Skip to content
Flames at Oilers
NHL

Calgary Flames at Edmonton Oilers

NHL scoreboard
Calgary Flames
0
Edmonton Oilers
▸3
FinalTV SN, TVAS·Rogers Place

Recap

written from the game data

The Edmonton Oilers beat the Calgary Flames 3-0. The Oilers scored first and never trailed. The Oilers led 1-0 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Connor McDavid's goal at 8:07 of the third period, which took the Oilers' chances from 81% to 95%. Expected goals favored the Oilers, 4.4 to 1.9; shots on goal were CGY 27, EDM 45. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Oilers win a replay of these chances 73% of the time. Mike Smith stopped 42 of 44 (.955), 1.3 goals saved above expected; Cam Talbot stopped 27 of 27 (1.000), 1.9 goals saved above expected. Three stars: 1. Connor McDavid (3 G), 2. Mike Smith (42 saves, .955), 3. Cam Talbot (27 saves, 1.000).

Three stars

  1. ★
    EDM
    C. McDavid3 G
  2. ★★
    CGY
    M. Smith42 saves, .955
  3. ★★★
    EDM
    C. Talbot27 saves, 1.000

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
CGYCGY0130905027
EDMEDM116013216345

Scoring

3 goals

1st period

  1. EDM
    C. McDavid(1)
    L. Draisaitl (1), P. Maroon (1)
    wristxG 0.27win prob +13 pts
    0-1
    11:01

3rd period

  1. EDM
    C. McDavid(2)
    Unassisted
    wristxG 0.24win prob +14 pts
    0-2
    8:07
  2. EDM
    C. McDavid(3)EN
    L. Draisaitl (2), M. Lucic (1)
    wristxG 0.91
    0-3
    19:01

Penalties

CGY 9 PIM·EDM 7 PIM

1st

  • 12:12EDMKris Russell · Holding the stickdrawn by Micheal Ferland2 min
  • 15:43EDMZack Kassian · Fightingdrawn by Tanner Glass5 min
  • 15:43CGYTanner Glass · Fightingdrawn by Zack Kassian5 min
  • 17:16CGYMatthew Tkachuk · Holding the stickdrawn by Adam Larsson2 min

2nd

  • 6:23CGYDougie Hamilton · Hookingdrawn by Leon Draisaitl2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
EDM goalCGY goalFinal: EDM 100%

Biggest swing: Connor McDavid, 3rd 8:07 — EDM 81% → 95%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
C. McDavid · Goal · xG 0.91C. McDavid · Goal · xG 0.27C. McDavid · Goal · xG 0.24C. McDavid · On goal · xG 0.23C. McDavid · On goal · xG 0.22M. Lucic · Missed · xG 0.20L. Draisaitl · On goal · xG 0.18P. Maroon · On goal · xG 0.14M. Letestu · On goal · xG 0.13Z. Kassian · On goal · xG 0.13C. McDavid · Missed · xG 0.12L. Draisaitl · Missed · xG 0.11O. Klefbom · On goal · xG 0.11M. Letestu · On goal · xG 0.09Z. Kassian · On goal · xG 0.07L. Draisaitl · Missed · xG 0.07P. Maroon · Missed · xG 0.07L. Draisaitl · On goal · xG 0.06R. Strome · On goal · xG 0.06A. Larsson · Missed · xG 0.06K. Russell · On goal · xG 0.06O. Klefbom · On goal · xG 0.05P. Maroon · On goal · xG 0.05C. McDavid · Missed · xG 0.05O. Klefbom · On goal · xG 0.04M. Lucic · On goal · xG 0.04L. Draisaitl · On goal · xG 0.04O. Klefbom · On goal · xG 0.04D. Caggiula · On goal · xG 0.04M. Letestu · On goal · xG 0.03L. Draisaitl · On goal · xG 0.03C. McDavid · On goal · xG 0.03K. Russell · On goal · xG 0.02P. Maroon · On goal · xG 0.02O. Klefbom · On goal · xG 0.02R. Strome · On goal · xG 0.02O. Klefbom · Missed · xG 0.02O. Klefbom · On goal · xG 0.02J. Jokinen · On goal · xG 0.02O. Klefbom · On goal · xG 0.02L. Draisaitl · On goal · xG 0.02D. Nurse · On goal · xG 0.02O. Klefbom · On goal · xG 0.02A. Larsson · Missed · xG 0.02E. Gryba · Missed · xG 0.02E. Gryba · Missed · xG 0.02D. Nurse · Missed · xG 0.01P. Maroon · Missed · xG 0.01O. Klefbom · Missed · xG 0.01D. Nurse · On goal · xG 0.01Z. Kassian · On goal · xG 0.01J. Jokinen · On goal · xG 0.01O. Klefbom · Missed · xG 0.01C. McDavid · On goal · xG 0.01D. Nurse · On goal · xG 0.01A. Larsson · On goal · xG 0.01D. Nurse · On goal · xG 0.01K. Russell · On goal · xG 0.01O. Klefbom · On goal · xG 0.01M. Benning · Missed · xG 0.01O. Klefbom · Missed · xG 0.01M. Benning · Missed · xG 0.01A. Larsson · On goal · xG 0.00
EDM3 G · 4.4 xG · 63 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

CGYvsEDM
1.90 G
All situations
2 G4.4
1.50 G
Even strength
2 G3.2
0.10 G
Power play
0 G0.1
0.30 G
Shorthanded
0 G0.0

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 103 unblocked attempts. Empty-net goals are left out of the goal counts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
CGY27%73%EDM

Flurry-adjusted xG 1.88 – 3.23

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

CGYvsEDM
27
Shots on goal
45
46%
Faceoffs
54%
0/1
Power play
0/2
9
Penalty minutes
7
29
Hits
31
17
Blocked shots
18
18
Giveaways
16
11
Takeaways
18

Box score

every player line
Calgary Flames skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
7T. BrodieD000-310.05030—23:49
5M. GiordanoD000040.33130—22:37
27D. HamiltonD000030.22002—21:06
24T. HamonicD000-300.00020—19:43
13J. GaudreauL000-100.01100—18:23
26M. StoneD000010.06210—18:21
67M. FrolikR000000.00300—17:54
11M. BacklundC000010.174106817:47
23S. MonahanC000040.320105016:34
19M. TkachukL000020.17102—16:01
79M. FerlandL000-140.28300—15:35
36T. BrouwerR000-200.00200—15:28
93S. BennettC000-200.001104015:10
10K. VersteegR000-240.07020—14:09
44M. BartkowskiD000020.01120—13:34
21G. HathawayR000000.00500—11:01
18M. StajanC000-110.182102910:30
15T. GlassL000-100.00305—09:21
Calgary Flames goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
41M. Smith(L)44422.9553.33+1.3358:57

Season series

EDM leads 3-2

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).