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Predators at Wild
NHL

Nashville Predators at Minnesota Wild

NHL scoreboard
Nashville Predators
4
Minnesota Wild
▸6
FinalTV FS-N, FS-TN·Xcel Energy Center

Recap

written from the game data

The Minnesota Wild beat the Nashville Predators 6-4. The Wild came back from three goals down. The Predators led 3-2 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Jason Zucker's goal at 17:05 of the third period, which took the Wild's chances from 52% to 92%. Expected goals favored the Wild, 2.7 to 1.6; shots on goal were NSH 30, MIN 36. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Wild win a replay of these chances 61% of the time. Pekka Rinne stopped 30 of 35 (.857), 2.8 goals below expected; Devan Dubnyk stopped 26 of 30 (.867), 2.4 goals below expected. Three stars: 1. Jared Spurgeon (1 G, 2 A), 2. Eric Staal (1 G, 2 A), 3. Marcus Foligno (1 A).

Three stars

  1. ★
    MIN
    J. Spurgeon1 G, 2 A
  2. ★★
    MIN
    E. Staal1 G, 2 A
  3. ★★★
    MIN
    M. Foligno1 A

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
NSHNSH11421214430
MINMIN08213415636

Scoring

10 goals

1st period

  1. NSH
    R. Johansen(1)
    F. Forsberg (9), V. Arvidsson (5)
    wristxG 0.06win prob +12 pts
    1-0
    0:49

2nd period

  1. NSH
    R. Josi(5)
    R. Johansen (9), M. Ekholm (8)
    wristxG 0.01win prob +17 pts
    2-0
    5:31
  2. NSH
    M. Ekholm(3)SHG
    Unassisted
    snapxG 0.14win prob +12 pts
    3-0
    12:47
  3. MIN
    M. Dumba(1)
    J. Brodin (2), E. Staal (9)
    slapxG 0.03win prob +9 pts
    3-1
    16:16
  4. MIN
    N. Niederreiter(4)PPG
    M. Granlund (6), J. Spurgeon (10)
    snapxG 0.14win prob +15 pts
    3-2
    19:21

3rd period

  1. NSH
    V. Arvidsson(7)
    R. Johansen (10), F. Forsberg (10)
    wristxG 0.04win prob +18 pts
    4-2
    0:57
  2. MIN
    R. Suter(3)
    J. Spurgeon (11), E. Staal (10)
    slapxG 0.12win prob +12 pts
    4-3
    13:04
  3. MIN
    E. Staal(7)PPG
    M. Foligno (4), M. Dumba (8)
    wristxG 0.07win prob +37 pts
    4-4
    15:01
  4. MIN
    J. Zucker(11)
    M. Koivu (5), M. Granlund (7)
    backhandxG 0.07win prob +40 pts
    4-5
    17:05
  5. MIN
    J. Spurgeon(3)EN
    Unassisted
    wristxG 0.50win prob +6 pts
    4-6
    18:53

Penalties

NSH 10 PIM·MIN 6 PIM

1st

  • 5:46MINNino Niederreiter · Hookingdrawn by Kevin Fiala2 min
  • 12:05MINGustav Olofsson · Trippingdrawn by Nick Bonino2 min
  • 16:48MINJonas Brodin · Hookingdrawn by Nick Bonino2 min

2nd

  • 10:07NSHFilip Forsberg · Trippingdrawn by Nino Niederreiter2 min
  • 11:36NSHColton Sissons · Cross checkingdrawn by Nino Niederreiter2 min
  • 17:55NSHPekka Rinne · Trippingdrawn by Daniel Winnik2 min

3rd

  • 7:49NSHMiikka Salomaki · Trippingdrawn by Mathew Dumba2 min
  • 13:36NSHRyan Johansen · Hookingdrawn by Mikko Koivu2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
MIN goalNSH goalFinal: MIN 100%

