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Predators at Wild
NHL

Nashville Predators at Minnesota Wild

NHL scoreboard
Nashville Predators
1
Minnesota Wild
▸4
FinalTV FS-N+, FS-TN·Xcel Energy Center

Recap

written from the game data

The Minnesota Wild beat the Nashville Predators 4-1. The Predators scored first; the Wild answered. The Wild led 2-1 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Nino Niederreiter's goal at 13:45 of the second period, which took the Wild's chances from 54% to 73%. Expected goals favored the Wild, 2.2 to 1.4; shots on goal were NSH 20, MIN 30. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Wild win a replay of these chances 59% of the time. Pekka Rinne stopped 26 of 29 (.897), 1.1 goals below expected; Devan Dubnyk stopped 19 of 20 (.950). Three stars: 1. Jason Zucker (1 G, 1 A), 2. Nino Niederreiter (1 G), 3. Marcus Foligno (1 A).

Three stars

  1. ★
    MIN
    J. Zucker1 G, 1 A
  2. ★★
    MIN
    N. Niederreiter1 G
  3. ★★★
    MIN
    M. Foligno1 A

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
NSHNSH190506120
MINMIN06214210430

Scoring

5 goals

1st period

  1. NSH
    R. Johansen(13)
    P. Subban (38), F. Forsberg (33)
    wristxG 0.12win prob +13 pts
    1-0
    8:37

2nd period

  1. MIN
    J. Eriksson Ek(5)
    M. Foligno (15), D. Winnik (15)
    wristxG 0.17win prob +16 pts
    1-1
    2:50
  2. MIN
    N. Niederreiter(18)
    J. Zucker (29), R. Murphy (3)
    wristxG 0.25win prob +19 pts
    1-2
    13:45

3rd period

  1. MIN
    J. Zucker(30)
    E. Staal (33)
    wristxG 0.03win prob +15 pts
    1-3
    1:29
  2. MIN
    Z. Parise(10)EN
    M. Granlund (40)
    backhandxG 0.36win prob +1 pts
    1-4
    18:19

Penalties

NSH 10 PIM·MIN 6 PIM

1st

  • 16:06MINCharlie Coyle · Trippingdrawn by Mattias Ekholm2 min

2nd

  • 3:31NSHFilip Forsberg · Cross checkingdrawn by Zach Parise2 min
  • 11:34NSHRyan Johansen · Slashingdrawn by Mikko Koivu2 min
  • 18:39NSHserved by S. Hartnell · Too many men on the ice2 min

3rd

  • 5:08NSHRoman Josi · Delaying game puck over glass2 min
  • 10:26MINDevan Dubnyk · Delaying game puck over glass2 min
  • 15:24MINNick Seeler · Roughingdrawn by Scott Hartnell2 min
  • 15:24NSHScott Hartnell · Boardingdrawn by Joel Eriksson Ek2 min
  • 15:28NSHAnthony Bitetto · Game misconduct head coach0 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
MIN goalNSH goalFinal: MIN 100%

Biggest swing: Nino Niederreiter, 2nd 13:45 — MIN 54% → 73%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
Z. Parise · Goal · xG 0.36J. Zucker · On goal · xG 0.28N. Niederreiter · Goal · xG 0.25J. Eriksson Ek · Goal · xG 0.17E. Staal · On goal · xG 0.15J. Eriksson Ek · On goal · xG 0.10M. Granlund · Missed · xG 0.08J. Zucker · On goal · xG 0.08E. Staal · On goal · xG 0.08M. Koivu · On goal · xG 0.07D. Winnik · On goal · xG 0.07J. Zucker · On goal · xG 0.07M. Dumba · Missed · xG 0.06C. Coyle · On goal · xG 0.05R. Murphy · On goal · xG 0.03M. Granlund · On goal · xG 0.03M. Dumba · On goal · xG 0.03R. Murphy · Missed · xG 0.03J. Zucker · Goal · xG 0.03E. Staal · On goal · xG 0.03R. Murphy · On goal · xG 0.02T. Ennis · On goal · xG 0.02Z. Parise · On goal · xG 0.02R. Suter · Missed · xG 0.01C. Coyle · On goal · xG 0.01N. Prosser · Missed · xG 0.01M. Dumba · On goal · xG 0.01N. Seeler · On goal · xG 0.01N. Seeler · Missed · xG 0.01M. Cullen · On goal · xG 0.01N. Niederreiter · On goal · xG 0.01M. Koivu · On goal · xG 0.01R. Murphy · On goal · xG 0.01J. Eriksson Ek · On goal · xG 0.01M. Granlund · On goal · xG 0.00Z. Parise · On goal · xG 0.00
MIN4 G · 2.2 xG · 36 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

NSHvsMIN
1.41 G
All situations
3 G2.2
1.31 G
Even strength
3 G1.5
0.10 G
Power play
0 G0.3
0.00 G
Shorthanded
0 G0.0

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 69 unblocked attempts. Empty-net goals are left out of the goal counts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
NSH41%59%MIN

Flurry-adjusted xG 1.36 – 1.76

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

NSHvsMIN
20
Shots on goal
30
53%
Faceoffs
47%
0/2
Power play
0/4
10
Penalty minutes
6
18
Hits
17
12
Blocked shots
18
2
Giveaways
6
5
Takeaways
6

Box score

every player line
Nashville Predators skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
76P. SubbanD011-110.01000—26:10
4R. EllisD000-200.03010—25:55
59R. JosiD000-240.04112—25:51
14M. EkholmD000-110.02230—25:04
33V. ArvidssonL000010.04000—20:24
92R. JohansenC101-130.210325019:21
8K. TurrisC000-100.012005017:04
9F. ForsbergL011000.12012—15:57
15C. SmithC000-110.1001010015:48
10C. SissonsC000-210.161105414:22
22K. FialaL000040.12200—14:07
2A. BitettoD000010.01100—13:45
13N. BoninoC000-210.170005713:37
38R. HartmanR000-100.06100—12:34
17S. HartnellL000-100.00102—11:19
20M. SalomakiR000000.11210—09:19
51A. WatsonL000-120.18500—08:23
7Y. WeberD000000.00000—01:40
Nashville Predators goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
35P. Rinne(L)29263.8971.85-1.1559:20

Season series

MIN leads 3-2

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).