2
    5:04
  3. CGY
    M. Ferland(11)PPG
    J. Gaudreau (24), T. Brodie (13)
    wristxG 0.06win prob +1 pts
    6-3
    8:13
  4. CGY
    S. Bennett(3)
    Unassisted
    wristxG 0.03win prob +3 pts
    6-4
    11:39
  5. CGY
    J. Gaudreau(12)
    D. Hamilton (10), T. Brodie (14)
    wristxG 0.02win prob +13 pts
    6-5
    12:20
  6. EDM
    R. Nugent-Hopkins(10)
    M. Lucic (14), M. Cammalleri (7)
    backhandxG 0.01win prob +7 pts
    7-5
    18:59

Penalties

EDM 12 PIM·CGY 6 PIM

1st

  • 4:22EDMMatt Benning · Holding the stickdrawn by Garnet Hathaway2 min
  • 4:33CGYSean Monahan · Hookingdrawn by Kris Russell2 min
  • 5:16EDMOscar Klefbom · High sticking double minordrawn by Johnny Gaudreau4 min
  • 11:22CGYDougie Hamilton · Trippingdrawn by Leon Draisaitl2 min
  • 15:40CGYGarnet Hathaway · Holdingdrawn by Matt Benning2 min

2nd

  • 2:29EDMKris Russell · Delaying game puck over glass2 min

3rd

  • 7:47EDMPatrick Maroon · Roughingdrawn by Garnet Hathaway2 min
  • 14:00EDMMark Letestu · Interferencedrawn by Mark Jankowski2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
CGY goalEDM goalFinal: CGY 0%

Biggest swing: Jesse Puljujarvi, 1st 14:33 — EDM 61% → 77%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
M. Frolik · Goal · xG 0.20S. Monahan · On goal · xG 0.16M. Backlund · On goal · xG 0.12M. Backlund · On goal · xG 0.09M. Ferland · Missed · xG 0.08J. Gaudreau · On goal · xG 0.08M. Frolik · Missed · xG 0.07M. Tkachuk · On goal · xG 0.07M. Tkachuk · Missed · xG 0.07J. Gaudreau · On goal · xG 0.07T. Brouwer · On goal · xG 0.07M. Frolik · Missed · xG 0.06M. Tkachuk · On goal · xG 0.06S. Bennett · On goal · xG 0.06M. Ferland · Goal · xG 0.06J. Gaudreau · On goal · xG 0.05M. Ferland · On goal · xG 0.05M. Giordano · On goal · xG 0.05J. Gaudreau · On goal · xG 0.04M. Jankowski · Missed · xG 0.04M. Backlund · On goal · xG 0.03T. Brouwer · Missed · xG 0.03S. Bennett · On goal · xG 0.03S. Bennett · Goal · xG 0.03M. Stajan · On goal · xG 0.03M. Tkachuk · On goal · xG 0.03M. Stone · On goal · xG 0.03M. Giordano · On goal · xG 0.02B. Kulak · On goal · xG 0.02D. Hamilton · On goal · xG 0.02J. Gaudreau · Goal · xG 0.02M. Stone · On goal · xG 0.01M. Frolik · On goal · xG 0.01D. Hamilton · Missed · xG 0.01M. Jankowski · On goal · xG 0.01M. Stone · Missed · xG 0.01M. Tkachuk · On goal · xG 0.01S. Bennett · Goal · xG 0.01D. Hamilton · Missed · xG 0.00M. Giordano · On goal · xG 0.00T. Hamonic · On goal · xG 0.00T. Brouwer · On goal · xG 0.00M. Stone · On goal · xG 0.00
CGY5 G · 1.9 xG · 43 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

EDMvsCGY
2.97 G
All situations
5 G1.9
2.06 G
Even strength
3 G1.2
0.40 G
Power play
1 G0.5
0.51 G
Shorthanded
1 G0.2

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 94 unblocked attempts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
EDM68%32%CGY

Flurry-adjusted xG 2.88 – 1.91

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

EDMvsCGY
33
Shots on goal
34
41%
Faceoffs
59%
0/2
Power play
1/6
12
Penalty minutes
6
9
Hits
14
24
Blocked shots
8
9
Giveaways
15
8
Takeaways
7

Box score

every player line
Edmonton Oilers skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
25D. NurseD011000.00100—22:12
83M. BenningD000030.12142—21:32
77O. KlefbomD011+130.10034—20:04
97C. McDavidC011+220.180102820:00
62E. GrybaD022+410.08130—19:05
4K. RussellD011-120.07162—19:04
29L. DraisaitlC000-120.201005716:21
93R. Nugent-HopkinsC101010.010104715:51
18R. StromeC000-120.24010015:12
81Y. AuvituD000+310.01110—15:03
55M. LetestuC101010.270023614:39
27M. LucicL123+220.16200—14:37
98J. PuljujarviR202+240.50000—14:35
91D. CaggiulaL011010.36130—13:50
19P. MaroonL101040.25002—12:36
13M. CammalleriL011030.1900010012:31
16J. KhairaL101010.160102511:25
44Z. KassianR011+300.02000—10:57
Edmonton Oilers goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
1L. Brossoit(W)34295.8531.91-3.0960:00

Season series

EDM leads 3-2

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).