Biggest swing: Jason Zucker, 3rd 17:05 — MIN 52% → 92%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
J. Spurgeon · Goal · xG 0.50N. Niederreiter · On goal · xG 0.20N. Niederreiter · Goal · xG 0.14M. Granlund · Missed · xG 0.14M. Koivu · On goal · xG 0.13R. Suter · Goal · xG 0.12L. Kunin · Missed · xG 0.10T. Ennis · On goal · xG 0.09L. Kunin · On goal · xG 0.09M. Koivu · On goal · xG 0.08M. Dumba · On goal · xG 0.08T. Ennis · On goal · xG 0.07J. Zucker · Goal · xG 0.07E. Staal · Goal · xG 0.07J. Eriksson Ek · Missed · xG 0.07C. Stewart · On goal · xG 0.06J. Eriksson Ek · On goal · xG 0.06T. Ennis · Missed · xG 0.05J. Spurgeon · On goal · xG 0.05J. Spurgeon · On goal · xG 0.04M. Cullen · Missed · xG 0.04J. Spurgeon · Missed · xG 0.04M. Dumba · On goal · xG 0.04M. Cullen · On goal · xG 0.03M. Dumba · Goal · xG 0.03M. Granlund · Missed · xG 0.03D. Winnik · On goal · xG 0.03M. Foligno · On goal · xG 0.03M. Dumba · Missed · xG 0.03E. Staal · On goal · xG 0.02M. Granlund · On goal · xG 0.02R. Suter · On goal · xG 0.02M. Foligno · On goal · xG 0.02G. Olofsson · On goal · xG 0.02M. Foligno · On goal · xG 0.01J. Brodin · Missed · xG 0.01L. Kunin · On goal · xG 0.01R. Suter · On goal · xG 0.01R. Suter · Missed · xG 0.01J. Zucker · Missed · xG 0.01L. Kunin · On goal · xG 0.01R. Suter · Missed · xG 0.01R. Suter · On goal · xG 0.00J. Spurgeon · On goal · xG 0.00M. Dumba · Missed · xG 0.00E. Staal · On goal · xG 0.00L. Kunin · On goal · xG 0.00J. Eriksson Ek · On goal · xG 0.00J. Eriksson Ek · On goal · xG 0.00
MIN6 G · 2.7 xG · 49 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

NSHvsMIN
1.64 G
All situations
5 G2.7
1.03 G
Even strength
3 G1.6
0.50 G
Power play
2 G0.6
0.21 G
Shorthanded
0 G0.0

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 91 unblocked attempts. Empty-net goals are left out of the goal counts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
NSH39%61%MIN

Flurry-adjusted xG 1.63 – 2.20

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

NSHvsMIN
30
Shots on goal
36
49%
Faceoffs
51%
0/3
Power play
2/5
10
Penalty minutes
6
13
Hits
16
14
Blocked shots
9
0
Giveaways
4
7
Takeaways
6

Box score

every player line
Nashville Predators skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
14M. EkholmD112+130.26300—24:48
59R. JosiD101020.03020—24:37
76P. SubbanD000-120.02100—24:15
25A. EmelinD000000.00020—19:23
33V. ArvidssonL112+260.31000—18:11
92R. JohansenC123+310.150027517:48
9F. ForsbergL022+130.15112—17:46
8K. TurrisC000-200.030002817:07
22K. FialaL000-240.36000—16:57
10C. SissonsC000010.012224116:41
15C. SmithC000-140.111003316:37
19C. JarnkrokC000000.000001714:19
51A. WatsonL000-100.01120—12:20
2A. BitettoD000010.04200—11:28
52M. IrwinD000000.00000—11:12
13N. BoninoC000-210.130006010:45
20M. SalomakiR000010.03232—08:59
55C. McLeodL000010.00020—08:39
Nashville Predators goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
35P. Rinne(L)35305.8572.22-2.7859:17

Season series

MIN leads 3-2

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).